Likely scenarios: Cincinnati beats East Carolina this week then Houston for the AAC championship. Ohio State/Michigan winner beats Wisconsin or Iowa for Big 10 championship. Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma then Baylor for the Big 12 championship (Baylor owns the tiebreak over Oklahoma) OR Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State back to back weeks (OK State owns Baylor tiebreak).
If this happens, I only see two avenues that keep Cincinnati in the playoffs:
1. Georgia beats Alabama in the SEC championship game or,
2. The committee likes Cincinnati's undefeated season and road win over Notre Dame better than Oklahoma's two wins over Oklahoma State.
No. 2 has a very slim chance of actually hapenning, I think . . .