While I believe our chances are slim (and we know where he is) for an at-large one thing that people are leaving out of the equation are "stolen bids" and "depth" of the major conferences. I haven't looked at the depth issue but if a couple of P5 conferences are shallow in teams up for consideration and the there weren't a bunch of stolen bids from some of the leagues that are two or three bid conferences then I wouldn't rule it out completely.