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Thread: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

  1. UL Baseball Re: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

    Quote Originally Posted by cajundiehard View Post
    Cajun opponents not doing their job. It has dropped steadily since Monday when it was .6012. That would now be good enough for #5 (tie with Texas)

    It was .5957 right before the W and increased to .5959 once the W was included. This is compared to .5974 entering the night.

    Argh. Only so much the Cajuns can control...

    Yikes! And now .5953 (10th)

    Guess that shows how fast it can change. ..
    The Cajuns' RPI is currently at .5964 (Not .5962 ... Warren Nolan has several w/l record mistakes). All other things being equal, a win today will give the Cajuns an RPI of .5969 (Currently no change at #10). A loss would give the Cajuns an RPI of .5917 (currently #14, just ahead of LSU).

    Brian

  2. #32

    Default Re: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    The Cajuns' RPI is currently at .5964 (Not .5962 ... Warren Nolan has several w/l record mistakes). All other things being equal, a win today will give the Cajuns an RPI of .5969 (Currently no change at #10). A loss would give the Cajuns an RPI of .5917 (currently #14, just ahead of LSU).

    Brian

  3. UL Baseball Re: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    One thing I have noticed this year is that the RPIs being logged by the Top 16 RPI ... and especially the Top 8 ... are substantially lower than last year (2013); the first year under the RPI formula change. 2012 Top 16 RPI values are also substantially higher than 2014 ... but that comparison is less useful as the formula was different.

    What this means is that there is more RPI parity at the top this season. The Cajuns are benefitting from potential national seeds losing more games than usual and posting lower than normal RPIs.

    The 2014 RPI Top 8 has 64 losses through 4/13/2014 (and that includes the Cajuns with only 4 losses) ... while the 2013 RPI Top 8 had 44 losses (20 fewer losses) through 4/15/2013. The RPI Top 16 is closer with 2014 posting 141.5 losses vs. 134.5 losses for 2013.

    2014 RPI vs. 2013 RPI -> Difference
    --
    #1 (.62049) vs. #1 (.65035) -> -.02986
    #2 (.61731) vs. #1 (.64274) -> -.02543
    #3 (.61626) vs. #3 (.63855) -> -.02229
    #4 (.60849) vs. #4 (.63552) -> -.02703
    #5 (.60456) vs. #5 (.61558) -> -.01102
    #6 (.60412) vs. #6 (.61502) -> -.01090
    #7 (.60134) vs. #7 (.61118) -> -.00984
    #8 (.59943) vs. #8 (.60890) -> -.00947
    --
    #9 (.59895) vs. #9 (.60748) -> -.00853
    #10 (.59585) vs. #10 (.60432) -> -.00847
    #11 (.59547) vs. #11 (.60080) -> -.00533
    #12 (.59481) vs. #12 (.60040) -> -.00559
    #13 (.59069) vs. #13 (.59970) -> -.00901
    #14 (.59051) vs. #14 (.59450) -> -.00399
    #15 (.59040) vs. #15 (.59398) -> -.00358
    #16 (.58568) vs. #16 (.59331) -> -.00763

    As you can see above, the #8 RPI in 2014 would have had an RPI ranking of #14 at this time last season.

    Brian
    The stunningly low RPIs continue. As of now (the night is not complete) ... only four teams have an RPI of .6000 or greater. At this time last year, no less than 11 teams had RPIs of .6000 or greater. The #1 RPI team this year would be #7 last year. The #1 RPI team this year is a significant .02442 behind the #1 team at this time last year.

    As for the number of losses ... only two teams in the Top 8 RPI had double digit losses at this time last year ... vs. seven teams this year (and #1 Virginia has 9 losses).

    The top teams continue to lose (great news for the Cajuns) and keep it close.

    Parity reigns.

    Brian

  4. #34

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by GoneGolfin View Post
    The stunningly low RPIs continue. As of now (the night is not complete) ... only four teams have an RPI of .6000 or greater. At this time last year, no less than 11 teams had RPIs of .6000 or greater. The #1 RPI team this year would be #7 last year. The #1 RPI team this year is a significant .02442 behind the #1 team at this time last year.

    As for the number of losses ... only two teams in the Top 8 RPI had double digit losses at this time last year ... vs. seven teams this year (and #1 Virginia has 9 losses).

    The top teams continue to lose (great news for the Cajuns) and keep it close.

    Parity reigns.

    Brian
    It's a perfect storm this year for us. Ironically, I think a down Sun Belt has helped us rack up wins, to compliment our big wins earlier in the year. Despite the RPI hit, I believe the down Sun Belt came in the perfect year for us. I guess we'll find out if I'm right on selection Monday.

  5. #35

    Default Re: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

    The Sun Belt bumped up a spot to #10 in the conference rankings after last night's games. I still believe this team has a little wiggle room to lose 2 and maybe even 3 games and still be a national seed. But as I said before it would be best to not have more than 1 loss in any particular week. I also think a loss in the conference tournament but still winning the tournament would be the best spot to have a loss. And a sweep against ASU this weekend along with a strong ASU finish to get ASU into the top 50 will help also.

    Likely the order of importance of things that need to occur to help the committee award the Cajuns a national seed:
    1. Winning the regular season conference championship.
    2. Maintaining a respectable RPI. Maybe top #14?
    3. Winning the conference tournament.
    4. Winning the remaining 3 conference series.
    5. Top 5 in all the national polls.
    6. 50 wins. Don't believe anyone else will reach this mark before selection time.

    So if this occurs another loss or 2 don't freak out, let's continue to look at the big picture and I believe things will shake out our way.

    The more of these things that happen the better chance of the Cajuns being awarded a national seed. And a sweep this weekend will go a long way towards helping us achieve some of the above goals. Geaux Cajuns!!!


  6. #36

    Default Re: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

    Quote Originally Posted by J-Town Cajun View Post
    The Sun Belt bumped up a spot to #10 in the conference rankings after last night's games. I still believe this them has a little wiggle room to lose 2 and maybe even 3 games and still be a national seed. But as I said before it would be best to not have more than 1 loss in any particular week. I also think a loss in the conference tournament but still winning the tournament would be the best spot to have a loss. A sweep against ASU and if ASU can finish strong and get into the top 50 will help also.

    Likely the order of importance of things that need to occur to help the committee award the Cajuns a national seed:
    1. Winning the regular season conference championship.
    2. Maintaining a respectable RPI. Maybe top #14?
    3. Winning the conference tournament.
    4. Winning the remaining 3 conference series.
    5. Top 5 in all the national polls.
    6. 50 wins. Don't believe anyone else will reach this mark before selection time.

    So if this occurs another loss or 2 don't freak out, let's continue to look at the big picture and I believe things will shake our our way.

    The more of these things that happening the better chance of the Cajuns being awarded a national seed. A sweep this weekend will go a long way towards helping achieve some of the above goals. Beaux Cajuns!!!
    J-Town, what the heck are you doing up at this hour? I as you know work 1/2 nights/days, you work days, whats up, besides you?

  7. #37

    Default Re: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

    Quote Originally Posted by J-Town Cajun View Post
    The Sun Belt bumped up a spot to #10 in the conference rankings after last night's games. I still believe this team has a little wiggle room to lose 2 and maybe even 3 games and still be a national seed. But as I said before it would be best to not have more than 1 loss in any particular week. I also think a loss in the conference tournament but still winning the tournament would be the best spot to have a loss. And a sweep against ASU this weekend along with a strong ASU finish to get ASU into the top 50 will help also.

    Likely the order of importance of things that need to occur to help the committee award the Cajuns a national seed:
    1. Winning the regular season conference championship.
    2. Maintaining a respectable RPI. Maybe top #14?
    3. Winning the conference tournament.
    4. Winning the remaining 3 conference series.
    5. Top 5 in all the national polls.
    6. 50 wins. Don't believe anyone else will reach this mark before selection time.

    So if this occurs another loss or 2 don't freak out, let's continue to look at the big picture and I believe things will shake out our way.

    The more of these things that happen the better chance of the Cajuns being awarded a national seed. And a sweep this weekend will go a long way towards helping us achieve some of the above goals. Geaux Cajuns!!!
    In order to reach 50 wins, we have to win out. Unless you are counting the conference tournament…

  8. #38

    Default Re: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

    Quote Originally Posted by campo118 View Post
    In order to reach 50 wins, we have to win out. Unless you are counting the conference tournament…
    How many teams have won 50 regular season games?

  9. #39

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by campo118 View Post
    In order to reach 50 wins, we have to win out. Unless you are counting the conference tournament…
    He is. 50 wins by selection time.

    Re-read his point #6.

  10. Default Re: Comparing the Top 8/16 RPI at this time to 2013 ...

    Quote Originally Posted by cajunhawk View Post
    How many teams have won 50 regular season games?
    Trivia trigger:

    Stefni Lotief "averaged" 50 wins over a 10 year period.

    Never been done before or since.

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