2019 Mississippi River

[CajunAmos]

All of our shops are closed in Broussard. They sent employees home Yesterday...at Noon! This is the shop where all of our tools in North America come out of.

A mass email was sent out to all areas our Broussard shops support that stated employees were sent home To ensure they are safe from the approaching Hurricane.

This is a great (and necessary) idea for a serious hurricane...just not understanding the need to shut down the whole operation for this size storm. I guess I’ll just let my clients up here know that they should shut down their rig because broussard may be getting some rain and 52 mph winds.

Maybe sent them home to give them time to prep their homes from serious flooding?

[CharlieK]

We stayed for Andrew even after seeing what it did to Florida. I don’t remember this much fear mongering for a cat 5 that was having minute long sustained winds of 165mph. Stocked up on beer and charcoal and whole neighborhood brought meat as it would defrost to cook. Everybody helped everybody clean up. People are freaking out over max winds of 70mph. A platform today recorded 52mph winds....wow

We stayed for Andrew too (in the Berry). The whole damn house was moving and you could see the walls move, then the shingles went bye bye and water poured into the house. Then we didn't have electricity for 4 or 5 days and had to dodge curfew to go get ice in Lafayette. I'll never stay for another one of those.

This ain't that.

[Cajunrunner]

We stayed for Andrew too (in the Berry). The whole damn house was moving and you could see the walls move, then the shingles went bye bye and water poured into the house. Then we didn't have electricity for 4 or 5 days and had to dodge curfew to go get ice in Lafayette. I'll never stay for another one of those.

This ain't that.

New Iberia through St Mary Parish took the brunt of that storm in Louisiana.

[Cajun90]

We stayed for Andrew too (in the Berry). The whole damn house was moving and you could see the walls move, then the shingles went bye bye and water poured into the house. Then we didn't have electricity for 4 or 5 days and had to dodge curfew to go get ice in Lafayette. I'll never stay for another one of those.

This ain't that.

At one point during Andrew I was trying to look out one of the windows and actually felt the window bow. Decided then it was time to go find a safer location. And the house was certainly rocking.

[CrazyCajun]

We stayed for Andrew too (in the Berry). The whole damn house was moving and you could see the walls move, then the shingles went bye bye and water poured into the house. Then we didn't have electricity for 4 or 5 days and had to dodge curfew to go get ice in Lafayette. I'll never stay for another one of those.

This ain't that.

I’m from the berry too, we would take people in vans to go get ice. Remember it very well and agreed, won’t ever stay through one like that again and this isn’t it. The media crying wolf for every single storm is what puts people in danger bc when they really should leave they don’t.

[CharlieK]

Those " might" be the surface temperatures, but you don't have to dig deep to find a butt load of cold water below. it wasn't very long ago a whole bunch of water feeding the whole Louisiana gulf coast was icebergs in Nebraska, Minnesota, & places even further north. And water is one of the worst conductors of heat. And we haven't had very many days this year so far where temperatures have risen above 90 degrees. So please forgive me for not jumping on that bandwagon. But I have serious doubts about those temperatures feeding this storm. if the salinity levels of the Mississippi tributaries can be affected so greatly, then the temperature levels should be affected to an even greater extent as water is an excellent carrier of sodium., heat not so much.

Something sure is raining on the weather channel's drama parade. My guess is the icy waters of the spillways & the rivers at the tip of the toe.

Wait, what? This thing formed essentially right where you are claiming these icy cold waters are, and thus far the predictions have been spot on. They are possibly overstating the rain numbers but I would think they would always err on the safe side there.

Now some people's over reaction to all this is another story. You would think a group of people who have been through big storms would know better.

[CharlieK]

At one point during Andrew I was trying to look out one of the windows and actually felt the window bow. Decided then it was time to go find a safer location. And the house was certainly rocking.

And the house we were in was about 100 years old and made of all the wood in the world. We were scared ____less when you could SEE the walls shaking. Moved to the innermost room and wore out the prayers.

[CajunNation]

And the house we were in was about 100 years old and made of all the wood in the world. We were scared ____less when you could SEE the walls shaking. Moved to the innermost room and wore out the prayers.

For Hurricane Audrey, my dad and his entire family were in his grandparents home in Prairie Gregg, the marsh south of Erath and Delcambre. The women of the family prayed the Rosary until the storm passed. He always told me that he didn't know what scared him more, the house groaning from the winds or the women praying louder and louder as the storm would get louder.


That house didn't make it through Rita. Storm surge cut it in half.

[IberiaCajun]

OHC.... Oceanic heat content. See below link for that. Hard to measure near shore but the GOM in general is above average for this time of year.

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/ohc_natl.html

As for the Weather Channel....they got a product to sale.

NHC forecast has been very good so far. Trust those guys or check out Tropicaltidbits.com. That site is run by Levi Cowan who is a Phd candidate at FSU. Kid has been studying atmospheric science since he could walk and is extremely good at what he does. Hasn't even finished school and veteran forecasters look to him all the time for analysis.

Thanks for the tidbit! Kid is good. A refreshingly nice and calm approach to his analysis.

[ZoomZoom]

OHC.... Oceanic heat content. See below link for that. Hard to measure near shore but the GOM in general is above average for this time of year.

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/ohc_natl.html

As for the Weather Channel....they got a product to sale.

NHC forecast has been very good so far. Trust those guys or check out Tropicaltidbits.com. That site is run by Levi Cowan who is a Phd candidate at FSU. Kid has been studying atmospheric science since he could walk and is extremely good at what he does. Hasn't even finished school and veteran forecasters look to him all the time for analysis.

The FSU hurricane model site is excellent. If you're into different models and parameters, this is your site.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/