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Thread: Scrimmage #2

  1. #85

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by cajun_lannister View Post
    The home team wins 90% of the time in that series
    So if that holds true, and we take the expected W's of Grambling, Coastal, Tx & NMSU we are at 5 W's heading into the final 1/2 of the season. That would be very nice indeed.

  2. #86

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunNation View Post
    There are no meaningful "measurements" for us.

    This year's LA football squad is very different than last year's squad.

    Next year's squad will be very different than this year's squad.

    It is very possible that we average 6 wins over the next 2 seasons, yet extraordinary progress will have been made. Such is the case in complete program overhauls, which Nape is doing.

    There should be no expectations for a winning season this season. Year 1 is not about win totals. It is about laying a solid foundation.

    I'll be looking for fewer stupid penalties, more effort, improved play by position and conditioning.

    I am going to enjoy this season for what it is.
    Then we can disagree with each other. We are not an FCS start up program, although we are not at our 85 scholarship limit at this time. This league is very top heavy, meaning after AState, App State and Troy, the rest of the conference is closely bungled together in talent and depth. While I'm not certain we are deep enough to overcome serious injuries at certain positions, the starting group will be good enough to play with anyone in this league.

    No one leaves their house and thinks I have no expectation of doing well this week in my job, I'm just going to focus on building my business for the future. If you don't think you will have some success in your job, then why leave the house?

    I don't have any expectations of beating any of the top 3 in the conference this year, but given a few opportunities and breaks, it's not unreasonable to think we could win at least one of those games. But if you are telling me that you have no expectation of winning games against Coastal Carolina, Texas State or New Mexico State at home, then why bother buying tickets? We are not playing in the SEC, this is a _____ league that we won 5 games in last season with mediocre coaching and no defense.

    While it won't be the end of the world if we don't win 6 or 7 games, you don't step on the field without an expectation of winning. If we can't beat Coastal Carolina or Texas State this year, then Coach Napier will have a longer rebuilding project on his hands.

  3. #87

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunT View Post
    Then we can disagree with each other. We are not an FCS start up program, although we are not at our 85 scholarship limit at this time. This league is very top heavy, meaning after AState, App State and Troy, the rest of the conference is closely bungled together in talent and depth.
    And 2 of those 3 are starting new quarterbacks which I came to learn, the hard way, is a big deal in college football. I figured after Broadway left, meh, no big deal, we'll hit the ground running. We hit the ground alright, but it wasn't running.

  4. #88

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunT View Post
    Then we can disagree with each other. We are not an FCS start up program, although we are not at our 85 scholarship limit at this time. This league is very top heavy, meaning after AState, App State and Troy, the rest of the conference is closely bungled together in talent and depth. While I'm not certain we are deep enough to overcome serious injuries at certain positions, the starting group will be good enough to play with anyone in this league.

    No one leaves their house and thinks I have no expectation of doing well this week in my job, I'm just going to focus on building my business for the future. If you don't think you will have some success in your job, then why leave the house?

    I don't have any expectations of beating any of the top 3 in the conference this year, but given a few opportunities and breaks, it's not unreasonable to think we could win at least one of those games. But if you are telling me that you have no expectation of winning games against Coastal Carolina, Texas State or New Mexico State at home, then why bother buying tickets? We are not playing in the SEC, this is a _____ league that we won 5 games in last season with mediocre coaching and no defense.

    While it won't be the end of the world if we don't win 6 or 7 games, you don't step on the field without an expectation of winning. If we can't beat Coastal Carolina or Texas State this year, then Coach Napier will have a longer rebuilding project on his hands.
    We will go 6-6 at worst and 8-4 at best.

    Wins: Grambling, Coastal, NMSU, GaSt, ULM, Texas St and one of the Belts big 3.

    Losses: Moo St, Bama and 2 of the big three.

  5. #89

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by ManAboutTown View Post
    I’ve said many times, good coaching alone can win games in this league. I still believe that and some what expect that to happen this year with our football team.
    At the high school and college level for sure, I think among relatively close peer teams (SBC vs SBC, G5 vs G5, etc) coaching is the biggest factor.

  6. #90

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunT View Post
    ....If we can't beat Coastal Carolina or Texas State this year, then Coach Napier will have a longer rebuilding project on his hands.
    We will be underdogs against Bama, MooSt, App, stAte, Troy and ULM.

    Georgia State has the best player in the SBC in Hart, one the best defenses in the league and finished last season going 7-3 with a Bowl win.

    Coastal finished last season with a 1 point loss at Arkansas followed be going 2-1 the rest of the way in SBC play.

    We always get a good game from NMSU.

    Texas State is very young, but have you noticed their commit list? That staff is doing work, and at the end of the 3rd quarter last season we were only up 14-7 on them.

    We're going into the season with a porous defense and a mystery at QB. We could go 8-4 or 4-8. The same will probably be true for 2019 as well with a probable true Fr. at QB.

    We can not preach patience and perspective enough these next 2 seasons.

  7. #91

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunNation View Post
    There are no meaningful "measurements" for us.

    This year's LA football squad is very different than last year's squad.

    Next year's squad will be very different than this year's squad.

    It is very possible that we average 6 wins over the next 2 seasons, yet extraordinary progress will have been made. Such is the case in complete program overhauls, which Nape is doing.

    There should be no expectations for a winning season this season. Year 1 is not about win totals. It is about laying a solid foundation.

    I'll be looking for fewer stupid penalties, more effort, improved play by position and conditioning.

    I am going to enjoy this season for what it is.
    How can extraordinary progress be made with an average of 6 wins per year? We have some talent and athleticism. We were a poorly prepared team the last couple years and we won some games. You are either underestimating our talent or overestimating the rest of the league.

    While we're at it, I didn't think we hired guys like a Napier for what we are paying him and his coaching pool to demand patience and perspective on a multi-year basis.

  8. #92

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by zephyr View Post
    How can extraordinary progress be made with an average of 6 wins per year? We have some talent and athleticism. We were a poorly prepared team the last couple years and we won some games. You are either underestimating our talent or overestimating the rest of the league.

    While we're at it, I didn't think we hired guys like a Napier for what we are paying him and his coaching pool to demand patience and perspective on a multi-year basis.
    Like

  9. #93

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunNation View Post
    We will be underdogs against Bama, MooSt, App, stAte, Troy and ULM.

    Georgia State has the best player in the SBC in Hart, one the best defenses in the league and finished last season going 7-3 with a Bowl win.

    Coastal finished last season with a 1 point loss at Arkansas followed be going 2-1 the rest of the way in SBC play.

    We always get a good game from NMSU.

    Texas State is very young, but have you noticed their commit list? That staff is doing work, and at the end of the 3rd quarter last season we were only up 14-7 on them.

    We're going into the season with a porous defense and a mystery at QB. We could go 8-4 or 4-8. The same will probably be true for 2019 as well with a probable true Fr. at QB.

    We can not preach patience and perspective enough these next 2 seasons.
    We are going into the season with a defense that won't be last in the season in the conference again. I consider being middle of the pack as a reasonable expectation and anything better would be good for 2 wins in my book. Georgia State may have the best player in the league, although I'm not certain about that. But they are in the same division as App. State, Georgia Southern and Troy. How close the games were last year have some relevance, but every season is different.

    ULM and AState have the best QB's in the conference. Their is not another position that ULM has more talent than UL outside of QB. They will be good on defense, but they also have questions when it comes to depth. By far, they are the two best in our division and we have State at home. Texas State may be doing work, but I'm not a big fan of that staff and happen to believe the HC is nothing special. He couldn't beat Hudpseth in a bad season.

    You take Grambling, Texas State, New Mexico State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, South Alabama and ULM, all are winnable games. I think that our talent is close enough to any of them not to be huge underdogs or not be in the game in the 4th quarter. A lot depends upon our health, but we will be fine in most games in the SBC.

  10. #94

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by zephyr View Post
    How can extraordinary progress be made with an average of 6 wins per year? We have some talent and athleticism. We were a poorly prepared team the last couple years and we won some games. You are either underestimating our talent or overestimating the rest of the league.

    While we're at it, I didn't think we hired guys like a Napier for what we are paying him and his coaching pool to demand patience and perspective on a multi-year basis.
    Saban year 1 at LSU, loses 4 games, including to UAB
    Saban year 2 at LSU, Sugar Bowl

    Saban year 1 at Bama, loses 6 games, including to ULM
    Saban year 2 at Bama, Sugar Bowl

    You gotta break some eggs to make an omelette, and I think ole Nick got paid a little more than Nape.

  11. Default

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunNation View Post
    Saban year 1 at LSU, loses 4 games, including to UAB
    Saban year 2 at LSU, Sugar Bowl

    Saban year 1 at Bama, loses 6 games, including to ULM
    Saban year 2 at Bama, Sugar Bowl

    You gotta break some eggs to make an omelette, and I think ole Nick got paid a little more than Nape.
    Both of those trends occurred in the SEC.
    Billy can win in this league during a rebuild.

  12. #96

    Default Re: Scrimmage #2

    Quote Originally Posted by CajunNation View Post
    Saban year 1 at LSU, loses 4 games, including to UAB
    Saban year 2 at LSU, Sugar Bowl

    Saban year 1 at Bama, loses 6 games, including to ULM
    Saban year 2 at Bama, Sugar Bowl

    You gotta break some eggs to make an omelette, and I think ole Nick got paid a little more than Nape.
    Ole Nick inherited train wrecks in the SEC west where its sink or swim. We are the SBC where small changes in environment and prep can take you from 3 wins to 6 or 7. See Hud year 1. Go from 3 wins the previous year to 9 with many of the same players. This is who I think you would compare us with.

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