Cajun Softball RPI Breakdown ...

[GoneGolfin]

Here is the breakdown of the Cajuns' RPI through the games of Sunday 4/20. The RPI components were reverse engineered from the NCAA provided data …

WP -> .81707 (#11)
OWP -> .61488 (#12)
OOWP -> .54469 (#28)
SOS -> .59148 (#14)
--
Base RPI: .64788 (#6)
RPI Bonus: .0168
--
Adjusted RPI: .66468 (#6)

Given the above, we can project the impact of the remaining schedule. Assuming we play all eight remaining games … (2) games already played at Baylor, (3) vs. Texas-Arlington, and (3) vs. ULM …

OWP of remaining games = .53960 * 8 games. Thus, even with Baylor, our remaining OWP does take a hit from the current .61488. However, assuming we go 6-0 in the last six games, our WP moves to .84694. I do not have remaining OOWP numbers yet, but let's use the current .54469 OOWP for now. This would give us …

WP -> .84694
OWP -> .60259 (fall of .01229)
OOWP -> .54469 (keeping constant for now)
--
Base RPI -> .64920
RPI Bonus -> .02240 (includes Baylor RPI bonus of .0056)
--
Adjusted RPI -> .67160

An Adjusted RPI of .67160 puts us at #5 based on this week's RPI numbers. But keep in mind that our big conference competitors have a schedule advantage down the stretch that will help their numbers … it just depends on how many they win. Of course, we can be helped (or hurt) by how our opponents play down the stretch. As always, this assumes all other things being equal.

As it turns out, the Cajuns were just able to hold onto that #5 spot (.67094) … a mere .00004 over #6 Oregon (.67090). Yes, that is a really really small margin. The good news is that there is a nice gap between #6 and #7 Missouri (.65802) … or .01292. And while holding off Oregon will be tough, #4 Georgia could falter (.67407) … only .00313 ahead of the Cajuns.

Brian

[jllanclos]

As it turns out, the Cajuns were just able to hold onto that #5 spot (.67094) … a mere .00004 over #6 Oregon (.67090). Yes, that is a really really small margin. The good news is that there is a nice gap between #6 and #7 Missouri (.65802) … or .01292. And while holding off Oregon will be tough, #4 Georgia could falter (.67407) … only .00313 ahead of the Cajuns.

Brian

We ought to give Nicholls St a big, fat kiss on the lips.

[GoneGolfin]

We ought to give Nicholls St a big, fat kiss on the lips.

That's your department. My work is done.

Brian

[jllanclos]

That's your department. My work is done.

Brian

Yuck.