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Thread: Interesting point!

  1. #1

    Default Interesting point!

    Jay mentioned yesterday, I think, that in every SR we have been in, the team winning the first game lost the next two. Food for thought if it is true.


  2. #2

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by raoul View Post
    Jay mentioned yesterday, I think, that in every SR we have been in, the team winning the first game lost the next two. Food for thought if it is true.
    Correct.
    1999: Lost to Rice (won game 1) in the Astrodome
    2000: Beat S. Carolina (lost game 1)
    2014: Lost to Ole Miss (won game 1)

    The game 1 winner has lost every Super Regional we've been in.

  3. #3

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by jllanclos View Post
    Correct.
    1999: Lost to Rice (won game 1) in the Astrodome
    2000: Beat S. Carolina (lost game 1)
    2014: Lost to Ole Miss (won game 1)

    The game 1 winner has lost every Super Regional we've been in.
    So ya saying there's a chance!

  4. #4

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    Nobody is winning the series today


  5. #5

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    Crazy thing is: 77% of the time, the game 1 winner advances.

    Our experience has been quite different.

    Let's win today and tomorrow and leave that behind.


  6. #6

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    23% of the time, it works every time. At least in our case.


  7. Default

    Quote Originally Posted by jllanclos View Post
    Crazy thing is: 77% of the time, the game 1 winner advances.

    Our experience has been quite different.

    Let's win today and tomorrow and leave that behind.
    Yes ... but not 77% of the time when the series goes three games.

    Hypothesizing here ... our super regionals (three to date) have all gone three games ... very competitive. I would venture to say that if you looked at a statistically significant sample, you would find that the winner of Game 2 tends to win the series more than not when there is a third game (it always wins if it goes two). I also believe it may be by a significant margin. Momentum plays a real role here.

    Brian

  8. #8

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Yes ... but not 77% of the time when the series goes three games.

    Hypothesizing here ... our super regionals (three to date) have all gone three games ... very competitive. I would venture to say that if you looked at a statistically significant sample, you would find that the winner of Game 2 tends to win the series more than not when there is a third game (it always wins if it goes two). And it may be by a significant margin. Momentum plays a real role here.

    Brian
    Interesting. But that would require research, and it's Saturday. LOL

  9. #9

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    If we can get past Lange with a win tonight, book your tickets to Omaha.


  10. Default Re: Interesting point!

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Yes ... but not 77% of the time when the series goes three games.

    Hypothesizing here ... our super regionals (three to date) have all gone three games ... very competitive. I would venture to say that if you looked at a statistically significant sample, you would find that the winner of Game 2 tends to win the series more than not when there is a third game (it always wins if it goes two). I also believe it may be by a significant margin. Momentum plays a real role here.

    Brian
    ---Might even find a higher % of the game 2 (with Mo) winners winning the 3rd if on a home venue!!!

  11. #11

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Yes ... but not 77% of the time when the series goes three games.

    Hypothesizing here ... our super regionals (three to date) have all gone three games ... very competitive. I would venture to say that if you looked at a statistically significant sample, you would find that the winner of Game 2 tends to win the series more than not when there is a third game (it always wins if it goes two). I also believe it may be by a significant margin. Momentum plays a real role here.

    Brian
    I agree. That's why I personally believe our only shot is to win in two. And that ain't happening.

  12. #12

    Default Re: Interesting point!

    If it goes to a 3rd game we are doomed.


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