OK, the beginning of this thread started well and is very important. Like Turbine mentioned, even with a perfect year, we would be under 925. Parrott mentioned this too.
Josh said that the official scores are a year behind and the 07-08 scores will be released soon.
The question I have is, when do penalties come into effect. Wouldn't we be subject to penalties now? Do they start a 4 year watch period after a low score?
It sounds somewhat like from what Josh was saying, that when the 08-09 scores come out, we want to be perfect with a 09-10 score to show that we are not having any issues with APR. It almost sounds subjective to some extent and that we would maybe appeal a decision or bring this forward if there was some hearing.
My main thing is when and how does the NCAA draw the line on penalties and when they are enforced? I'm missing something since we have been below 925 on a 4 year average for a while now.
Parrott, if you read this, please enlighten...
Since the schools are self reporting and it is an easy formula to figure out the scores, David Walker already knows UL's score for the historical period 2004_05 - 2007_08
He also has a very good indication what the score will be for the 4 year period of 2005_06 - 2008_09
AND if 2008_09 comes in like he is expecting he knows that in 2009_10 UL can score as low as .727 and not hurt basketball or any other sport.
He knows the full range of possibilities for the historical period 2006_07 - 2009_10 and danger to the other programs is not one of them no matter who the coach is.
Now does the NCAA evaluate for penalties every year? If so, did we avoid them for the last couple of years?
Does anyone know or can anyone name a Division I school who has been penalized by the APR? In other words are there any other schools prohibited from going to the post season?
The other afternoon on Ryckman's show, Parrott was saying something about the program not only having to achieve a good APR score this year (08-09), but that they also had to post another good score in 09-10, or else they would still face penalties. Does anyone know what this is about? If a school's APR is judged on 4 year rolling averages, then why is a 5th year being worked in?
I updated the chart in post 1 hopefully it explains things better.
Bottom line is, if UL was going to be penalized in the post season for all sports it would have happened already.
We are currently living under
2003-04 - Evans
2004-05 - Lee
2005-06 - Lee
2006-07 - Lee
The 2007-08 numbers while already known for almost a year will officially be release by the NCAA in May.
It is important to note that every day that 2007-08 was being compiled in the classroom; it was virtually pushing 2003-04 off the books.
While there is a 2 season delay between when the numbers are created and their effect on the program, as we read 2008-09 is virtually pushing 2004-05 off the books.
Next year 2009-10 will erase the effects of the very bad year of 2005-06.
Not much needs to happen good in 2009-10 if all the players make the grade as many as 11 could transfer without any historical repercussions to the school when that particular years historical period begins. It is not that easy however as 3 perfect APR years would need to follow.
What could happen in 2009 with zero consequences . . . is 3 players could transfer and UL would still score a satisfactory .928 with a historical score of .976 when that year’s historical phase kicks in 2 years later.
Go to the NCAA APR ratings site.
http://www.ncaa.org/wps/ncaa?ContentID=329
The U. of LaTextsers@Ruston is dealing with a basketball scholarship loss (maybe more) due to an APR penalty.
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