RPI projections for this weekend ...

[GoneGolfin]

Through Thursday night's action (4/3/14), the Cajuns' RPI looks like the following ...

WP -> .8646
OWP -> .5069
OOWP -> .5388
SOS -> .5175
--
RPI -> .6043
RPI Rank: #10

Projections for this weekend ...

- 3-0 vs. Troy -> .6104
- 2-1 vs. Troy -> .6036
- 1-2 vs. Troy -> .5966
- 0-3 vs. Troy -> .5894

Of course the above is all other things being equal. That is, the performance of opponents and opponents' opponents is not projected, but left static.

Troy's OWP makes a huge leap from .4908 to .5292 simply by playing Louisiana three times.

Brian

[Cajunjeb]

Brian, hypothetically, it the Cajuns continue winning, take conference and tourney champ, would that be enough to host a regional as a 1 seed without the RPI coming into play?

[GoneGolfin]

Brian, hypothetically, it the Cajuns continue winning, take conference and tourney champ, would that be enough to host a regional as a 1 seed without the RPI coming into play?

No. The RPI always comes into play (as far as seeding is concerned). The Cajuns would either need to be in the Top 16 RPI ... or darn close with some other feathers in its cap and good reasons to pass over the other teams that are higher in the RPI.

Brian

[NOCajun]

But if they stay between #8-#10 after the Conference Tourney??

[GoneGolfin]

But if they stay between #8-#10 after the Conference Tourney??

That was not the question.

If the Cajuns have an RPI in the 8-10 range, certainly they will host a regional as a #1 seed. I stated that above.

Brian

[campo118]

Jeb, did you mean National seed and hosting a super regional? In my opinion, that is a more legitimate question as we will definitely host a regional with an rpi between 8-10. I think the better question is, would we host a super regional and get a national seed, at say #9 or #10 RPI with a record in the 5X-X range. Would our resume be strong enough despite the obvious bias given to those in the power conferences by the RPI system?

[Cajunjeb]

Jeb, did you mean National seed and hosting a super regional? In my opinion, that is a more legitimate question as we will definitely host a regional with an rpi between 8-10. I think the better question is, would we host a super regional and get a national seed, at say #9 or #10 RPI with a record in the 5X-X range. Would our resume be strong enough despite the obvious bias given to those in the power conferences by the RPI system?

I didn't specify. I left it open to any of the 16 #1 seeds hosting in the regional and whether or not RPI would come into play. I could certainly see RPI coming in to play when deciding 1-8.

[CAJUNryan4]

I didn't specify. I left it open to any of the 16 #1 seeds hosting in the regional and whether or not RPI would come into play. I could certainly see RPI coming in to play when deciding 1-8.

RPI will always come into play. It is what establishes, for the most part, the seeding 1-16 to begin with.

[Cajun8]

This RPI system is flawed.look at the stats and UL is in the top 5 in all categories ;yet #11 in Rpi. The word POWER is not accurate. If it was; we would be top 5 in RPI

[ulforlife]

This RPI system is flawed.look at the stats and UL is in the top 5 in all categories ;yet #11 in Rpi. The word POWER is not accurate. If it was; we would be top 5 in RPI

I think you're looking at it all wrong. If we played ULM 60 times and went 55-5 and averaged 20 runs a game it wouldn't mean we are the #1 team in the country. It would probably mean ULM was the worst team in the country

It's not just about stats

[Bandwagon King]

I can understand the weight given to RPI if you had two shools with just a one or two win difference between them and an RPI difference of ten to twenty or more spots for selection to the tourney. But to penalize a team with possibly the best record in the whole country & a top twelve RPI is not only wrong, it makes those doing the process look extremely silly & not very smart. I appreciate your hard work & info Brian, & please forgive me for being so late to this party & reasking things I'd assume you've answered many times. But how can a higher learning authority not see that someone who achieves a winning percentage close to .900 in any sport in college by definition has to be one of the truly greatest shools in all the land at that specialty, especially if all get scholarships awarded as they do now?

[campo118]

It is cyclical. These guys (SEC, PAC12 etc) play cupcake pre-conference schedules getting a bunch of wins against teams that will win some games (giving them RPI boosts) but won't be contenders in the NCAA tournament, then the majority of the teams in the power conferences have high RPI's before they begin conference schedule. Doesn't matter whether they win or not against the conference because their RPI just goes up as they play each other (other teams with high RPI) It is a catch 22 and really flawed in my opinion. Between the SEC, PAC 12 and ACC, I guarantee you all 8 National Seeds will come from those three conferences, and it is perceived strength of schedule that will be the determining factor. We might have 5-10 less losses than a team that will get a national seed, bank on it.