RPI Watch

[jllanclos]

So what does all this mean? We're going to get screwed, aren't we?

[GoneGolfin]

AND... I think... If San Diego State holds on to defeat UNLV - at # 26 currently just behind Alabama - (up 8-1 BOT 8) (even if UNLV comes back and wins the if necessary game tomorrow), Alabama (currently #24 Warren Nolan RPI) should be able to stay in the Top 25...

IF Nebraska (#27) falls tomorrow to Indiana

OR

Maryland (#25) falls to Georgia Tech...

We need one of those... I would think Indiana over Nebraska would be the most likely...

Maybe Brian can confirm...? I could be missing something...

With a win tomorrow, UNLV could pass Alabama. It will be close. San Diego State makes a nice OWP contribution to UNLV's RPI.

Thus, we want two of the above ... or Alabama to surpass Indiana State.

Brian

[cajundiehard]

Alabama to surpass Indiana State.

Brian

And the Cajuns could help Alabama do that by winning tomorrow... although that Southern Miss loss doesn't help them since USM/Alabama also played twice.

Another question... just out of curiosity... which bubble teams are rooting for the Cajuns to take care of business tomorrow??? since WHEN the Cajuns win, it will open up a spot for them that would otherwise automatically go to UTA.

[GoneGolfin]

So what does all this mean? We're going to get screwed, aren't we?

Not if the Cajuns win the Sun Belt Tournament. If they do, the Cajuns will end up with the #5 or #6 RPI. The schedule warts will not keep them from a national seed.

Just some back of the envelope estimates ...

If the Cajuns lose to UTA, they could still finish as high as #6 in the RPI ... and it seems they could finish as low as #8. But #6 seems most likely here (they have some cushion).

#7 Vanderbilt will not pass the Cajuns.
#8 Rice is a remote possibility, but I think they fall short with a win over UTSA.
#9 LSU is a remote possibility, but I think they fall short with a win over Florida.
#10 Texas will not pass the Cajuns.
#11 Houston is a very remote possibility with a win over Louisville tomorrow, but I do not think they will pass the Cajuns.
#12 TCU ... same as Houston ... even with a win over Oklahoma State

Brian

[lcitsh]

http://web1.ncaa.org/app_data/weekly...14MBArpi1.html

2014 NCAA Men's Baseball RPI
Through Games of May 23, 2014
Generated: Saturday 05/24/14 08:05 AM
------- Division I Only --------
Rank Prev Rank Name Conf W-L-T Road Neut Home Non-Div I
1 1 Virginia Atlantic Coast 44-12-0 13-7-0 2-2-0 29-3-0 0-0-0
2 2 Florida Southeastern 39-20-0 12-8-0 4-1-0 23-11-0 0-0-0
3 4 Indiana Big Ten 40-13-0 18-8-0 4-2-0 18-3-0 0-0-0
4 3 Florida St. Atlantic Coast 42-15-0 16-6-0 1-2-0 25-7-0 0-0-0
5 5 Oregon St. Pac-12 41-11-0 13-5-0 7-2-0 21-4-0 0-0-0
6 7 Louisiana Sun Belt 51-7-0 22-2-0 2-0-0 27-5-0 0-0-0
7 15 Texas Big 12 38-16-0 12-6-0 5-0-0 21-10-0 0-0-0
8 10 Rice Conference USA 39-17-0 16-7-0 3-3-0 20-7-0 0-0-0
9 6 Vanderbilt Southeastern 41-18-0 13-7-0 2-2-0 26-9-0 0-0-0
10 9 Houston AAC 43-15-0 14-4-0 4-3-0 25-8-0 0-0-0
11 14 TCU Big 12 40-15-0 12-6-0 6-2-0 22-7-0 0-0-0
12 8 South Carolina Southeastern 42-16-0 9-9-0 1-2-0 32-5-0 0-0-0
13 16 LSU Southeastern 42-14-1 10-9-0 3-0-0 29-5-1 0-0-0
14 13 Ole Miss Southeastern 41-18-0 15-7-0 1-4-0 25-7-0 0-0-0
15 17 Cal Poly Big West 45-10-0 18-7-0 0-0-0 27-3-0 0-0-0
16 12 Miami (FL) Atlantic Coast 40-17-0 17-5-0 0-2-0 23-10-0 0-0-0
17 11 Texas Tech Big 12 40-18-0 7-9-0 2-5-0 31-4-0 0-0-0
18 22 Kentucky Southeastern 35-22-0 10-11-0 6-1-0 19-10-0 0-0-0
19 21 Oklahoma St. Big 12 43-15-0 13-4-0 8-3-0 22-8-0 0-0-0
20 20 Louisville AAC 44-14-0 12-6-0 3-1-0 29-7-0 0-0-0
21 19 Washington Pac-12 38-14-1 15-5-0 3-4-1 20-5-0 0-0-0
22 23 Oregon Pac-12 42-17-0 18-10-0 0-0-0 24-7-0 0-0-0
23 18 Indiana St. Missouri Valley 35-16-0 17-10-0 3-3-0 15-3-0 0-0-0
24 28 Maryland Atlantic Coast 36-19-0 11-12-0 4-0-0 21-7-0 0-0-0
25 26 UNLV Mountain West 35-21-0 11-17-0 3-1-0 21-3-0 0-0-0
26 24 Alabama Southeastern 34-22-0 11-10-0 2-1-0 21-11-0 0-0-0
27 25 Liberty Big South 41-15-0 14-7-0 5-3-0 22-5-0 0-0-0
28 27 Nebraska Big Ten 39-18-0 14-7-0 6-3-0 19-8-0 0-0-0
29 34 Dallas Baptist Missouri Valley 39-19-0 16-10-0 3-1-0 20-8-0 0-0-0
30 41 Arkansas Southeastern 38-22-0 8-10-0 5-2-0 25-10-0 0-0-0
31 30 Mississippi St. Southeastern 37-22-0 11-6-0 4-4-0 22-12-0 0-0-0
32 35 Arizona St. Pac-12 32-21-0 9-10-0 4-0-0 19-11-0 0-0-0
33 47 Long Beach St. Big West 31-24-0 13-13-0 0-0-0 18-11-0 0-0-0
34 39 Georgia Tech Atlantic Coast 35-25-0 6-13-0 4-1-0 25-11-0 0-0-0
35 42 Pepperdine West Coast 38-16-0 14-9-0 2-0-0 22-7-0 0-0-0
36 32 Sam Houston St. Southland 41-17-0 14-8-0 3-3-0 24-6-0 0-0-0
37 31 West Virginia Big 12 28-26-0 12-18-0 5-4-0 11-4-0 0-0-0
38 37 Old Dominion Conference USA 35-23-0 13-9-0 3-2-0 19-12-0 0-0-0
39 43 Columbia Ivy 28-18-0 17-15-0 2-0-0 9-3-0 0-0-0
40 33 Texas A&M Southeastern 33-24-0 9-11-0 0-1-0 24-12-0 0-0-0
41 38 UC Irvine Big West 35-21-0 14-9-0 0-0-0 21-12-0 0-0-0
42 49 Bryant Northeast 41-14-0 26-8-0 3-1-0 12-5-0 0-0-0
43 29 Mercer Atlantic Sun 38-17-0 14-11-0 0-2-0 24-4-0 0-0-0
44 48 Stanford Pac-12 28-23-0 12-12-0 0-0-0 16-11-0 0-0-0
45 36 Kansas Big 12 34-24-0 11-13-0 11-3-0 12-8-0 0-0-0
46 44 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 33-25-0 8-12-0 2-2-0 23-11-0 0-0-0
47 51 Clemson Atlantic Coast 36-23-0 11-9-0 3-2-0 22-12-0 0-0-0
48 50 San Diego St. Mountain West 39-19-0 13-13-0 2-1-0 24-5-0 0-0-0
49 45 Tennessee Southeastern 31-23-0 9-12-0 0-1-0 22-10-0 0-0-0
50 46 UCF AAC 36-23-0 11-11-0 2-1-0 23-11-0 0-0-0

[DocCajun]

So what does all this mean? We're going to get screwed, aren't we?

I just have this doom and gloom suspicion we get snubbed and paired with LSU who gets a national seed. My suspicions are usually nothing but I feel like letting out is going to make it NOT come true lol

[jllanclos]

Just some back of the envelope estimates ...

Brian

You really did that on the back of an envelope?

STUD.

Seriously... so your take is win, and we're a national seed.

Lose, and we need some help. Like Alabama being in the top 25. What other help?

[cajundiehard]

I'm thinking Cajuns and LSU are both national seeds...

Louisiana paired with an Ole Miss regional.

LSU paired with a Rice regional.

There you have it!

Take care of business tomorrow!

[GoneGolfin]

You really did that on the back of an envelope?

STUD.

Seriously... so your take is win, and we're a national seed.

Yes.

Lose, and we need some help. Like Alabama being in the top 25. What other help?

We may already be there. But losing, having Alabama slip out of the RPI Top 25, and the Cajuns falling to #8 in the RPI would give the selection committee an opportunity to not select the Cajuns as a National Seed (citing weak SOS, one game vs. RPI Top 25 ... and only four games vs. RPI Top 50). But I think our chances are decent (not a lock), even with a loss.

A win ... and the Cajuns could be looking at a national seed between 4 and 6.

Brian

[jllanclos]

Yes.


We may already be there. But losing, having Alabama slip out of the RPI Top 25, and the Cajuns falling to #8 in the RPI would give the selection committee an opportunity not to select the Cajuns as a National Seed.

A win ... and the Cajuns could be looking at a national seed between 4 and 6.

Brian

A 4 national seed? Oh man. Now you're going to hold that football in place. I believe yoaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaarrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrggggggggggggghhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!