Well, since Phil Steele has his mag coming out soon, I figured I'd give my prospectus for the upcoming season and final SBC rankings. This is an objective prognosis on the season, not one from a fans eyes.
1. Troy
2. Arkansas State
3. FAU
4. Louisiana
5. FIU
6. MTSU
7. WKU
8. ULM
9. NT
I was debating between my pick of ASU and Troy at the top but I felt like I had to go Troy due to their overall talent level and the returners they do have coming back as huge contributors. They have only 13 starters coming back but the one's they have are big time. Levi Brown, Jernigan and Dujuan Harris are huge playmakers and will be rivaled by few in the league. Their line has to replace a few guys but they return 8 on offense. They only return 5 on D but they have the best LB's in the league with Lee and Woods back. They also have Brandon Lang who was named an all-american candidate recently and should be the other DE on the all-conference team next to Alex Carrington.
ASU returns a ton of people and they should be extremely solid this year. I don't think there is much chance of us or many around our conference beating them at their place. They return 17 starters and have playmakers all over with Arnold and Leonard back to have big years. They also have most of their WR's back with Thompkins and McLennon. They only return 2 starters on the OL but I don't know how that will affect them. They have an all-conference TE in Jordan and Greg Hardy is their best tackler coming back. They may have the best player in the conference in DE Alex Carrington. In case any of you missed him dominate for about 3 quarters against us last year, he is a MAN and will play on Sundays.
FAU= I give them the nod at 3 but we could possibly take this spot. They do return Rusty Smith and Cortez Gent along with their all-conference TE Harmon but they only return a total of 10 starters with only 4 on Defense. They lost basically ALL of their running production from last year so they will have to throw the ball a ton. Defensively, they lost Franz Joseph but they do have a pretty good Defensive secondary.
Louisiana= I wanted to put us in the 3 spot but the uncertainty at RB and somewhat at QB makes me skiddish. Its been a long time since we had to worry about our RB production because we had a guy that didn't fumble, miss blocking assignments, caught the ball and ran all over the field. We don't have that big play potential at least as of yet. We really don't know what we have and since this offense has relied so heavily upon the rush in recent years, that scares me. I'm not as worried about the QB spot because I think we have the talent, leadership and character there to lead no matter who it is. Our WR's are certainly not great but we don't need them to be. They just have to be balanced and catch the ball. We will obviously be led by Ladarius Green and Aubrey catching the ball with some of our speedsters hopefully opening up the field a bit. Our O-Line is truly our strength as we have experience, talent and size up front to help move the ball. We return a total of 16 players with 9 of them defensively. I think the D will be much improved and if we can avoid the injury bug this year, they could save us in some games. Personally, I think we have the best CB's in the league in Bentley and Aurienne and if Gillis hadn't got hurt, we'd be really deep also. This D, however, is one year away from being the best we've had in quite some time.
FIU= Return 15 starters but lose some defensive starters and that will hurt. Sure, they have Hilton back who was awesome last year but they lost their two RB's in Ned and Rheams and that will hurt. They still have Scott Bryant who is a great LB and they have Paul McCall but I just don't think they will have much in firepower nor a stout enough D to play the field position game this year.
MTSU= Really not much known about these guys. They lost Craddock who played tremendously last year. They lost their RB but return Gee who I think is being put back to WR. They bring back their entire O-Line and have Dwight Dasher back at QB. He has been inconsistent and runs well but his passing game is in question. They have all of their WR's back. Defensively, they lost a lot and are relying on incoming freshmen to help with depth so they will be young here.
WKU= Really not much known about them so I can't comment much. They were pretty solid last year and had a great recruiting class this year so the talent is there.
ULM= Lost a lot from last year, especially Defensively.They also lose Kinsmon Lancaster who was bashed by the ULM fans but I always thought he was way underrated. They have Trey Revell who the fans loved and has some serious talent. I think he ran for almost 100 yards against us last year and he should be solid. They return Frank Goodin and Luther Ambrose but I don't think they will have the offensive firepower to compete in the conference. They lost key defensive personnel like Josh Thompson and also TE Zeke Zacharie.
NT= They lose Vizza who will hurt and also lost Fitzgerald, the best WR in the league last year. Offensively, they will struggle unless they can run the ball 30-40 times a game. They have possibly the best RB in the league in Cam Montgomery who is a beast and also have a stable of back with Micah Mosely and some other talented guys hoping to get time. Riley Dodge will take over at QB so he will be untested. He is dual threat guy but the fans are unsold on his passing ability so we will have to see. They can be scary since they return 17 starters and all of their OL starters from last year to help that running game even more. They lost mostly on the DL but bring back all LB's and DB's starters so their D will be much improved. They could easily finish 2 spots better with some good luck and development with Dodge
Well, that is my assessment of the upcoming season. I'm almost considering changing it and putting ASU on top but I just think Troy will have too much talent across the board. I'm open to any criticisms or comments but I tried to look at each team and who they returned along with lettermen returning to develop my analysis which is obviously limited. I know our team will rely on returning player development as all teams will that will also play a part as to who finishes where. Of course ULM and WKU were the only teams not to have a spring prospectus uploaded on their website so information is limited.