Baseball rpi

[Professor]

When Brian declares we "must" win the tourney then I will worry more. BUt, i'm not going to lie. We better get our azzes in gear

Guess what, you can make Brian the end all be all but if we finish 3rd in conference and don't win tourney it over. He can put whetev formula he wants into it. It's a fail. MAT is correct, I think we have 11 games left we need to win 10 of them

[J-Town Cajun]

I am now of the belief we must win the remaining series, midweek games and make it to Sunday to get in.

We definitely get in under this scenario.

[ManAboutTown]

I am referring to your statement "this is a "win the tournament or stay home" situation".

An at-large bid is still a possibility. Simple as that. And they do not need another nine game winning streak to do it ... but they need to play good baseball (as they were prior to last weekend), probably finish Top 3 in conference, and have a decent Sun Belt Tournament. Will they do it? Nobody knows. But it is not yet a "win the tournament or stay home situation".

Brian

Sorry GG, I disagree. I hope like hell im wrong, but outside of a 9 game stretch in April, our sample size is pretty clear. I'll say again, expecting this team to win 85% of its remaining games is lofty. It would be lofty to EXPECT any team to do so.

[angeleast]

Sorry GG, I disagree. I hope like hell im wrong, but outside of a 9 game stretch in April, our sample size is pretty clear. I'll say again, expecting this team to win 85% of its remaining games is lofty. It would be lofty to EXPECT any team to do so.

I 'll put it this way, I agree with brian that it is possible if we over perform.. it's possible. But not probable. I think Brian was trying to say its still in play if we win at a very high percentage here on out. But I don't see that happening. With Brian statistical analysis he ll be the first to know when we are past the point of no return and we have to win the tourney. Will we win 85% or 90%, I hope but but I would not bet on it.

[IHateLaState]

I think our history will play into a decision. I also think that the SP series will be thrown out as an outlier. So if we play well down the stretch (not putting a number on it) and do well in the tourney (not win because that of course puts us in anyway), then I think we will be last five in first five out.... In that scenario I'm thinking we get in...

Now I don't have any inside sources nor do I work the numbers (thanks GG) I just think we have built a rep over the years that gets us consideration where 5 years ago we may not.... Anyway let's win tonight

[angeleast]

I think our history will play into a decision. I also think that the SP series will be thrown out as an outlier. So if we play well down the stretch (not putting a number on it) and do well in the tourney (not win because that of course puts us in anyway), then I think we will be last five in first five out.... In that scenario I'm thinking we get in...

Now I don't have any inside sources nor do I work the numbers (thanks GG) I just think we have built a rep over the years that gets us consideration where 5 years ago we may not.... Anyway let's win tonight

sweeping this series is a must. If we shat the bed and go 1-2 all this speculation is irrelevant. A sweep for the good guys makes our goals more obtainable .

[Cajun90]

I think our history will play into a decision. I also think that the SP series will be thrown out as an outlier. So if we play well down the stretch (not putting a number on it) and do well in the tourney (not win because that of course puts us in anyway), then I think we will be last five in first five out.... In that scenario I'm thinking we get in...

Now I don't have any inside sources nor do I work the numbers (thanks GG) I just think we have built a rep over the years that gets us consideration where 5 years ago we may not.... Anyway let's win tonight

Our history isn't going to help us get in. Nor is that SP series getting tossed. If anything it will used against us beyond what it has done to our RPI number. It can be a prime example of how we didn't put together a strong schedule.

[wcd35]

On a positive, the future scheduling is much better. For out of conference, obviously there are some tougher high level teams (Texas, Maryland and Minute Maid Classic). Also, Bab mentioned we have Wright St as a home series which is a very solid RPI building team as they are usually a higher WP and typically a regional team. Continuing the series with SHSU as well in coming years.

[ManAboutTown]

Our history isn't going to help us get in. Nor is that SP series getting tossed. If anything it will used against us beyond what it has done to our RPI number. It can be a prime example of how we didn't put together a strong schedule.

This is where I fall on the issue, and is a big reason I feel the way I do.

[jumboragncajun]

Luc's sophomore year, we were 39-20 with a 56 RPI and didn't get in. We are at 59 right now.