UT-Arlington impact on the Cajuns' RPI

[GoneGolfin]

The Cajuns enter their road weekend series with 16-20 UT-Arlington sporting the following RPI through this past weekend's action ...

WP: .8610
OWP: .5021
OOWP: .5402
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SOS: .5148
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RPI: .6013 (#7)

The below projections ... as always ... keep the Cajuns' OWP and OOWP constant (except for the addition of UT-Arlington). IOW, I am only projecting the results of the UT-Arlington series ... everything else remains the same.

The Cajuns can obtain a slight increase in RPI with a sweep, due to the series being on the road. A home sweep of UT-Arlington would have resulted in a small decline of .0003 to .6010.

The following is the RPI projection along with the RPI rank this RPI would have in the current RPI rankings.

3-0 -> RPI of .6025 (#7)
2-1 -> RPI of .5972 (#10)
1-2 -> RPI of .5918 (#13)
0-3 -> RPI of .5863 (#15)

Brian

[cajundiehard]

Thanks Brian!

Two questions:

1) In calculation of OWP, do "they" consider raw numbers of wins and losses for a particular team (of course with our games with that team stripped out)??? OR do they simply take the other teams WP (without our games)??? and, of course, weight that value based on the number of times we play... i.e. Assuming we play teams an equal number of times, a team who plays more games will contribute more to our OWP than a team who plays a lesser number of games (e.g. Little Rock or Southern or Texas Southern)... I would guess they simply look at the winning percentage instead of raw numbers. Just wondering.

2) Also, in calculation of OWP, is there any adjustment or consideration of that opponents home vs. road wins/losses? OR, is that 1.3 vs. 0.7 adjustment only for our own WP?

Thanks! I really appreciate your posts. Most informative!



2)

[GoneGolfin]

Thanks Brian!

Two questions:

1) In calculation of OWP, do "they" consider raw numbers of wins and losses for a particular team (of course with our games with that team stripped out)??? OR do they simply take the other teams WP (without our games)??? and, of course, weight that value based on the number of times we play... i.e. Assuming we play teams an equal number of times, a team who plays more games will contribute more to our OWP than a team who plays a lesser number of games (e.g. Little Rock or Southern or Texas Southern)... I would guess they simply look at the winning percentage instead of raw numbers. Just wondering.

The raw numbers are not used. The winning percentages are used ... weighted, summed, and averaged.

2) Also, in calculation of OWP, is there any adjustment or consideration of that opponents home vs. road wins/losses? OR, is that 1.3 vs. 0.7 adjustment only for our own WP?

When calculating OWP (or OOWP), there is no adjustment for home/road games. Each win is 1.0 wins and each loss is 1.0 losses ... regardless of home/road. Unlike when calculating WP. This is another oddity of the RPI that commenced with the advent of home/road weighting for WP in 2013.

Thanks! I really appreciate your posts. Most informative!

Thanks ... you are welcome.

Brian

[Policarp]

With SEC & ACC teams playing mostly home OOC games and stacking up wins......they get a huge bump on their OWP & OOWP from conf games since all these home games wins by conference opponents against OOC count the same as road games. Deck is hugely stacked in their favor

[Cajunsmike]

RPI is always stacked in the favor of the larger schools simply because they get to play "name" teams at their place. In basketball, it is not uncommon for an ACC team with a 6 and 10 record in conference to scream they deserve a tourney bid due to a strong RPI. Of course they beat Duke at home which leads to that strong RPI. Who's to say that if a quality mid-major program was allowed to play Duke at home they would not do the same. They probably would occasionally as indicated by the fact that Duke has lost twice in the last three years to mid majors in the first round. Refusal to play mid majors on the road is a way the big schools use the RPI in their favor in both basketball and baseball. You have to respect Alabama for having the guts to send their baseball team here for a weekend series.

[wcd35]

Hopefully another weekend like last where seemingly everyone around us lost multiple games.

[MelRock]

I do not think Alabama would have come here if it would not have been for Mitch Gaspard. Him coaching here and getting his degree from here I truly believe had a great influence on him.

[RaginDave]

I bet after the weekend he would have rathered not come.

[MelRock]

I bet after the weekend he would have rathered not come.

Without us I would imagine his RPI would be much lower, depending on the team they would have played. They also have a chance to be a national seed.

[aBuckfromLuck]

BAmerica has Cajuns projected 6 seed
http://www.baseballamerica.com/colle...d-field-of-64/

[Cajun90]

I bet after the weekend he would have rathered not come.

I doubt it. Bama gets to play on the road in an environment that gets them ready for SEC play. Our WP is helping them nicely as well and they have an RPI rank of 23. The fact that they sit atop the SEC West and are ranked in the polls leaves them sitting pretty nice at the moment.

[wcd35]

In the words of Robe, "iron sharpens iron". They are 19-6 since playing us (4 losses by a run) and have won all but 1 series.