I think most of us are thinking the same thing. Hud is content competing for a bowl. That doesn't require we beat any P5... or maybe even a top G5 program on our schedule. He is not going to veer from his basic philosophy. It worked in his first 4 years... so he is basically trying to reconstitute that capability. I do not see him ever moving into a change in approach that will slay a top G5 or anything but a floundering P5.
To even get back to Hud's first 4 years... one that most have forgotten were not spectacular in any regard... we must recruit better QBs. I'm not stupid about all of the other essentials... but in watching Hud's system closely for 6 years... he requires hitting the jackpot with skill players. He isn't building on top of a "system"... that improves year to year. He is just running the numbers every year. And he needs to get lucky with a combination of skill players... that includes a premium athlete at QB. This is football checkers... not chess.