My sleepy projections.
SEC
OUT: Tennessee and Mississippi State, both can make it and UT has the better chance but they have to be perfect.
PROBABLY OUT: Auburn (has to beat either UGA or Bama) Arkansas (has to win 2 of Miss St, LSU, and South Carolina)
Unless something odd happens Bama and Florida make the BCS. They might manage to get one of UT, Auburn and Arkansas eligible but I don't see two and think three is close to impossible.
C-USA
OUT: USM, UAB, Tulane, SMU. Tulane has to win out and has 3 of 4 on the road. USM has to win out and has 2 of 3 on the road though one is SMU.
IN: Tulsa and Rice
BUBBLE: Marshall (needs to win 2, has UCF and Tulsa at home and goes to ECU and Rice), ECU (needs two wins with 5 left, winner of ECU/Marshall probably in), Memphis (must win two, travel to SMU, host UCF and Tulane), UCF (has to win four of five), Houston (has to win 2 of 4 and 3 are at home) UTEP (has to win 3 of 4 and only one is at home and its their easiest game, SMU).
I say they get five probably shorting Houston UNLESS Houston is one of the five then they short New Orleans, it they trip up and only get four they will short Houston and New Orleans.
Big XII
IN: Six teams
OUT: Iowa State, Baylor and TAMU. Baylor has to win out and still have to play UT and TT. TAMU has to win 2 of three that means they have to beat Baylor and one of UT and OU.
BUBBLE: Nebraska (needs one of three, has Kansas and CU at home go to K-State), Colorado (needs two of three, host Iowa State and Okie St, travel to Nebraska), Kansas State (needs two of three, travel to Mizzou, host Nebraska and Iowa State).
Houston has their 8th team, since they'll place two BCS, they need 9 to fill Houston and 8 to fill Indy. I think Houston is vacant, Shreveport quite likely.
ArkSt. fan do you see 3 SBC teams getting in?
If we get three eligible, I think so.
Birmingham is going to be open for one slot and they have to take an available Sun Belt.
Indy is a closer call but they could potentially be short on both sides. If they are open, they have to take an available Sun Belt if one is left after Birmingham/St. Pete take teams (I don't think St. Pete will be short).
Even if Indy doesn't have a spot, I don't think the Texas Bowl is going to have one or both of their contracted teams. Even though they don't have a deal with the Sun Belt, they don't have anyone in the neighborhood to pick from other than a Sun Belt team.
Right now the big thing is getting three eligible.
Don't forget there is a second Sun Belt bowl dark horse other than ASU. FIU has to win three of the final four but of the four, three are at home and the other is grueling trip to FAU.
UL is a HOT item right now on a national level. Our Homecoming theme was "We are LOUISIANA". When is UL going to take a stand with the national media and tell them to call us UL and Louisiana, athletically? We may never have a better time to do so. And, I don't mean just the statement in the Football Media Guide. I mean sending out a statement nationally that athletically, we want to be called Louisiana. It worked at Kansas State. It will work nationally, if we have the ba**s to do it.
Watch the replay on CST. It will make you proud.
When we get to the NO Bowl we will have a National Stage to make a statement.
when is the replay on CST?
I think the SEC only gets one in the bcs... the championship game will eliminate one... only way they get 2 is if Bama wins the SECCG... the loser will go to the Cap1 and the second place team in the East, if they have one loss, gets a BCS bid...
I'm torn... I would like to see UL in the Indy Bowl against a BCS team... but I'd love to go party in New Orleans and see Bourbon decked in Vermillion...
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