Baseball RPI strategy

[ZoomZoom]

The conference pretty much validated your point this weekend.

Round Rock, the Southern Miss series, Houston (although they went 0-3 in Scottsdale,) and games vs. Neck, SLU and the East will be big. Basically, we need to make the most of February and March.

The problem comes in a team has to win the vast majority of their quality OOC games AND crush the league. Can’t go dropping games to the lower third of the SBC.

It’s win as much as you can pre conference and pray.

[RaginDave]

The conference pretty much validated your point this weekend.

Round Rock, the Southern Miss series, Houston (although they went 0-3 in Scottsdale,) and games vs. Neck, SLU and the East will be big. Basically, we need to make the most of February and March.

Did you notice the participants in the Round Rock tournaments outcomes this weekend?

Stanford had the best weekend, going 2-1 vs a pretty good CSF team
Indiana went 0-3 vs Clemson
Arkansas went 2-1 vs Illinois State (the interesting thing here was they lost the first game 3-2, won the 2nd 5-1 and won the 3rd 4-2. They did not overpower Illinois State like I would have expected them to do.

Neither Fullerton or Clemson were preseason ranked in either the coaches poll or the D1 baseball poll.

I said before the season that in the first 7 games (3 vs Irvine, 1 vs SLU and 3 @ Round Rock tournament) if we can go 3-4 at minimum, I would be happy. After taking 2 of 3 from Irvine, I would like to amend that to we need to go 4-3. That would mean beating a decent SLU club and then taking at least 1 in RR. SLU is 2-1 and won 2 of 3 vs Southern Illinois University @ Edwardsville. And even in the games that they won they struggled vs SIU-E. They won Friday 1-0, Saturday 4-3 and lost Sunday 10-3.

Tuesday is a huge game for the Cajuns leading up to the RR Tournament.

[Turbine]

The independant portion of the regular season schedule is the most important part of the regular season schedule.

[ZoomZoom]

The independant portion of the regular season schedule is the most important part of the regular season schedule.

Exactly. Softball was quite good 2 years ago when Covid shut it all down. Everyone knew the ladies needed to run the conference table not to hurt the then effort to date.

[IberiaCajun]

If Sunbelt is a 1, at very best 2 bid conference in baseball......ONCE CONF PLAY STARTS why not inverse your weekday vs weekend pitching logic at least a little?????

Absolutely must have quality rpi wins to sniff a 2nd bid. Sad to say but our best RPI games last 2-3 years aren't on conf game weekends they are on weekdays. If the weekday games are your best chance to get a 2nd chance ticket to the 64......why not reserve any weekend starters for your best rpi opportunities on weekdays???

You still have your best pitching 100% available for tournament bid.

Bottom line..... if you can't beat conf rpi 50-250 ranked teams with remaining staff you ain't going anywhere anyway. So go all out to win the games that matter the most.

My thought for the day

Do you know if this model is being implemented in any conference?

[Cajun90]

Do you know if this model is being implemented in any conference?

While it should be pretty obvious that winning is important it is really about just playing those games. And forget the RPI number (for your RPI) It is your opponents win percentage you are concerned with. You would rather a swac team with a high win percentage over a middle of the road SEC team with a 50/50 record.

Now wins against better rpi opponents are important because they are part of the selection process but it isn't the whole story in regards to what it does for your RPI number.

[LifeTimeCajun]

While it should be pretty obvious that winning is important it is really about just playing those games. And forget the RPI number (for your RPI) It is your opponents win percentage you are concerned with. You would rather a swac team with a high win percentage over a middle of the road SEC team with a 50/50 record.

Now wins against better rpi opponents are important because they are part of the selection process but it isn't the whole story in regards to what it does for your RPI number.

Do you still get bonus for winning on the road? And how is it calculated on a neutral site?

[JayWalker]

A road win counts for 1.3 wins. A home win counts for .6 wins.
A road loss is .6 losses. A home loss is 1.3 losses

Neutral site games are worth one win if you win and one loss if you lose.

[Turbine]

A road win counts for 1.3 wins. A home win counts for .6 wins.
A road loss is .6 losses. A home loss is 1.3 losses

Neutral site games are worth one win if you win and one loss if you lose.

So this weekends wins count after you subtract the loss value from the win value is...
Louisiana -0.1 wins
UC Irvine +0.1 wins

Doesn't seem right.

Winning a home series has negative value, only a sweep increases your wins value.

[sportsfanatic21]

So this weekends wins count after you subtract the loss value from the win value is...
Louisiana -0.1 wins
UC Irvine +0.1 wins

Doesn't seem right.

Winning a home series has negative value, only a sweep increases your wins value.

Was thinking the same. I cant imagine thats accurate. If it is, thats ridiculous

[Doug]

So this weekends wins count after you subtract the loss value from the win value is...
Louisiana -0.1 wins
UC Irvine +0.1 wins

Doesn't seem right.

Winning a home series has negative value, only a sweep increases your wins value.

Something is wrong with your math or someone would have caught this before.

[STPacronym]

So, like most things on this board, the majority of people do not know facts on the topic, but use their perception/speculation to analyze the topic with 100% certainty.