I am a Troy grad and have been following since around 1968.

I will admit this game has me worried. I said the same thing on the Troy board.

For one thing Troy does not play nearly as well on the road. Another problem is we had problems with Western Kentucky and several other weak teams before finally pulling away, usually in the third quarter. Also last year we had the best DB's we probably have ever had. They are all gone and we may have the weakest ones now, tho they have improved a bit. We also give up a lot of big plays both running and passing.

On the positive side, CLB has a habit of calling off the dogs early and taking knees when the game is not in doubt toward the end. That means the scores in some could have been a lot better. The offense at times seems unstoppable.

On an even bet I would put money on Troy and still not be confident, but against the odds I would go with you.