MWC will qualify unless Hawaii beats Fresno in Fresno. MWC has 6 bowl eligible teams now for 6 bowl tie-ins. If Fresno beats Hawaii, they will play in the conference championship game, representing the West division against, most likely, Boise State. NCAA allows 6-7 teams that played in their conference championship game to qualify for bowls, so that will give the MWC 7 bowl eligible teams. Even if Boise gets into the access bowl, that will still be 6 teams for 6 tie-ins, and the New Orleans Bowl is #6 in the MWC pecking order.