We just do not have the schedule to do it (not enough room for error). You have to go all the way down to #30 (Mercer) in the RPI until you find a team that has a worse SOS than the Cajuns (currently #143). This is a really bad year for the Sun Belt to be weak (outside of UL). There are many opportunities to trip up badly. Whereas teams like LSU (or any team from the elite four conferences) are not concerned with this happening (losing to a lower team like a Yale, Tulane, etc.) once they enter conference play ... and can lose some games without being hurt.
The Cajuns also have the worst OWP in the Sun Belt (a paltry .4910). Now, the Cajuns bring up the OWP of all its opponents. But even if you factor out the games vs. UL, only Troy has a worse OWP than the Cajuns in the Sun Belt.
And as far as SOS is concerned, the Cajuns are last in the Sun Belt. But again, factoring out games vs. UL, the Cajuns would be #9 of 10 (Troy would be last). IOW, the Cajuns non-conference SOS is weak.
Brian
We just need to stop worrying about the national seed. One more (inevitable) loss and top 8 will be impossible if it isn't already. Jmo
Help me with this argument Brian. Someone is telling me that if we finish top 5 that it doesn't matter what our RPI will be. I would love to see this be true but from what I have been reading from your post the committee would snub their nose at a top 5 ranked team with an RPI in the teens?
I need to remember what I use to tell my kids, to be the best, you have to beat the best, Anywhere, anytime.
Because polls are not part of the selection process (nor do I think they should be part of the process). I also think RPI needs to replaced ... but that is another rehash of many threads of the past.
#1 Read this post
#2 Now read this
Brian
Is one of the main reasons the SBC is down due to losing the two Florida schools?
No. FIU is having a decent season, but is not an at-large team at this time. FAU is having a poor season and is 10th in the also not strong CUSA (actually weaker than the Sun Belt). Middle Tennessee is also having a poor season. So even if FAU, FIU, and Middle are in the Sun Belt this year ... it is the same weak story.
Southern Miss is 2nd in CUSA (13-5), trailing Rice (16-5) whom is setting themselves up for a possible national seed.
Brian
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