I think it is dicey for Florida, but could happen. Candidates for the 8th SEC spot are Texas A&M, Florida, and Auburn. You could make a case for each. The RPI ranks are close ... A&M(33), Florida (34), Auburn (38) entering today. Total SEC records are close ... A&M (15-18), Florida (14-17), Auburn (13-18) ... but Auburn did finish last among the three. Only Texas A&M won an SEC Tournament game ... and won two (Florida and Vanderbilt). Texas A&M won the only game in which the Aggies and Gators squared off this season. Auburn took 2/3 from both A&M and Florida. And as you said, Florida closed the season poorly. It is a mess.
What hurts A&M is that they are a mere 5-16 vs. the RPI Top 25 and 10-21 vs. the RPI Top 50 ... they only played one game vs. the RPI 50-100 and lost. Florida is 11-13 and 14-18 vs. the RPI Top 25 and 50 respectively. Both A&M and Florida played very difficult schedules with the Aggies having the 8th most difficult schedule and Florida coming in at #2. Auburn is #32.
Will the SEC get more than eight? Possibly. Ten? Probably not. But you never know. If it is ten, then all three are in.
It is definitely nail-biting time for all three. I think that San Diego State popped the bubble for one of them.
And yes, I agree ... Florida would be a tough draw for a #2 seed. As would Texas A&M and to some degree Auburn.
Brian