RPI Watch

[GoneGolfin]

Brian,

The game between Virginia and Florida State has no bearing on the ACC Championship game, since Georgia Tech and Maryland are locked in, but do you think the winner of this game gets the higher seed in the NCAA tournament?

If Virginia wins ... no doubt in my mind that they are seeded ahead of Florida State.

If Florida State wins, it is possible that the Seminoles get the higher seed ... but I would lean towards Virginia. They would have the same overall conference record (including tournament games) and head-to-head would be tied at 2-2. But Virginia probably ends with the higher RPI, has a higher NC RPI (3 vs. 14), and a considerably better record vs. the RPI Top 25 (4-3 vs. 3-6) and RPI Top 50 (14-7 vs. 13-13) at present. I think Florida State probably needed to win the ACC Tournament.

Brian

[CajunDreDog]

It is my belief @TCU_Baseball is in great shape for at least one national seed. However, should #OKState beat UT, beat #TCU, I lean OSU.

— Kendall Rogers (@KendallRogersPG) May 25, 2014

[CajunDreDog]

@ChadDWashington Good chance of ULL and LSU getting top 8 seeds and hosting Super Regionals separately..

— Glenn Guilbeau (@LSUBeatTweet) May 24, 2014

[GoneGolfin]

@ChadDWashington Good chance of ULL and LSU getting top 8 seeds and hosting Super Regionals separately..

— Glenn Guilbeau (@LSUBeatTweet) May 24, 2014

LSU would need to beat Florida tomorrow for the SEC Tournament title ... for that national seed to be a possibility.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

It is my belief @TCU_Baseball is in great shape for at least one national seed. However, should #OKState beat UT, beat #TCU, I lean OSU.

— Kendall Rogers (@KendallRogersPG) May 25, 2014

I agree with Kendall here ... I really like Oklahoma State as a national seed if they finish off Texas tonight (leading 6-4 B8th) and beat TCU tomorrow ... despite the lower RPI (but moving up). Oklahoma State won the Big XII regular season (#2 RPI Conference). Coupled with a Big XII Tournament title, they are a national seed.

I think the same is true for TCU. Thus, tomorrow's Big XII Tournament Championship is probably for a national seed.

Brian

[jllanclos]

Sorry, but Chad Washington is clueless. When it was announced Georgia got the #4 National seed in softball, Chad Washington said the Cajuns would probably be sent there for a Super. (Meaning: 13 seed).

He has no idea what he's talking about.

[GoneGolfin]

I agree with Kendall here ... I really like Oklahoma State as a national seed if they finish off Texas tonight (leading 6-4 B8th) and beat TCU tomorrow ... despite the lower RPI (but moving up). Oklahoma State won the Big XII regular season (#2 RPI Conference). Coupled with a Big XII Tournament title, they are a national seed.

I think the same is true for TCU. Thus, tomorrow's Big XII Tournament Championship is probably for a national seed.

Brian

Oklahoma State just knocked off Texas 6-4. The Horns had the tying run at 2nd base in the B9th.

This ensures that the Cajuns will finish ahead of Texas in the RPI.

It will be Oklahoma State and TCU for the Big XII Tournament title ... likely for a national seed.

Brian

[lcitsh]

And Florida State makes the dramatic comeback in the 8th to take a 6-4 victory over Virginia.

[GoneGolfin]

And Florida State makes the dramatic comeback in the 8th to take a 6-4 victory over Virginia.

Both Virginia and Florida State will be national seeds.

There is a good chance that Florida will be the #1 National Seed.

Unfortunately, Southern Miss is about to lose ... and Rice will face UTSA in the CUSA Championship game.

Meanwhile, there is real risk that #24 Alabama .5671 may be surpassed by #25 Maryland .5665 (vs. Georgia Tech tomorrow), #26 UNLV .5664 (must be beaten twice by San Diego State), and .5654 Nebraska (vs. Indiana tomorrow). #23 Indiana State, also .5671, is just in front of Alabama. The Sycamores are done until the NCAA Tournament.

Brian

[cajundiehard]

AND... I think... If San Diego State holds on to defeat UNLV - at # 26 currently just behind Alabama - (up 8-1 BOT 8) (even if UNLV comes back and wins the if necessary game tomorrow), Alabama (currently #24 Warren Nolan RPI) should be able to stay in the Top 25...

IF Nebraska (#27) falls tomorrow to Indiana

OR

Maryland (#25) falls to Georgia Tech...

We need one of those... I would think Indiana over Nebraska would be the most likely...

Maybe Brian can confirm...? I could be missing something...

[jllanclos]

So what does all this mean? We're going to get screwed, aren't we?

[GoneGolfin]

AND... I think... If San Diego State holds on to defeat UNLV - at # 26 currently just behind Alabama - (up 8-1 BOT 8) (even if UNLV comes back and wins the if necessary game tomorrow), Alabama (currently #24 Warren Nolan RPI) should be able to stay in the Top 25...

IF Nebraska (#27) falls tomorrow to Indiana

OR

Maryland (#25) falls to Georgia Tech...

We need one of those... I would think Indiana over Nebraska would be the most likely...

Maybe Brian can confirm...? I could be missing something...

With a win tomorrow, UNLV could pass Alabama. It will be close. San Diego State makes a nice OWP contribution to UNLV's RPI.

Thus, we want two of the above ... or Alabama to surpass Indiana State.

Brian