2019 Mississippi River

[CajunVic]

I’m I the only one who initially read this at “midgets” were swarming and thought WTF??

NO

[IberiaCajun]

.....So with the huge rain forecast and Barry....what happens now?

Just heard they expect the river to reach 20 feet at the Carrollton gage. The top of the levee is 20'. But, it should only last about 1 day. They are expecting a 4' "river surge"; something the weather man had never said before!. The river was at 16 feet.

[CajunEXPRESS]

I'm hearing they're much more worried about local rain flooding than levee topping. Don't know how wise the pump to the river decision fares when the river is on the verge of topping the levee.

[IberiaCajun]

A very good video explaining Mississippi River hydrology and how the ORCS is intended to work. The audio quality is not that good though.

https://youtu.be/XpjPe4kbpYo

Thanks for posting.

[Bandwagon King]

Just heard they expect the river to reach 20 feet at the Carrollton gage. The top of the levee is 20'. But, it should only last about 1 day. They are expecting a 4' "river surge"; something the weather man had never said before!. The river was at 16 feet.

My thoughts & prayers go out for everyone potentially in harm's way during another weather event in our state. But having said that the greatest blessing of all this freezing cold river & spillway water coming from up north is it keeps things like Hurricanes from forming & confounding the experts on the weather channel. With the massive amounts of cold river & spillway water coming out of Louisiana right now. It is a wild card keeping the circulation center from closing on the storm which can't form. Now if some kind of weather pattern would just pick that thing up & get it out of here, we wouldn't have to be so concerned right now.

[Cajun90]

My thoughts & prayers go out for everyone potentially in harm's way during another weather event in our state. But having said that the greatest blessing of all this freezing cold river & spillway water coming from up north is it keeps things like Hurricanes from forming & confounding the experts on the weather channel. With the massive amounts of cold river & spillway water coming out of Louisiana right now. It is a wild card keeping the circulation center from closing on the storm which can't form. Now if some kind of weather pattern would just pick that thing up & get it out of here, we wouldn't have to be so concerned right now.

Yeah it isn't really helping much. Very high SST's in the Gulf for this time of year.

[Bandwagon King]

Yeah it isn't really helping much. Very high SST's in the Gulf for this time of year.

Those " might" be the surface temperatures, but you don't have to dig deep to find a butt load of cold water below. it wasn't very long ago a whole bunch of water feeding the whole Louisiana gulf coast was icebergs in Nebraska, Minnesota, & places even further north. And water is one of the worst conductors of heat. And we haven't had very many days this year so far where temperatures have risen above 90 degrees. So please forgive me for not jumping on that bandwagon. But I have serious doubts about those temperatures feeding this storm. if the salinity levels of the Mississippi tributaries can be affected so greatly, then the temperature levels should be affected to an even greater extent as water is an excellent carrier of sodium., heat not so much.

Something sure is raining on the weather channel's drama parade. My guess is the icy waters of the spillways & the rivers at the tip of the toe.

[Cajun90]

Those " might" be the surface temperatures, but you don't have to dig deep to find a butt load of cold water below. it wasn't very long ago a whole bunch of water feeding the whole Louisiana gulf coast was icebergs in Nebraska, Minnesota, & places even further north. And water is one of the worst conductors of heat. And we haven't had very many days this year so far where temperatures have risen above 90 degrees. So please forgive me for not jumping on that bandwagon. But I have serious doubts about those temperatures feeding this storm. if the salinity levels of the Mississippi tributaries can be affected so greatly, then the temperature levels should be affected to an even greater extent as water is an excellent carrier of sodium., heat not so much.

Something sure is raining on the weather channel's drama parade. My guess is the icy waters of the spillways & the rivers at the tip of the toe.

OHC.... Oceanic heat content. See below link for that. Hard to measure near shore but the GOM in general is above average for this time of year.

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/ohc_natl.html

As for the Weather Channel....they got a product to sale.

NHC forecast has been very good so far. Trust those guys or check out Tropicaltidbits.com. That site is run by Levi Cowan who is a Phd candidate at FSU. Kid has been studying atmospheric science since he could walk and is extremely good at what he does. Hasn't even finished school and veteran forecasters look to him all the time for analysis.

[Boomer]

Yeah it isn't really helping much. Very high SST's in the Gulf for this time of year.

....Whichever one it is actually (nino or Nina) I read/saw somewhere that because of their presence we have less hurricanes but they intensify much more quickly......mentioned the one in Florida that went from zip to cat 5 in 3 days......hope Barry’s numbers don’t kick up in this kind of Speed!

[HelmutVII]

OHC.... Oceanic heat content. See below link for that. Hard to measure near shore but the GOM in general is above average for this time of year.

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/ohc_natl.html

As for the Weather Channel....they got a product to sale.

NHC forecast has been very good so far. Trust those guys or check out Tropicaltidbits.com. That site is run by Levi Cowan who is a Phd candidate at FSU. Kid has been studying atmospheric science since he could walk and is extremely good at what he does. Hasn't even finished school and veteran forecasters look to him all the time for analysis.

Tropical tidbits is good. I get there by going to https://spaghettimodels.com/

[HelmutVII]

On another note people are going nuts. I would hate to see what would happen if a bad storm was on the way. It's like we are turning into a bunch of snowflakes. I saw People buying water. Water of all things. If they want water go to your kitchen and draw water from your faucet. Store it in containers you have at your house. Worst case draw a bathtub of water. Heaven forbid if the electricity goes out and you don't have internet for a day.

[CajunJeaux]

On another note people are going nuts. I would hate to see what would happen if a bad storm was on the way. It's like we are turning into a bunch of snowflakes. I saw People buying water. Water of all things. If they want water go to your kitchen and draw water from your faucet. Store it in containers you have at your house. Worst case draw a bathtub of water. Heaven forbid if the electricity goes out and you don't have internet for a day.

It’s ridiculous... my wife thinks a CAT 5 is coming... she told me to go buy just about everything but a boat... unreal