They have us as the 3rd best team in the belt?
Just got an article from ESPN+ (otherwise I would have just posted )
That had us on the preseason SB+ ranking at
22
Of note
LSU 26
App St 35
CCU 37
SBC had 7 in top 100, CUSA had 5 - but ALL of their 5 from 73(UAB)-100
Just interesting
They said the monrovians got RICH RODRIGUEZ as their new OC!?!
SB+ Rankings
I believe are Sbnation power rankings that they claim is based on predicting future performance as opposed to rating past performance
Here is how Bill Connelly develops his ratings
The 2020 college football season might have been the oddest we've ever seen, but that doesn't mean my offseason calendar has to change! Last week, I shared my returning production rankings for 2021, and now that the 2020-21 recruiting cycle is (mostly) complete, it's time to share my annual SP+ projections.
As a reminder, I base these projections based on three primary factors, weighted by their predictiveness:
1. Returning production. As I wrote last week, I have updated rosters as much as possible to account for transfers, graduation and the announced return of many 2020 seniors. The combination of last year's SP+ ratings and adjustments based on returning production now make up more than two-thirds of the projections formula.
2. Recent recruiting. Returning production aims to tell us what kind of talent and experience a team is returning. Recruiting rankings inform us of the caliber of the team's potential replacements (and/or new stars) in the lineup. They make up about one-quarter of the projections formula. This piece is determined not only by the most recent recruiting class but also, in diminishing fashion, the last three classes as well.
3. Recent history. Last year's ratings are a huge piece of the puzzle, but using a sliver of information from previous seasons (two to four years ago) gives us a good measure of overall program health. It stands to reason that a team that has played well for one year is less likely to duplicate that effort than a team that has been good for years on end (and vice versa), right? This is a minor piece of the puzzle, but the projections are better with it than without.
We'll see what impact last season's uniqueness has on this approach. Some FBS teams played as few as four or five games, which means their year-end SP+ ratings still heavily involved last year's preseason projections. But I'm plugging ahead all the same.
I will update these numbers in August, once further transfers, injuries and more can be taken into account. But here are the estimates to date.
Here are the full rankings:
Overall SP+ Rankings
TEAM
RATING OFFENSE DEFENSE
1. Alabama 30.7 44.2 (4) 13.5 (4)
2. Clemson 28.6 40.9 (9) 12.2 (3)
3. Oklahoma 28.0 46.6 (1) 18.6 (16)
4. Ohio St. 25.0 46.5 (2) 21.5 (38)
5. Oregon 24.2 41.0 (8) 16.9 (9)
6. Georgia 24.1 39.7 (15) 15.6 (5)
7. Iowa St. 23.1 41.5 (6) 18.4 (15)
8. Miami 22.7 40.5 (11) 17.8 (13)
9. Wisconsin 22.4 34.7 (36) 12.2 (2)
10. N. Carolina 21.7 44.8 (3) 23.1 (43)
11. Washington 21.2 39.8 (14) 18.6 (17)
12. Florida 21.2 41.5 (5) 20.4 (29)
13. Texas A&M 20.9 37.3 (21) 16.4 (8)
14. Penn St. 20.5 36.2 (29) 15.7 (6)
15. Cincinnati 20.0 36.0 (30) 15.9 (7)
16. Iowa 19.7 31.4 (51) 11.7 (1)
17. USC 19.6 39.9 (13) 20.3 (28)
18. Arizona St. 18.0 37.1 (23) 19.1 (21)
19. Utah 17.7 34.7 (35) 17.0 (10)
20. Texas 17.6 38.5 (18) 20.9 (34)
21. UCLA 15.6 41.2 (7) 25.6 (58)
22. Louisiana 15.3 36.2 (26) 21.0 (35)
23. Michigan 15.3 35.3 (32) 20.1 (27)
24. Ole Miss 14.9 40.6 (10) 25.7 (59)
25. Notre Dame 14.8 34.8 (34) 20.1 (26)
26. LSU 14.6 38.0 (19) 23.3 (45)
27. Indiana 14.4 34.8 (33) 20.4 (31)
28. Auburn 14.2 33.5 (38) 19.3 (22)
29. Oklahoma St. 14.1 31.4 (49) 17.4 (12)
30. Nebraska 14.0 32.7 (43) 18.7 (19)
31. Minnesota 13.6 37.4 (20) 23.8 (48)
32. Maryland 12.3 32.3 (45) 20.0 (25)
33. TCU 12.1 31.1 (53) 19.0 (20)
34. W. Virginia 12.0 29.1 (67) 17.1 (11)
35. App. St. 11.2 30.9 (54) 19.7 (24)
36. Va. Tech 11.0 36.2 (27) 25.2 (57)
37. Coastal Caro. 10.4 36.2 (28) 25.8 (60)
38. UCF 10.0 38.7 (17) 28.7 (74)
39. Boise St. 9.3 33.4 (39) 24.0 (50)
40. Purdue 8.9 35.7 (31) 26.9 (63)
41. Arkansas 8.8 31.4 (50) 22.6 (41)
42. Liberty 8.3 36.3 (25) 28.0 (68)
43. Pittsburgh 8.3 29.2 (65) 21.0 (36)
44. Miss. St. 8.1 28.8 (69) 20.6 (32)
45. NC St. 8.1 29.0 (68) 21.0 (37)
46. Wash. St. 7.8 40.4 (12) 32.6 (102)
47. Louisville 7.6 38.9 (16) 31.3 (93)
48. Ga. Tech 6.3 29.8 (61) 23.5 (47)
49. Tennessee 6.1 28.3 (73) 22.2 (40)
50. Colorado 6.0 30.6 (57) 24.6 (54)
51. Baylor 5.8 25.2 (90) 19.5 (23)
52. BYU 5.7 36.8 (24) 31.1 (90)
53. Memphis 5.2 29.8 (60) 24.6 (55)
54. California 5.2 29.7 (62) 24.5 (53)
55. Tulsa 5.0 25.4 (89) 20.4 (30)
56. Virginia 4.9 31.6 (47) 26.7 (62)
57. Kentucky 4.8 28.1 (75) 23.3 (44)
58. Missouri 4.7 29.6 (63) 24.9 (56)
59. Michigan St. 4.6 23.3 (94) 18.7 (18)
60. Oregon St. 4.5 37.2 (22) 32.7 (104)
61. Florida St. 4.4 32.8 (41) 28.5 (70)
62. Boston Coll. 2.9 34.4 (37) 31.5 (95)
63. Kansas St. 2.6 29.9 (59) 27.4 (65)
64. Wake Forest 2.5 30.7 (56) 28.2 (69)
65. SMU 2.5 32.5 (44) 30.1 (85)
66. Troy 2.0 26.1 (86) 24.1 (51)
67. Tulane 1.9 33.3 (40) 31.4 (94)
68. Stanford 1.6 31.9 (46) 30.2 (87)
69. Houston 1.4 29.4 (64) 28.0 (67)
70. Texas Tech 1.2 29.1 (66) 27.9 (66)
71. Ball St. -0.4 31.1 (52) 31.6 (96)
72. Army -0.6 23.4 (93) 24.0 (49)
73. UAB -0.9 20.7 (106) 21.6 (39)
74. Nevada -1.1 28.7 (70) 29.8 (83)
75. Northwestern -1.1 17.2 (124) 18.3 (14)
76. Georgia St. -1.9 30.3 (58) 32.2 (101)
77. Buffalo -2.0 27.0 (80) 29.0 (79)
78. Fresno St. -2.1 30.8 (55) 32.9 (105)
79. Toledo -2.1 26.7 (83) 28.8 (76)
80. Wyoming -2.1 20.7 (107) 22.8 (42)
81. SJSU -2.3 26.6 (84) 28.9 (78)
82. CMU -2.4 27.3 (78) 29.7 (82)
83. Illinois -2.6 28.7 (72) 31.2 (91)
84. SDSU -3.0 17.7 (123) 20.8 (33)
85. WMU -3.1 32.8 (42) 35.9 (114)
86. Marshall -3.3 20.2 (110) 23.5 (46)
87. UTSA -4.4 27.3 (77) 31.8 (97)
88. Ga. Southern -4.7 22.5 (98) 27.2 (64)
89. Ohio -5.2 26.8 (81) 32.0 (100)
90. S. Carolina -5.3 26.0 (87) 31.3 (92)
91. ECU -5.6 26.3 (85) 31.9 (98)
92. Arizona -5.7 27.8 (76) 33.5 (106)
93. Air Force -6.3 23.9 (92) 30.1 (86)
94. Rutgers -6.9 22.5 (97) 29.4 (81)
95. Syracuse -7.0 21.7 (99) 28.7 (73)
96. Colorado St. -7.2 21.5 (102) 28.6 (72)
97. FAU -8.0 20.7 (105) 28.7 (75)
98. WKU -8.1 17.8 (121) 25.9 (61)
99. Arkansas St. -8.6 28.2 (74) 36.7 (117)
100. Navy -9.2 20.1 (112) 29.4 (80)
101. So. Miss -9.3 21.2 (103) 30.5 (88)
102. Duke -9.3 19.3 (113) 28.6 (71)
103. Rice -9.4 14.9 (127) 24.3 (52)
104. USF -9.9 18.9 (115) 28.8 (77)
105. Hawaii -10.2 24.9 (91) 35.1 (111)
106. N. Texas -10.5 27.2 (79) 37.8 (119)
107. EMU -11.2 31.5 (48) 42.7 (127)
108. Vanderbilt -12.7 21.1 (104) 33.7 (107)
109. Texas St. -13.1 25.5 (88) 38.5 (120)
110. Miami-OH -13.2 23.3 (95) 36.5 (116)
111. Kent St. -13.2 28.7 (71) 41.9 (123)
112. NIU -13.7 18.2 (119) 31.9 (99)
113. Kansas -13.9 18.7 (116) 32.7 (103)
114. FIU -14.0 16.8 (125) 30.7 (89)
115. MTSU -14.1 21.7 (100) 35.8 (113)
116. S. Alabama -14.5 21.6 (101) 36.2 (115)
117. Charlotte -15.2 26.7 (82) 42.0 (124)
118. La. Tech -15.4 18.5 (118) 33.9 (108)
119. Temple -15.9 18.7 (117) 34.6 (110)
120. ODU -15.9 14.0 (128) 29.9 (84)
121. Utah St. -17.5 20.1 (111) 37.6 (118)
122. Akron -18.7 16.6 (126) 35.3 (112)
123. UNLV -19.5 19.2 (114) 38.7 (121)
124. New Mexico -20.0 22.8 (96) 42.8 (128)
125. BGSU -20.9 13.1 (129) 34.0 (109)
126. UL-Monroe -21.6 20.5 (109) 42.1 (125)
127. UConn -22.3 17.7 (122) 40.0 (122)
128. UTEP -24.5 17.9 (120) 42.4 (126)
129. UMass -24.9 20.6 (108) 45.6 (130)
130. NMSU -31.5 12.2 (130) 43.8 (129)
Check out #118. What a program?
LTURd 8 spots better than ULM!!!!
Just to compare, Louisiana 8 spots ahead of Nebraska
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