Week 1 softball rpi

[Policarp]

The 2 teams that have decent RPI in league are the 2 we played. Have to win them all.

If a single drop of rain potentially falls the days we play Ga State & ULM.....from an RPI perspective better to cancel the game than play it.

[CajunRage]

Not sure where you can find a warren nolan type site for softball but App St and Coastal have a lot of wins. Obviously their SOS is why their RPI is low but those wins may help us more than it seems. Just a thought. Don't know if true or not.

[lcitsh]

Hopefully teams like Northwestern, Minnesota, and Ole Miss falter a bit. If that happens and we can keep winning we could possible get where we need to be in order to host a regional.

Not worried about them. Northwestern and Mississippi will drop simply because they will lose games. Their strength of schedule may go up, but they won't win consistently enough in their respective leagues to stay within hosting range. Minnesota is probably the best team in the Big 10, so they will likely host. The teams to watch are Auburn (will they play consistently well enough to move up) and Oklahoma State (they have some head scratching losses, so what will they do in Big 12 play?).

[lcitsh]

The 2 teams that have decent RPI in league are the 2 we played. Have to win them all.

If a single drop of rain potentially falls the days we play Ga State & ULM.....from an RPI perspective better to cancel the game than play it.

If the Cajuns are not in the top 14 by the time they play Georgia State (April 18, Easter weekend), it may not matter what the Panther's and Warhawk's records are. Hopefully, Coastal Carolina will stay near the top of the conference standings, thus keeping a good record, and Louisiana Tech continues playing well.

[lcitsh]

Team sheets: https://extra.ncaa.org/solutions/rpi...%203.17.19.pdf

Nitty Gritty: https://extra.ncaa.org/solutions/rpi...%203.17.19.pdf

[CajunAmos]

Not sure where you can find a warren nolan type site for softball but App St and Coastal have a lot of wins. Obviously their SOS is why their RPI is low but those wins may help us more than it seems. Just a thought. Don't know if true or not.

I don't think there is anyone doing the Warren Nolan type index but the NCAA site was listed in Lcitsh's post or below. The NCAA site also lists the three major polls on the same site as they are released.

https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/softba...s-softball-rpi

[CajunRage]

I don't think there is anyone doing the Warren Nolan type index but the NCAA site was listed in Lcitsh's post or below. The NCAA site also lists the three major polls on the same site as they are released.

https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/softba...s-softball-rpi

Yea, looking more toward a predictive algorithm that shows how they would impact us. I forgot the breakdown but I thought your opponent's winning percentage was the biggest contributor to the formula outside of your own W/L record.

[VObserver]

Yea, looking more toward a predictive algorithm that shows how they would impact us. I forgot the breakdown but I thought your opponent's winning percentage was the biggest contributor to the formula outside of your own W/L record.

25% your record, 50% opponents record, 25% opponents opponents record.

[CajunRage]

25% your record, 50% opponents record, 25% opponents opponents record.

so 1) their record which is 25% for them, moves to 50% for us = good; 2) their opponents records go from 50% for them, to 25% for us = good; 3) their opponents opponents records drop off = excellent. This could be 6 good rpi games for us unless I'm missing something.

[Cajun90]

Not worried about them. Northwestern and Mississippi will drop simply because they will lose games. Their strength of schedule may go up, but they won't win consistently enough in their respective leagues to stay within hosting range.

I'm not "worried" about them either. That was my point. I don't believe they will keep winning. As for Minnesota they will go the way of Amber Fisher and I have my doubts that she can carry the complete pitching load for them. They had some decent front end competition and a few good wins but all in all it wasn't anything spectacular. This year especially I don't see where being the best in the Big 10 is enough.

Auburn at least has two strong pitchers in its arsenal and I believe might be a surprise for some of their SEC opponents this year. Oklahoma State was another that I almost mentioned in the group with the other three. Well see.