The August Flood of 2016

[HelmutVII]

This is a great link to all kinds of weather stuff. It is updated frewuently.


http://www.spaghettimodels.com/

[RaisingCajun08]

The slower this storm moves the better it is for all of us, including Florida. As poorly developed as it is now, a path over Florida would be way less devastating that what we saw a couple weeks ago. Meteorologist predicting 3-5" of rain to Florida if that happens. If it goes into the Gulf, hold on to your hats.

[basinbear]

This is a great link to all kinds of weather stuff. It is updated frewuently.


http://www.spaghettimodels.com/

Everything you need to track storms is there.

[Cajun90]

See the note on the site that said "peak of 19.31 on 8/13/2016 determined from high water mark". That's telling me the water level on the 13th and 14th was higher than the gage could measure and the peak was 19.31). The datum for this gage is MSL (That is 0.0 on the gage is 0.0 Mean Sea Level MSL by North American Vertical Datum, NAVD 1988.) So a reading on this gage can be directly correlated any elevation based on the same datum. This is unlike the Surrey Street gage that is off by 2.76 feet (0.0 on the gage is 2.76 feet MSL NAVD 88). That's why sometimes the gage readings may not jive if you don't know this.

Thanks. Got it now but its showing a high water mark of 19.91 ft. The median is 2.20 feet. So if I'm reading this correctly, and I think I am, the river rose 17.71 feet above its normal level at the E. Broussard bridge!

[NewsCopy]

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[Ragin4U]

Water in the GOM is very warm. Once the storm get out of the Florida Strait and into the deeper warmer waters, we might see some strengthening. But the model runs are looking much better, for those who actually think computer models have value.

[Ragin4U]

Everything you need to track storms is there.

Great site. Thx

[Boomer]

Thanks. Got it now but its showing a high water mark of 19.91 ft. The median is 2.20 feet. So if I'm reading this correctly, and I think I am, the river rose 17.71 feet above its normal level at the E. Broussard bridge!

---What is the latest guess on the maybe Hurricane's tract???

[RaisingCajun08]

Water in the GOM is very warm. Once the storm get out of the Florida Strait and into the deeper warmer waters, we might see some strengthening. But the model runs are looking much better, for those who actually think computer models have value.

Being computer models are about all we have, I like what I am seeing.

[Cajun90]

---What is the latest guess on the maybe Hurricane's tract???

Well its going to make it into the Gulf and like 99% of all hurricanes in the GOM it will make a right hand turn at some point in time. The weaker it stays the later it will make that turn. We are on the outskirts of the envelope with the various models. Highest chance will be Florida panhandle to Miss. However without a consolidated low for the models to lock onto its a little bit of a guessing game.

We probably won't have a good idea of what it is up to until late Monday or Tuesday.

[Zeebart21]

Water in the GOM is very warm. Once the storm get out of the Florida Strait and into the deeper warmer waters, we might see some strengthening. But the model runs are looking much better, for those who actually think computer models have value.

arent computer models supposedly giving us info on global warming/climate change/ climate adjustment?

[Boomer]

arent computer models supposedly giving us info on global warming/climate change/ climate adjustment?

---Possible hitting the nail on the head of the best question of the year!!! Did you vote For Algore?? lol