Certainly the conference tournament games are included at selection time. The committee receives several RPI updates during the course of the weekend. Depending on how late games are on Sunday … a national seed decision may have already been made before that final game is tallied. The same can be said for #1 seeds and host regionals … as they are announced that Sunday.
Brian
So what we really need is for three consecutive rain outs against the hoax because even if we win, we lose right?
As far as wishing competitors ill will, I would focus on the following …
Most important …
TCU, Indiana, Miami, Washington, Oklahoma State (but we want TCU to win the Big XII over OSU)
Next ...
Rice, South Carolina, along with the other SEC teams that could challenge for a third national seed being awarded to the #1 RPI conference.
I think the SEC will have two national seeds, so one of Ole Miss or Vanderbilt (but possibly LSU, Alabama, or South Carolina) could snag that spot. We just do not want a third SEC team snagging a Top 8 seed. I included Alabama because they still have a shot if they get hot down the stretch. They would need to make up two games on Ole Miss (they have the tiebreaker over Ole Miss with the sweep), but otherwise control their own destiny over LSU and Mississippi State. But with Ole Miss having such a weak remaining SEC schedule, they are in the cat bird seat over the other teams in the SEC West. Ole Miss was very fortunate with their SEC schedule this season … avoiding both Florida and Vanderbilt.
We certainly do not want Washington winning the Pac-12 … giving the Huskies a shot at a national seed … and giving the Pac-12 shot at two national seeds. Same for Oklahoma State in the Big XII. We want Miami to fall in the ACC … currently in 1st place.
It seems that Virginia and Florida are likely out of reach at this point. If Oregon State wins the Pac-12, they will be awarded a national seed before the Cajuns. I doubt the Cajuns catch Florida State … unless the Seminoles stumble hard. Rice will also be difficult to catch … but not impossible. And then you have the second national seed from the SEC. So that comprises six of the eight national seeds.
So, at this point (and things can change), I think you are looking at Louisiana, TCU, Indiana, Miami, and potentially a third SEC team challenging for those two final national seeds. But Washington and Oklahoma State can upset things by winning their conference regular season titles.
Brian
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