Tracking the Draft Stock of Louisiana's Elfrid Payton

[douglas]

Transferred to Canisius, led the nation in scoring

then got thrown off the team the next year, must of been a fantastic guy.

I think Elvin ivory going to the aba after his sophomore season has to be the youngest class wise, but I think both him and ep went pro at 19. Ebron also got drafted with a year left

[douglas]

Sorry was just thinking "pro" yeah ep as a junior to the NBA? Doesn't happen often evidently round these parts.

[Turbine]

then got thrown off the team the next year, must of been a fantastic guy.

I think Elvin ivory going to the aba after his sophomore season has to be the youngest class wise, but I think both him and ep went pro at 19. Ebron also got drafted with a year left

This is why I put two sets of dots in my post.

You are the authority on this.

[zephyr]

Funny you mention Orien; I think the Celtics are another possible landing spot for EP. They have two 1st round picks, Rondo is in his last days in Boston, and they have a young coach in Brad Stevens who would love to have a young guy to mold into his floor general. He'd make a ton of sense for them, but so would other guards like Shabazz Napier or Jabari Parker (if he comes out). At this point, it's about where teams have Payton in relation to other guards. There are a lot, which is why I'm nervous, but I hope and think he's getting advice from good sources who have his best interests in mind.

Brock, not trying to nitpick here but Parker is not a guard. I understand that Parker would be a first option for most teams in the league as he may go first overall. You are correct though in that there is a lot of depth at that position this year in the draft. You have Napier, Keith Appling, Russ Smith etc...

[zephyr]

I still say this is the smart play for the young man. It's a matter of potential upside versus potential down side. If the guy didn't have any upside staying at U of La. & was pretty much guaranteed to go in the first then of course you thank him & send him on his way. But there is a lot to lose by him leaving early when he could gain a lot by staying. I think by staying he assures himself of a first round selection & possibly even a lottery pick.

There is nothing assured by staying another year. Its worked well for other players over the years like Doug McDermott but its also worked against players like Marcus Smart, especially if they get hurt. I think you are on to something though as basketball is not as volatile as the NFL in this regard. One minute a player is hot and trending to go high in the draft and the next minute, his wingspan is not what people thought so he slides 20 spots and loses a lot of money. However, its still a calculated move that EP has to make regardless. I'm not as sure that he would be picked in the first round as I was a month ago but I'm sure that EP and Marlin have tons of info to go on to make this decision.

[Bandwagon King]

---Can somebody explain the insurance program that EP would have if he were to stay----I know nothing about it but have heard on various occasions about this practice----As I mentioned before--State Farm doesn't carry it!!!

Boomer. Why don't you research it on the Lloyds of London web site. They are the specialist at this kind of stuff. But I wouldn't doubt that as a salty insurance guy you could figure a 5 or 10 million dollar policy, then take the risk factor & age of the participant into account & come up with a percentage of that payout for a premium. I would guess somewhere between 1 & 5 % maybe? So let's say he's insured for 5 million dollars at a 2% premium. Just guessing let's say $100,000 in premium. Is it worth it to the school in increased ticket sales & attendance for them to insure him. I'll say this for the record. With Elfrid payton in the line up, I'll commit to four of the best season tickets I can buy next season. Without him I aint commiting to anything. And I don't want to hear any grief about how I owe this or that to the school. I don't owe anything for anything that I'm not certain will entertain me. Besides I've kinda got 10K in limbo right now.

But I'll bet you right now, if it was leagal for the school to give him $100,000 to stay he'd stay in a heart beat.

[cajunfan337]

Soooo what's the final verdict? It would be great if he declared yesterday so that if he wants to come back for a year, he can. But after yesterday if you declare, you can't come back

[BrockMeaux]

Brock, not trying to nitpick here but Parker is not a guard. I understand that Parker would be a first option for most teams in the league as he may go first overall. You are correct though in that there is a lot of depth at that position this year in the draft. You have Napier, Keith Appling, Russ Smith etc...

Yep. I thought about that on the way home this afternoon. No idea how I overlooked that when I posted it.

[raginsaints]

Louisiana-Lafayette point guard Elfrid Payton will head to NBA later today, sources told ESPN. Potential 1st-rounder: http://t.co/mb304Lsm11

— Jeff Goodman (@GoodmanESPN) April 21, 2014

[DaddyCajun]

ESPN still gets it WRONG, Louisiana, Louisiana Ragin Cajuns, thats it very simple!

[raginsaints]

How about we don't turn this thread into a name issue. Thanks.

[RedTails]

ESPN still gets it WRONG, Louisiana, Louisiana Ragin Cajuns, thats it very simple!

Best of luck going in the 1st Elfrid. Gonna be looking for that Fleur-Des-Bee on TV.

Any bets on who's going to pick him up? OK City? San Antonio??