The # 17 [Moo St], 18 [KY], 20 [MN] and 23 [Fresno] losers will likely drop out. Auburn at 13 is probably still in, even with 3 losses. AR will likely move in, as will Purdue. That leaves 2 spots available for Houston, UTSA, Coastal and Louisiana. I think Houston moves in as a 1 loss AAC team and an undefeated UTSA. Coastal will be 26 and Louisiana 27, based solely on performance this week. The committee will overlook our crushing of an App team that beat Coastal.