BB 2016: Hosting or Not?

[ManAboutTown]

I hope it's 4-0

Contact high from Baseball America.. They got the good stuff... fixed it.

[MiamiCajun32]

I wonder how important it is that the teams in the 40s in RPI Cajuns played stay in top 50. That 11-9 record against top 50 that the experts say is big positive factor will drop if Northwestern St., Sam Houston, South Alabama or SLU fall out of top 50.

[ManAboutTown]

I wouldn't be surprised if they put LSU, Tech, and UL in one regional just watch and see.

I would honestly love that. So much hate...

[Ragin9221]

LMFAO! Almost made me spill my morning coffee.

[CajunAlum10]

Baseball America is smoking drugs..
Regardless, we have to go 4-0 this week. Even then, I think we barely have a chance. But good to get some pub, and hopefully this shows that people are actually considering us.

I agree that BA may be smoking something... but not for the reasons you point out.

I don't see UL AND Tulane both getting host spots. And I think LSU is going to be a National Seed unless they fail in the SEC Tourney. They listed Virginia as getting the last Natty Seed over LSU because they finished 3rd in the #1 RPI Conference. I don't think that's a strong enough case. LSU played a much tougher non-conference schedule (shocking I know, with the cupcakes they usually schedule) than did Virginia. LSU's NonConf RPI is 19 and NC SOS 53. Virginia NonConf RPI is 59 and NC SOS 96. I think LSU gets the nod here...

And about your comment concerning the Cajuns barely having a chance? You are way off base my friend. Logistically, the Cajuns are set up very well with a legitimate case to host at this point. Everything changed the minute we gained a share of the Sun Belt Regular Season Crown and Southern Miss got swept. As Brian points out, sure we have an 0-4 record vs. Top 25 RPI. But we are also 11-9 against the Top 50. The committee will view the Top 50 performance as a very good thing. Also, our NonConf SOS is #1 and our NC RPI is #7. The numbers don't lie, and the committee has shown in years past to almost rely on the numbers to a fault at times. This is where it will help us.

Regardless of what you think of the Cajuns full season performance... at the end of the day... we finished very hot and made a statement by taking 2 of 3 from South Alabama to vault us to the top of the League standings. If we then go and win the Conference Tourney, we are a virtual LOCK to host a regional.

First thing's first though, let's go take care of business this week. None of this will matter if we go 0-2 in the tourney.

[scotto_25]

I agree that BA may be smoking something... but not for the reasons you point out.

I don't see UL AND Tulane both getting host spots. And I think LSU is going to be a National Seed unless they fail in the SEC Tourney. They listed Virginia as getting the last Natty Seed over LSU because they finished 3rd in the #1 RPI Conference. I don't think that's a strong enough case. LSU played a much tougher non-conference schedule (shocking I know, with the cupcakes they usually schedule) than did Virginia. LSU's NonConf RPI is 19 and NC SOS 53. Virginia NonConf RPI is 59 and NC SOS 96. I think LSU gets the nod here...

And about your comment concerning the Cajuns barely having a chance? You are way off base my friend. Logistically, the Cajuns are set up very well with a legitimate case to host at this point. Everything changed the minute we gained a share of the Sun Belt Regular Season Crown and Southern Miss got swept. As Brian points out, sure we have an 0-4 record vs. Top 25 RPI. But we are also 11-9 against the Top 50. The committee will view the Top 50 performance as a very good thing. Also, our NonConf SOS is #1 and our NC RPI is #7. The numbers don't lie, and the committee has shown in years past to almost rely on the numbers to a fault at times. This is where it will help us.

Regardless of what you think of the Cajuns full season performance... at the end of the day... we finished very hot and made a statement by taking 2 of 3 from South Alabama to vault us to the top of the League standings. If we then go and win the Conference Tourney, we are a virtual LOCK to host a regional.

First thins first though, let's go take care of business this week. None of this will matter if we go 0-2 in the tourney.

I agree with you 100%.

[MiamiCajun32]

House of Sparky's field of 64 projections have Cajuns as #1 seed, but traveling to Fullerton. The ole house of sparky projection:

http://www.houseofsparky.com/2016/5/...ate-louisville

[MiamiCajun32]

House of Sparky's field of 64 projections have Cajuns as #1 seed, but traveling to Fullerton. The ole house of sparky projection:

http://www.houseofsparky.com/2016/5/...ate-louisville

traveling to Long Beach, not fullerton.

[ManAboutTown]

I agree that BA may be smoking something... but not for the reasons you point out.

I didn't point out any reasons.

I don't see UL AND Tulane both getting host spots. And I think LSU is going to be a National Seed unless they fail in the SEC Tourney. They listed Virginia as getting the last Natty Seed over LSU because they finished 3rd in the #1 RPI Conference. I don't think that's a strong enough case. LSU played a much tougher non-conference schedule (shocking I know, with the cupcakes they usually schedule) than did Virginia. LSU's NonConf RPI is 19 and NC SOS 53. Virginia NonConf RPI is 59 and NC SOS 96. I think LSU gets the nod here...

No one thinks that. It's kind of the point.

And about your comment concerning the Cajuns barely having a chance? You are way off base my friend. Logistically, the Cajuns are set up very well with a legitimate case to host at this point. Everything changed the minute we gained a share of the Sun Belt Regular Season Crown and Southern Miss got swept. As Brian points out, sure we have an 0-4 record vs. Top 25 RPI. But we are also 11-9 against the Top 50. The committee will view the Top 50 performance as a very good thing. Also, our NonConf SOS is #1 and our NC RPI is #7. The numbers don't lie, and the committee has shown in years past to almost rely on the numbers to a fault at times. This is where it will help us.

So we're average against top 50 teams and 0-4 against the top tier group of 25, and you think that won't matter to the committee? Not to mention, at least 3 of those teams are in danger of falling out of the RPI top 50 this week. If a couple of upsets happen in the SBC tournament and we ended playing RPI 140+ teams, that's not going to help our resume' or our cause much. Even if we go undefeated. Everything didn't "change" with a regular season championship. It helped a lot, but it didn't transform our resume'. Couple that with South Al crapping the bed and you get a rather watered down argument. I'm trying to see this through the eyes of people that aren't wearing red.

Regardless of what you think of the Cajuns full season performance... at the end of the day... we finished very hot and made a statement by taking 2 of 3 from South Alabama to vault us to the top of the League standings. If we then go and win the Conference Tourney, we are a virtual LOCK to host a regional.

My thoughts on the season are this: It's been a good stretch run, and I'm glad the pitching staff is healthy and ready to go. Still, a series win at South Al doesn't erase the fact that we're merely average against our peer group (which is 20-50 if you go by the full season evidence). It doesn't matter what Cajun fans think. It matters what the committee thinks, and on paper, I don't see the evidence. Now, if we go out and beat South Al and Troy a couple times, that helps. Still, its an outside chance.

First thing's first though, let's go take care of business this week. None of this will matter if we go 0-2 in the tourney.

No matter what happens this week, we're no where close to a lock to host. That's crazy talk.

[wcd35]

D1Baseball's new projection:

http://www.d1baseball.com/projection...eball64052416/

Lafayette Regional:
Louisiana
Utah
Tulane
Sam Houston St