It's just opinion & your opinion is based on a lot of good reasoning. I am in agreement that Okie St. has to be crushed by Notre Dame & Ohio St. needs to beat up Utah. The bigger the better. There is no chance we jump Ohio St. even with three losses, or Notre dame, or the top 4. I just think Cinncy winning it all & beating the best Big 10 & SEC teams helps UL's cause overall. I also think it doesn't matter who looses out of OU & Oregon. UL will leap frog the loser of that game is the way I see it. I like our chances of leaping over a 3 loss MSU team with a bad 2nd half of the season more than leaping a conference champion Pittsburgh, although I think there is a good chance we leap over either loser. So I feel pretty confident we will be at least 12th at the end & could possibly be as high as #9 if all the cards fall our way. But we do have a very realistic chance of getting to 10 by either one of our scenarios.