Its certainly worrisome that the river is still in major flood stage and we have a rainmaker sitting just offshore and a potential storm/hurricane down the road.
The longer that wave down by the Bahamas stays weak the higher the chance that it is going to get deeper into the GOM because it will be influenced by the low level steering currents which will keep it headed West. As of this a.m. it appears that it will indeed stay weak for at least a few more days. Not good because the GOM is going to be a powder keg for development.