Great post,
I agree with you on Lago. He is the most likely to get the redshirt. After that it gets complicated.
I don't think you have to redshirt Johnson and Wallace. You can probably get by the first seven games with one of them redshirting. From what I have seen Johnson could use the off year more.
I don't see the the big guy from UNLV redshirting. He was brought in to fortify the front line.
So my 12 would be:
PG: McCoy, Daigle, Jones
SG: Bureau, Dison, Bloom
SF: Gradnigo and Gary
PF: Wallace, Roberson, Batiste
C: Barr and Adiefe
Next season insert
Johnson and Lago
Of course this is all subject to change when practice starts.