The question is asked is this area or that area in danger. If you live inside the Achafalaya flood way (between the east and west levees) AND they open Morganza then you are not safe. If you didn't get the annual spring letter from the Corps of Engineers saying that they may have to open the spillway then you are OK. If you live adjacent to the Achafalya levees or the Mississippi River levees then you may be in danger if the levee breaks. The entire length of the levee won't break, it will break at isolated locations. If you live near a levee and you walk to the top and the water is within five feet of elevation of the top of the levee It's time to be concerned. Every place in Missouri and Iowa that had problems was a result of a levee breaking or a failure of a dam or a breach of a dam. If there is any possibility of that here in Louisiana, you will hear about it unless you live under a rock.
Now, with the rains we are expecting this week. All bets are off. If you live in an area subject to flooding or you had problems in August of 2016 then I would keep my eye on the weather for the next few days. If a storm cell decides to stay in the area we could be in for some problems.
After being in the practice of Engineering for 43 years I am used to giving a professional opinion. I do it all the time. If somebody asked if they are in danger I would say it depends on what you are doing. If a pedestrian is crossing a busy street I would say they are in danger. However, if they do it carefully and understand the potential for harm then they have a reasonable expectation of crossing the street safely. Not a guarantee. Anything can happen at any time. ie the pedestrian could have a heart attack while crossing the street.
If somebody asks, am I in danger of flooding?. I would answer, it depends on where you are (see my above post). If you live next to a levee and the water is close to the top. Yeah, you might be in danger. Especially if the levee breaks. Might be wise to get your affairs in order. If a bunch of guys in pick up trucks and flashing lights show up and they are walking around with hard hats and safety vests. You might want to think about getting out. Just sayin. Best thing to do is to keep abreast of the situation and be prepared for anything.
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