Let's take a look at McGuire, who is from is from Gulf Breeze, FL. You guys do realize that Gulf Breeze is roughly as close to Baton Rouge as Shreveport? From what I hear, from people that watched him in HS, he will be a great player.
I do not know much about UL's history, and am new as a fan, but it's my opinion that the coaching staff takes the lead amongst recruiting players, as opposed to being a "me too" recruiting staff that offers only after others have done so. There are a lot of players that do not have a UL offer, that other in-state schools have offered, kids that visit and want one. This is how you build a program, Louisville did it this way, by signing as many athletic TE types as they could, and converting them into what they needed, and Rutgers success is along the same lines, but with many of their recruits coming from...you guessed it, FL. One thing that I am fairly confident of, is that unless something drastic has happened, LA is still closer to FL than NJ is.
Look at UConn as another example, they are certainly doing something right, and are after players in FL and LA, some of UL's recruits in fact. That ought to tell you something about their potential, because UConn has turned the bus around by recruiting the best sleepers in the country.