Week 2 baseball rpi

[Rougarou]

If this were a normal year for injuries with Gunner healthy, our record would be around 23-11 and an RPI around 60 with everybody looking at Regional projections right now.

As it stands now, if our starting rotation continues to solidify, and the bats continue to perform, we have just as good a chance as anybody else to win the SBC tourney.

I am all for having a positive outlook on the rest of the season. However, Gunner started 4 games for us this year (Texas, Maryland, LMU, and Little Rock). We only won one of those games (LMU). Even with Gunner, we were losing. Let's not lose sight of the fact that we started poorly more because of poor play with bad offense, atrocious defensive errors, and up and down pitching rather than injuries.

[ManAboutTown]

Pulled up the Nitty Gritty from 2018 after 33 games.

2018: 4-7 vs top 50; 8-11 vs top 100; #56 overall SOS (#20 OOC SOS); #89 in RPI
2019: 3-8 vs top 50; 8-12 vs top 100; #57 overall SOS (#17 OOC SOS); #98 in RPI

Nearly identical records. We at least had a 4-2 record vs teams over 150 at this point last year.

Thanks for doing the legwork.

The difference between this year and last year is, this team has a lot higher ceiling. We are seeing players getting better (Hayden/Lott/Spears/Orynn/Loch maybe emerging) and we have he arms (if we can just figure out a way to stay healthy and consistent with a rotation.

I’d rather the offense be producing and the pitching be the work in progress. I trust Free and Tony to fix the pitching when it matters most.

We haven’t had this many options on the mound since 2015. While young, and inexperienced in the pen, the talent is definitely there. I say leave Gunner in the closing role and give the guys confidence on the back end. If he’s ready in the postseason, bring him back to anchor the starting rotation.

In the meantime, GORILLA BALL

[ManAboutTown]

I am all for having a positive outlook on the rest of the season. However, Gunner started 4 games for us this year (Texas, Maryland, LMU, and Little Rock). We only won one of those games (LMU). Even with Gunner, we were losing. Let's not lose sight of the fact that we started poorly more because of poor play with bad offense, atrocious defensive errors, and up and down pitching rather than injuries.

I agree with all of that, but let’s also remember that we went Toe to Toe with Texas for 3 games. I think the ceiling is higher than some might believe. We’ve yet to see what we can do when fully healthy, set rotation, bullpen with defined roles, and Wells’ hitting system firmly in place.

Going 5-1 doesn’t really mean dlck to me, I’m just relaying what I’ve been seeing the last 2 weeks. I believe we are starting to see the building blocks get set in place. My question is, will the jump off pad be ready to go by the time conference tourney starts...

[Dad04]

I am all for having a positive outlook on the rest of the season. However, Gunner started 4 games for us this year (Texas, Maryland, LMU, and Little Rock). We only won one of those games (LMU). Even with Gunner, we were losing. Let's not lose sight of the fact that we started poorly more because of poor play with bad offense, atrocious defensive errors, and up and down pitching rather than injuries.

I get it. The frame of reference was the team was headed for 200 RPI. When they get back to .500 it feels to some like a 12 game win streak and they headed straight to Omaha.

[Rougarou]

I agree with all of that, but let's also remember that we went Toe to Toe with Texas for 3 games. I think the ceiling is higher than some might believe. We've yet to see what we can do when fully healthy, set rotation, bullpen with defined roles, and Wells' hitting system firmly in place.

Going 5-1 doesn't really mean dlck to me, I'm just relaying what I've been seeing the last 2 weeks. I believe we are starting to see the building blocks get set in place. My question is, will the jump off pad be ready to go by the time conference tourney starts...

The interesting thing about that Texas series is that if Breaux wouldn't have let that ball go under his glove, we would have taken that Saturday game and I think this whole season would have been different with the confidence from winning that series on the first weekend. But, no use playing woulda, coulda, shoulda. Let's hope some consistency sticks with how they have played recently.

I don't care about tonight or tomorrow as much as I would love to sweep South Al.

[Dad04]

As much as I don't care about midweek games at this point. We so streaky we need momentum going into weekends.

[talktomewillis]

Thanks for doing the legwork.



I’d rather the offense be producing and the pitching be the work in progress. I trust Free and Tony to fix the pitching when it matters most.

This is very good analysis. We only have two senior pitchers. We have four freshmen who really have promise. Wells' system is starting to pay off and anyone who thought it should have happened right away wasn't being reasonable. And, if the draft doesn't bite us, we have a couple of premier arms that will be joining us for next season.

Robe and Freeman will develop the pitchers. Wells' system will work.

[GeauxLouisiana]

This is very good analysis. We only have two senior pitchers. We have four freshmen who really have promise. Wells' system is starting to pay off and anyone who thought it should have happened right away wasn't being reasonable. And, if the draft doesn't bite us, we have a couple of premier arms that will be joining us for next season.

Robe and Freeman will develop the pitchers. Wells' system will work.

Here comes the spin doctor. "All is well. Remain calm."

We don't have to worry about the draft biting us. We have enough seniors leaving that will bite us. Four seniors started last night. Three juniors started last night (Lott, Spears, and Breaux). If Lott is drafted anywhere, he's gone. Lochridge started last night. He won't be back next year. That's 6 guys in the every day lineup that will be gone next year and only 1 would be lost via the draft.

[talktomewillis]

First of all, spin THIS.

Now, I was talking about a couple of arms we've signed. One of them flipped from Ole Miss to us. Those are the guys I'm talking about.

Go ahead and wallow in your anger or depression or whatever it is. If you want to believe the sky is falling, be my guest.

But don't insult those of us who can see farther than our noses.

[Dad04]

Horton was a premier arm too.

[CajunNation]

This is very good analysis. We only have two senior pitchers. We have four freshmen who really have promise. Wells' system is starting to pay off and anyone who thought it should have happened right away wasn't being reasonable. And, if the draft doesn't bite us, we have a couple of premier arms that will be joining us for next season.

Robe and Freeman will develop the pitchers. Wells' system will work.

Now you get outta here with that sugary claptrap. We got no room in here for clear thinking and optimistic viewpoints based in fact.

This is Raginpagin. We sell misery, baby, and business is good.

[anhil8tor]

In 2017 we won 35 games after two super and two regional appearances. Thats pretty freaking good.

The only issue I have is we have been down trending since 2014.
58 Wins
42 Wins
43 Wins
35 Wins
30 Wins

We have 21 games left correct? The the conference tourney. What we are looking at realistically? 35 wins?