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Thread: Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

  1. #13

    Default Re: Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

    Quote Originally Posted by jllanclos View Post
    Not able to watch. But what are the chances Lynn asks Yvette why LSU is chicken to play Louisiana?

    S. Alabama 0
    LSU 2
    End 1st
    Lynn doing his usual. Yvette going with Cajuns.

  2. #14

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    Quote Originally Posted by RaginScotsman View Post
    RPI game of interest-- South Al @ Refineryville State on cst. The Jaguars' coach opted to start her #3 pitcher instead of one of the all American candidates. She has walked the first 4 batters she faced and has only thrown 6 strikes total. I don't know what strategy she's using there.
    Maybe she's going with the pre-loss excuse for a loss

  3. #15

    Default Re: Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

    I'm no expert, but you have 2 aces and you have lost like 5 of the past nine games. Wouldn't you want to field your best team against a top 25 (have no idea how they got that @ 27-20) and low rpi team on a Wednesday ?


  4. #16

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    Quote Originally Posted by RaginScotsman View Post
    I'm no expert, but you have 2 aces and you have lost like 5 of the past nine games. Wouldn't you want to field your best team against a top 25 (have no idea how they got that @ 27-20) and low rpi team on a Wednesday ?
    Considering pitchers can go back to back days in softball this would be a no brainer on a Wednesday. Maybe she's going for the moral victory while protecting those precious ERAs of the pitchers that we blew up two weeks ago

  5. #17

    Default Re: Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

    Quote Originally Posted by RaginScotsman View Post
    I'm no expert, but you have 2 aces and you have lost like 5 of the past nine games. Wouldn't you want to field your best team against a top 25 (have no idea how they got that @ 27-20) and low rpi team on a Wednesday ?
    Probably because they have played the 2nd toughest schedule in the nation.

    Campbell came in to pitch the last two innings, still allowed 2 earned runs. I believe LSU had 9 hits off of her the first game this year. Maybe that was why, but they could have pitched the other stud.

  6. #18

    Default Re: Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

    Quote Originally Posted by LSUalum1 View Post

    Campbell came in to pitch the last two innings, still allowed 2 earned runs. I believe LSU had 9 hits off of her the first game this year. Maybe that was why, but they could have pitched the other stud.
    Using stud in talking about softball pitchers just doesn't seem correct.

  7. #19

    Default Re: Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

    Wait, I did not see the USA vs LSU softball game that ended 6-1 LSU, but are you saying that USA did NOT throw either of their Studets? Wow, why?


  8. #20

    Default Re: Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

    Quote Originally Posted by DaddyCajun View Post
    Wait, I did not see the USA vs LSU softball game that ended 6-1 LSU, but are you saying that USA did NOT throw either of their Studets? Wow, why?
    Good question. Stupid coach? Another thought. Has there ever been more of a "homer" announcer than Yvette Girouard? Listening to her, one would think LSU is the best softball team in the hisory of the sport and ever player on the team is an all American. I was so sickening I turned off the volume in the third inning.

  9. UL Softball Re: Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    Here is the breakdown of the Cajuns' RPI through the games of Sunday 4/20. The RPI components were reverse engineered from the NCAA provided data …

    WP -> .81707 (#11)
    OWP -> .61488 (#12)
    OOWP -> .54469 (#28)
    SOS -> .59148 (#14)
    --
    Base RPI: .64788 (#6)
    RPI Bonus: .0168
    --
    Adjusted RPI: .66468 (#6)

    Given the above, we can project the impact of the remaining schedule. Assuming we play all eight remaining games … (2) games already played at Baylor, (3) vs. Texas-Arlington, and (3) vs. ULM …

    OWP of remaining games = .53960 * 8 games. Thus, even with Baylor, our remaining OWP does take a hit from the current .61488. However, assuming we go 6-0 in the last six games, our WP moves to .84694. I do not have remaining OOWP numbers yet, but let's use the current .54469 OOWP for now. This would give us …

    WP -> .84694
    OWP -> .60259 (fall of .01229)
    OOWP -> .54469 (keeping constant for now)
    --
    Base RPI -> .64920
    RPI Bonus -> .02240 (includes Baylor RPI bonus of .0056)
    --
    Adjusted RPI -> .67160

    An Adjusted RPI of .67160 puts us at #5 based on this week's RPI numbers. But keep in mind that our big conference competitors have a schedule advantage down the stretch that will help their numbers … it just depends on how many they win. Of course, we can be helped (or hurt) by how our opponents play down the stretch. As always, this assumes all other things being equal.
    As it turns out, the Cajuns were just able to hold onto that #5 spot (.67094) … a mere .00004 over #6 Oregon (.67090). Yes, that is a really really small margin. The good news is that there is a nice gap between #6 and #7 Missouri (.65802) … or .01292. And while holding off Oregon will be tough, #4 Georgia could falter (.67407) … only .00313 ahead of the Cajuns.

    Brian

  10. #22

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    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    As it turns out, the Cajuns were just able to hold onto that #5 spot (.67094) … a mere .00004 over #6 Oregon (.67090). Yes, that is a really really small margin. The good news is that there is a nice gap between #6 and #7 Missouri (.65802) … or .01292. And while holding off Oregon will be tough, #4 Georgia could falter (.67407) … only .00313 ahead of the Cajuns.

    Brian
    We ought to give Nicholls St a big, fat kiss on the lips.

  11. Default

    Quote Originally Posted by jllanclos View Post
    We ought to give Nicholls St a big, fat kiss on the lips.
    That's your department. My work is done.

    Brian

  12. #24

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    That's your department. My work is done.

    Brian
    Yuck.

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