We made it to the WCWS in 2008 by beating LSU-BR (9 seed) in BR then traveling to Houston (8 seed) and beating them. It is possible to beat a higher seed then a national seed as we've done it before. You're right, though. The percentages are low.
We've also hit a wall in the Supers at places like UCLA (5 seed in 2010) and OU (3 seed in 16'.) However, we've also had Arizona State (4 seed) running in Tempe in 2012, but then lost 2 straight. We were painfully close against Michigan (8 seed) in 2013.
To ragin50's point, the chances are low to beat a 1 or 2 but OU and UCLA both went down in their regionals this year and had to play the If Necessary game. Not easy to beat them, but Wisconsin and Mizzou did it and they are not exactly powerhouses.
Playing the game of hoping we are paired with a manageable 6-12 seed will usually end up in disappointment. It worked out this year in our draw, but the ultimately our best chance to advance is by hosting. Even if you're a 16 seed. You can't get to the supers without winning a regional and as we've seen the past 3 years in a row, it's incredibly hard to win a regional on the road.
JMU just advanced to the super regional round. Good for them
JMU wins regional vs 16 seed Michigan. Of course now they’ve got OU, but congrats on being the only visitors to win.
Okay thanks though I heard 16. Many thought that they were robbed as well.
As a host you can sell recruits that you’re top drawer program. And occasionally we might be a national seed. Way too much worrying about being paired with OU. This week we’re paired with vacation.
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