Guys. I have been talking with CFB enthusiasts about this for 4-5 years now. Forget the 130 teams in CFP division. Forget the 66 teams considered P-5 (that includes ND and BYU). The world of college only props 20-22 teams as the “Big Boys”. Soon even some of the mid level and doormat P-5s will be treated the same as JC/CC 2yr pathways to the large schools with more money and more avenues to NIL.
- USC, UCLA, Washington
- Notre Dame
- MSU, Mich., OHST, PSU, Neb.
- Clemson, Pitt, FSU, Miami
- Bama, UGA, FLa, Auburn, Ole Miss, ARK, TAMU, LSU, OU, Texas
UW is a maybe on this list. Also, look which conference has the most teams. This is how the leverage will shift. Players will park at Arizona for 2 years until the players transfer out or draft up, then AZ will transfer to USC for more glitz and glamour. Sure AZ will retool with players from other low P-5s and G-5s, but give it a free years. Every other team not in the ones I listed above, will be irrelevant and have as much of a chance at CFP as we do. JMO
I don't think that will happen. I could be wrong, but I don't think CFB would be nearly as popular, which means attendance and especially TV viewership would decline, which means the big boys' income would drop drastically.
In addition, long time conference membership would have to be drastically revised. much more than anything we've seen to date.
With people like Saban and Kirby stating that limitations need to be set, I believe NIL and portal will be curtailed. these guys are literally at the top of the top. If they think this is not a good situation, I can't imagine anyone thinking it is.
Actually I believe that the NCAA can have an important say in the NIL. They just have to declare the recipients aren’t amateurs and competing with amateurs can be limited by the NCAA. The question isn’t can they, but dare they. The NCAA can’t simply take the NIL for themselves without an agreement between all parties involved.
Since there’s nobody representing, such as a player union, all the players those agreements would have to be individually contracted.
Yes, this conversation goes back to Steve Hale and his prediction back then that eventually there will only be 20-25 super power programs and they will separate in another classification from the rest. Everyone else left in the old P5 and G5 will basically be in the same classification.
He also suggested that there would be cross conference scheduling agreements and regional conferences for better television revenue and reduced travel cost.
The guy was 99% right on all of it, but people were listening to Farmer back then and didn't have a clue.
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