2019 Mississippi River

[Turbine]

Arkansas River bursts through levee north of Little Rock.

https://amp.usatoday.com/amp/1297285001

[cajunfan79]

Arkansas River bursts through levee north of Little Rock.

https://amp.usatoday.com/amp/1297285001

would this delay the opening of the morganza, being water that would have been channeled down south now spilling out? Don't know the effect it has futher down here, maybe someone with knowledge can chime in?

[Ragin4U]

would this delay the opening of the morganza, being water that would have been channeled down south now spilling out? Don't know the effect if has futher down here, maybe someone with knowledge can chime in?

I think it's got to make its way back to the river at some point. But you are right, maybe a delay, maybe a little lower level on the Mississippi

[HelmutVII]

Probably won't make that much difference given this quote from the article

"The weather service noted a slight dip in the water level for the levee at Dardanelle, likely due to the breach."

[ZoomZoom]

Tropical models, look at first few days in June. Low pressure crosses Yucatan and comes north per multiple models.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

[Dad04]

The levee at LSU is just about topped, or was yesterday.

https://www.nola.com/environment/201...louisiana.html

[Turbine]

The levee at LSU is just about topped, or was yesterday.

https://www.nola.com/environment/201...louisiana.html

That looks woebegone.

[ManAboutTown]

This is along the Mississippi River north of St. Louis. Like in 1993, months of saturation compromised levees, and they started falling one by one. Levees in Louisiana have been holding back water for a full five months. #Floodof2019 https://t.co/X1kooxN5a8

— Dave Baker (@GMA_Weather) June 2, 2019

[HelmutVII]

I think June 6, is still D Day for opening Morganza.

[Bandwagon King]

I was curious if you'd chime in.

I let you guys have 25 pages of some good info by helmut & then start the ridiculous stuff about drinking water etc. My question still stands & has sound reasoning behind it. Why didn't the core allow more water out of the Butte Larose area earlier & give the spillway more ability to do its job so they could open the Morganza sooner. IF there is massive flooding this time as opposed to the river levels topping out early as they did last time, this will be the direct cause of that flooding. I have read & understand Helmut's reasoning about velocity causing scouring of the levees. But there is something greater to consider here. It isn't just about levee protection. The whole reason for the levee system to begin with is to minimize, or eliminate the flooding on the other side of those levees. Otherwise what good are the levees to begin with. Because the corps overreacted last time they not only avoided a potentially hazardous horrible situation, they made it look like they knew exactly what they were doing. This time late & lazy reaction to this could lead to catastrophic flooding throughout ALL of South Central Louisiana.

[Boomer]

I think June 6, is still D Day for opening Morganza.

.....Way back in the start of this thread, the worry of a tropical system was mentioned by a poster.....well, it looks as this scenario seems to be close to manifesting itself....help Helmut and BWK.....what is the latest and why?....and as usual, thanks so much for your efforts!!!

[CharlieK]

https://katc.com/news/2019/06/03/upd...-bwuE71Nv1tll4