2019 Mississippi River

[Boomer]

Yeah it isn't really helping much. Very high SST's in the Gulf for this time of year.

....Whichever one it is actually (nino or Nina) I read/saw somewhere that because of their presence we have less hurricanes but they intensify much more quickly......mentioned the one in Florida that went from zip to cat 5 in 3 days......hope Barry’s numbers don’t kick up in this kind of Speed!

[HelmutVII]

OHC.... Oceanic heat content. See below link for that. Hard to measure near shore but the GOM in general is above average for this time of year.

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/ohc_natl.html

As for the Weather Channel....they got a product to sale.

NHC forecast has been very good so far. Trust those guys or check out Tropicaltidbits.com. That site is run by Levi Cowan who is a Phd candidate at FSU. Kid has been studying atmospheric science since he could walk and is extremely good at what he does. Hasn't even finished school and veteran forecasters look to him all the time for analysis.

Tropical tidbits is good. I get there by going to https://spaghettimodels.com/

[HelmutVII]

On another note people are going nuts. I would hate to see what would happen if a bad storm was on the way. It's like we are turning into a bunch of snowflakes. I saw People buying water. Water of all things. If they want water go to your kitchen and draw water from your faucet. Store it in containers you have at your house. Worst case draw a bathtub of water. Heaven forbid if the electricity goes out and you don't have internet for a day.

[CajunJeaux]

On another note people are going nuts. I would hate to see what would happen if a bad storm was on the way. It's like we are turning into a bunch of snowflakes. I saw People buying water. Water of all things. If they want water go to your kitchen and draw water from your faucet. Store it in containers you have at your house. Worst case draw a bathtub of water. Heaven forbid if the electricity goes out and you don't have internet for a day.

It’s ridiculous... my wife thinks a CAT 5 is coming... she told me to go buy just about everything but a boat... unreal

[CrazyCajun]

On another note people are going nuts. I would hate to see what would happen if a bad storm was on the way. It's like we are turning into a bunch of snowflakes. I saw People buying water. Water of all things. If they want water go to your kitchen and draw water from your faucet. Store it in containers you have at your house. Worst case draw a bathtub of water. Heaven forbid if the electricity goes out and you don't have internet for a day.

It’s insane to see people buying carts and carts of food..all perishable. What are you gonna do with a month supply of bread and milk? Cargo carts with 40 cases of waster, you would swear the end of the world is near.

[Turbine]

Morganza Spillway will not be opened on Sunday. May not be opened at all.

https://katc.com/news/2019/06/06/upd...dway-canceled/

This was a month ago.

Would opening the Morganza Spillway then, and ongoing, have helped the current situation?

[ZoomZoom]

It’s insane to see people buying carts and carts of food..all perishable. What are you gonna do with a month supply of bread and milk? Cargo carts with 40 cases of water, you would swear the end of the world is near.

Our media is more interested in selling fear than reality.

For example, I was out near Denham Springs yesterday. Heard NOLA had a big rain storm (not a drop there). So driving back, I put on 96.5 crossing the basin and Brandon was carrying on about Hurricane Barry yada, yada, yada. So I'm thinking an Audrey scenario...the thing just blew up fast. Nope, got home, hurricane site as of 5 PM said there was three distinct low pressure centers at the time. Fake news by constantly speaking of a low system with no closed circulation by referring to it as a named storm.

And Rob on channel 3...yes, his house flooded, as many of us, including ours. Kind of puts people on edge. But he finds the worst case scenario and throws it out there. Respect the situation, don't cause panic. He was backing down tonight, but the panic act was done, and he got people watching.

And last...the evening 5:30 national news now features weather almost every night...fear sells. Everyone at some point is a potential victim.

Just be smart and safe out there. If even needed.

[HelmutVII]

This was a month ago.

Would opening the Morganza Spillway then, and ongoing, have helped the current situation?

No. it would have raised water levels in the basin. This storm would have raised them even more.
either from storm surge or rainfall. If this storm goes over north and west Louisiana and dumps a lot of rain there then the Red river will discharge to the Atchafalaya and cause the water levels to rise even higher than now. There is not much gravity drainage to the Mississippi River from Louisiana. There are some areas that pump to the river. Hurricane/ tropical storm flooding in Louisiana is from storm surge on the coast or heavy rains in other areas away from the coast. There could be some issues on the Mississippi downstream of New Orleans along the Mississippi due to storm surge.

Bottom line, since for the most part, Louisiana does not gravity drain to the Mississippi River the level of the water in the Mississippi is irrelevant to flooding in Louisiana UNLESS the levees fail. If that happens it's a different story.

[CrazyCajun]

Our media is more interested in selling fear than reality.

For example, I was out near Denham Springs yesterday. Heard NOLA had a big rain storm (not a drop there). So driving back, I put on 96.5 crossing the basin and Brandon was carrying on about Hurricane Barry yada, yada, yada. So I'm thinking an Audrey scenario...the thing just blew up fast. Nope, got home, hurricane site as of 5 PM said there was three distinct low pressure centers at the time. Fake news by constantly speaking of a low system with no closed circulation by referring to it as a named storm.

And Rob on channel 3...yes, his house flooded, as many of us, including ours. Kind of puts people on edge. But he finds the worst case scenario and throws it out there. Respect the situation, don't cause panic. He was backing down tonight, but the panic act was done, and he got people watching.

And last...the evening 5:30 national news now features weather almost every night...fear sells. Everyone at some point is a potential victim.

Just be smart and safe out there. If even needed.

We stayed for Andrew even after seeing what it did to Florida. I don’t remember this much fear mongering for a cat 5 that was having minute long sustained winds of 165mph. Stocked up on beer and charcoal and whole neighborhood brought meat as it would defrost to cook. Everybody helped everybody clean up. People are freaking out over max winds of 70mph. A platform today recorded 52mph winds....wow

[axg8750]

All of our shops are closed in Broussard. They sent employees home Yesterday...at Noon! This is the shop where all of our tools in North America come out of.

A mass email was sent out to all areas our Broussard shops support that stated employees were sent home To ensure they are safe from the approaching Hurricane.

This is a great (and necessary) idea for a serious hurricane...just not understanding the need to shut down the whole operation for this size storm. I guess I’ll just let my clients up here know that they should shut down their rig because broussard may be getting some rain and 52 mph winds.