Luc is raking right now..
Luc is raking right now..
Luc took out a full page color ad...just to say thanks
Lucroy just hit his fourth HR (to dead centerfield) since joining the Rangers.....
Fired up
Written by Jamey Newberg, very very well known Ranger blogger. He LOVES his Rangers.
Jeff Luhnow, to the Houston media on Monday: "Texas took three of their top five prospects out of their system to improve today, and that's a decision they made for their benefit. We are not prepared to do that for our organization at this point. I feel like we've got a young team that's going to be here for a while. We don't have any windows closing. We're just getting into our window, if you want to call it that, and we want to keep it open for as long as possible and have as many shots to go to the playoffs as possible."
We don't have any windows closing . . . .
Colby Rasmus, to the same reporters on the same day: "That shows that [the Rangers are] wanting to go out and better their team. They've already beaten us with what they had. I don't doubt . . . that we can beat them on a given day. But that does show something that they're going out and doing that."
They're wanting to go out and better their team . . . .
Carlos Beltran, on being traded to Texas on Monday: "The feeling is that I've got to go there and help. Help as much as I can. . . . It's fun, honestly. . . . Every game that you play is a meaningful game and you try to continue to win ballgames and increase that lead."
Win . . . .
Jonathan Lucroy, as part of his lengthy and awesome comments to ESPN about his own trade to the Rangers: "Texas made a sacrifice to bring me in. They gave up some good prospects. By making that sacrifice, they're telling me they need me here to win.
"When a player's on a team, wherever it is, you want to have that wanted and needed feeling. It makes you feel like you're part of something. We aren't in the playoffs yet, but we have all the pieces. I'm already falling in love with this roster. We have two players in our lineup who are Hall of Fame guys: Adrian Beltre and Carlos Beltran. Those two dudes are unbelievable. I'm honored to play with them, and I know I'm going to be a better baseball player being around them. I've only played on the road for Texas, but I can't wait to play a home game.
"When I step to the plate there, I'm going to take it all in. I'm going to take all of this in. I know I had nothing to do with the Rangers getting to where they are now, but I want to have a lot to do with finishing the job."
Yeah, so, all of that . . . .
In the five games Texas has played since the Beltran and Lucroy/Jeremy Jeffress trades, the Rangers have scored only 11 runs.
Beltran and Lucroy have driven in seven of them.
Seven of 11.
Those two are hitting .324/.343/.765 in 35 trips to the plate, with four homers.
Last night: 5 for 8, with two Lucroy homers and, together, all three runs driven in to pace the Rangers' 3-2 win over Houston — not to mention the beast work Lucroy did blocking and framing and throwing all night, in a game in which 15 Astros reached base and 13 hitters stepped in with runners in scoring position.
And for good measure, Jeffress threw the biggest inning of the night, punching out Alex Bregman and Jose Altuve and getting Carlos Correa to roll out to second in the bottom of the seventh inning, nursing a 2-1 lead.
Texas 3, Houston 2 shouldn't bother the Astros, though — or at least their GM — since neither the loss nor the club's trade deadline inactivity does anything, evidently, to endanger keeping their window "open for as long as possible and hav[ing] as many shots to go to the playoffs as possible."
As long as you're comfy kicking the can, wholly indifferent to the fact that your window's actually already open.
Again, written by Jamey Newberg, very very well known Ranger blogger.
We’ve all pointed to 2007 as the year when the Rangers’ front office philosophy changed — maybe “took shape” is the better way to put it — when one- and five-year plans were put in place to take what had been a flagging franchise, at least in terms of pennant race absence and regular double-digit numbers in the “Games Back” column, and chart a new course.
Jon Daniels and his crew put a new manager in place, intensified scouting efforts in Latin America, and traded Mark Teixeira and Eric Gagne and Kenny Lofton that summer, all feeding a teardown designed to point everything in one direction, a systematic and concerted effort toward renewed relevance. Consistent, perennial relevance.
Part of the plan involved drafting aggressively each June, a less conservative approach than the one that had marked the Grady Fuson years. Lower floors but higher ceilings. Educated gambles on high-end baseball talent.
In the 10 drafts since that 2007 season, the Rangers have made 22 first-round (and supplemental first-round) picks. Very few of the players taken with those selections have done much at the big league level for Texas.
But they’ve done a whole lot for this franchise.
When the Rangers not only returned to relevance by reaching the post-season for the first time in more than a decade but in fact advanced in the playoffs for the first time ever and, in fact, won a pennant, and then another, part of the effort to get there involved trading prospects.
Including first-round draft picks.
To boost the 2010 World Series run, Daniels traded 2008 first-rounder Justin Smoak and 2007 first-rounder Blake Beavan to Seattle in the Cliff Lee trade, and 2007 first-rounder Michael Main to San Francisco in the Bengie Molina trade.
As part of the chase to get back to the World Series in 2011, Daniels moved 2007 first-rounder Tommy Hunter to Baltimore in the deal to get Koji Uehara.
The Rangers traded four first-round picks in the two World Series season July’s.
They traded four more first-rounders in the last week.
Lewis Brinson (2012) to Milwaukee in a deal for Jonathan Lucroy and Jeremy Jeffress.
Travis Demeritte (2013) to Atlanta in a deal for Lucas Harrell and Dario Alvarez.
Luis Ortiz (2014) to Milwaukee in the Lucroy/Jeffress deal.
Dillon Tate (2015) to the Yankees in a deal for Carlos Beltran.
That’s a whole lot of premium draft picks, and millions of signing bonus dollars, shipped away.
But there’s so much more still around (Daniels said yesterday that other teams asked about 32 of the Rangers’ minor league players leading up to the deadline, an absolutely insane number) and, more to the immediate point, the addition of Lucroy and Beltran and Jeffress unquestionably boosts the odds that Texas gets back to the World Series and finishes one with a pileup.
Astros GM Jeff Luhnow told Houston media yesterday that the Astros weren’t prepared to take “three of their top five prospects out of their system to improve” now — which he contends Texas did — after which Houston outfielder Colby Rasmus told some of the same reporters: “That shows that [the Rangers] are wanting to go out and better their team. They’ve already beaten us with what they had. I don’t doubt . . . that we can beat them on a given day. But that does show something, that they’re going out and doing that.”
It didn’t take Rasmus’s comments to recognize that when a front office loads up and makes a deadline deal, it gives the guys in uniform a huge shot in the arm. The Rangers did it last summer — though further out in the division and in the Wild Card race than the Astros are now — when they also gave up, arguably, “three of their top five prospects” if not five of their top 8 or 10 (Jorge Alfaro, Nick Williams, Jake Thompson, Jerad Eickhoff, Alec Asher) in the deal to get Cole Hamels and Jake Diekman. Houston didn’t do it yesterday, and Luhnow seemed rather proud of it.
Cool.
Here, the men in the clubhouse who have grinded their way to an AL-best 62 wins and a division lead got the message from upstairs — just as they did one year ago when they were a handful of games and teams back of a playoff spot — that the organization believed in them and was willing to back that up by doing its part to make the team better.
Ownership was willing to spend money.
Management was willing to spend prospects.
Because they believed in the guys in uniform. Right now.
The day started, from a Rangers standpoint, with the acquisition of Beltran, about an hour before the deadline.
What? A bat? When all signs were pointing to rotation impact or a bullpen boost?
Two things are fairly clear:
(1) Texas was in on every theoretically available difference-making starter (Chris Sale and Chris Archer), as well as others not thought to be available at all (Vincent Velasquez).
(2) In the end, those guys weren’t traded anywhere, suggesting that the price to play was exorbitant (and, given the overall rotation market now and this coming winter, rightly so).
The Rangers didn’t concede in talks for Sale and Archer and Velasquez, but they didn’t fold as a result. Instead, they adjusted. If the club couldn’t meaningfully modify its rotation, there were other ways they saw to improve what was a somewhat flawed roster: Lengthen the lineup, lengthen the pitching staff, and shore up two spots (catcher and right-handed set-up reliever) that perhaps have held up only because of players contributing at what’s probably as high a level as can be expected — but maybe couldn’t be counted on for another three months.
I’ve got to admit: I didn’t realize how insane a season Beltran is having until yesterday. He’s hitting .304/.344/.546, with 22 home runs and 64 RBI in 398 plate appearances.
Comparison: Ian Desmond, who we all think of as an MVP candidate, is hitting a strikingly similar .303/.355/.519, with 20 home runs and 63 RBI — over 50 more trips to the plate than Beltran has had.
No regular on the Rangers has as high a batting average as Beltran.
Or slugging percentage.
Or OPS.
Or home run total.
He has a healthy OPS (.816) from the left side (against right-handed pitching) — but an elite OPS (1.045) from the right side (against lefties).
Daniels called Beltran the best bat that was moved at the deadline, and it’s hard to argue otherwise.
Beltran will DH for the most part — though when Shin-Soo Choo returns (possibly this week), the two of them could share DH and right field — and considering Rangers DH’s were hitting .224/.304/.351 (.655), the addition of Beltran has the chance to significantly upgrade the offense.
Including in October. In a significant sample — 223 plate appearances over 52 games — Beltran has been an exceptional playoff performer, hitting .332/.441/.674 (1.115) with 16 homers and 40 RBI (with more walks [35] than strikeouts [26]) in what amounts to the equivalent a third of a season.
Also, like Adrian Beltre and, before him, Mike Napoli and Joe Nathan, Beltran comes here having never won a World Series. At age 39, it has to be what continues to drive him. Daniels compared Beltran yesterday to Hall of Famers Paul Molitor and Dave Winfield, as a timeless hitter who gives his team consistently tremendous at-bats, even at an age where few remain productive, if in the game at all.
Molitor played in two World Series, winning just once — at age 37.
Winfield also played in two World Series, winning just once — at age 41.
Beltran has played in one World Series, and didn’t win.
I trust JD’s Molitor/Winfield comp wasn’t just about middle-aged OPS.
(For what it’s worth, which is basically nothing, Beltran is taking Nathan’s number 36 [which was his own number with New York, and as a rookie with Kansas City] . . . while Lucroy is taking Napoli’s number 25 [which he’s never worn].)
Beltran wasn’t added to help Texas win playoff games as much as he was to help the club get there. He’s a difference-maker, and those don’t come cheap — even at age 39, and even as a rental with no possibility of draft pick compensation on the back end.
It cost the Rangers the highest draft pick they’d had in 30 years, just one year and 74 innings into his pro career. Dillon Tate (along with fellow righthanders Erik Swanson and Nick Green, both Day Two draft picks in 2014) goes to New York, an exchange that months ago would have been inconceivable. The Yankees, in order to get Tate, sent enough cash over to cut in half the $5 million or so that Beltran is owed the rest of the year.
It’s been a disappointing season for Tate. Sent back to Low A Hickory, where he finished the 2015 season, he was getting hit at a .310/.392/.448 clip, posting a 5.12 ERA with nearly four walks per nine innings. His mid-90s velocity had dropped some nights to the upper 80s, his wipeout slider had lost some bite, and his mechanics were off.
That’s certainly not a death knell on the career of a pitcher just over a year out of college, but Tate had clearly struggled more this season than the organization expected — otherwise, he probably would have been all but untouchable.
Here’s the takeaway on Tate, for me: As the first pitcher taken in the draft, fourth overall, it would have been easy for Texas or some other team, in this or any other sport, to refuse to move him this quickly — especially for a rental bat — over fear of the fan or media reaction. I give the Rangers credit for treating Tate as the prospect he is — not “the former number four overall pick” — and evaluating the trade offer they ultimately accepted on that basis.
Just as C.J. Edwards wasn’t “the former 48th-round pick” when Texas traded him, Tate’s availability shouldn’t have been assessed based on his signing bonus or draft position. And it seems it wasn’t.
The Yankees are moving Tate to the bullpen, which was where he pitched in college until his draft year and which many have predicted is his eventual role anyway. Temporary, perhaps, as their effort to fix him gets underway.
Had the Rangers not gone on a tear under Tim Bogar in September of its disastrous 2014 season, they might have picked first overall in 2015 (where they could have taken college shortstops Dansby Swanson or Alex Bregman), or third (where high school shortstop Brendan Rodgers went to the Rockies). Instead, they picked fourth, and today the result of that slot is the bonus they paid Tate and the $2.5 million of Beltran’s contract that they’ll pay to have him hit in the middle of the lineup the rest of this season.
The move Texas made after sending Tate, Swanson, and Green to New York for Beltran was bigger in several respects. Brinson, Ortiz, and a player to be named later to the Brewers for Lucroy and Jeffress involved no rental players, and no prospect question marks. Brinson’s season hasn’t been as explosive as his 2015, and Ortiz might be dogged by conditioning issues in the long term, but make no mistake: the Rangers are parting with two frontline prospects (and who knows who the third will be?) to get two pennant races out of Lucroy and four out of Jeffress.
This is the trade, like last year’s for Hamels and Diekman, that has a chance to be an unquestionable win-win for the two teams involved.
Texas almost wasn’t one of those teams.
On Saturday, Milwaukee and Cleveland had agreed to terms on a trade that would have sent Lucroy to the Indians for prospects Francisco Mejia, Yu-Cheng Chang, and Greg Allen.
On Sunday, Lucroy exercised his partial no-trade clause to kill the deal.
On Monday, the Rangers capitalized.
Just as they did when the Yankees thought they had a deal with Seattle for Lee in 2010.
And when the Angels and A’s failed to close free agent deals with Beltre in 2011.
And when Hamels vetoed a trade from Philadelphia to Houston in 2015.
The Rangers capitalized.
If you read any of Lucroy’s comments yesterday (including: “The Rangers were a team I was really hoping for and it ended up working out . . . . This is probably the best-case scenario for me and my family”), you’ll probably be reminded of the things Hamels said at this time a year ago.
Lucroy is a .299/.359/.482 (.841) hitter this season. Rangers catchers have hit .231/.285/.418 (.703).
His OPS trails only Beltran and Desmond among Texas hitters.
He frames well and he throws well and pitchers love throwing to him.
He makes only $4 million this year (12 Rangers make more) and will make only $5.25 million next year.
He’s one of the game’s five best catchers (he was fourth overall in the NL MVP vote in 2014), is on an insanely team-friendly contract, and was traded without Jurickson Profar or Joey Gallo being involved.
And the Brewers still tossed in their closer, who is under team control through 2019.
The catchers on the last 10 World Series winners:
2006: Yadier Molina
2007: Jason Varitek
2008: Carlos Ruiz
2009: Jorge Posada
2010: Buster Posey
2011: Yadier Molina
2012: Buster Posey
2013: Jarrod Saltalamacchia/David Ross
2014: Buster Posey
2015: Salvador Perez
I’ll just leave that there.
Along with the admission that, next to a World Series win, the thing I’ve probably craved around here most over the years is the arrival of the next frontline catcher.
Trading for a catcher in the middle of a season? Texas did it in 2010 (Bengie Molina) and 2012 (Geovany Soto), and patched things up with journeymen Chris Gimenez and Bobby Wilson in 2015. All were playoff seasons. It can work.
Plus, Lucroy is a more complete player than any of them, and another player who hasn’t won. He’ll get after it here, starting tonight as he settles in to catch Yu Darvish.
Lucroy is going to make the lineup better and the pitching staff better and, like Beltran, add another winning presence to an already strong clubhouse.
Jeffress brings a power sinker that likely won’t be used in the ninth inning like it was in Milwaukee — though perhaps there will be four- and five-run leads that Jeff Banister will feel comfortable entrusting to Jeffress rather than Sam Dyson, and the concept of backing off of Dyson a little bit down the stretch is really attractive.
Jeffress has 27 saves (in 28 chances) this year, and if he picks up a few here and there for Texas this summer, especially if it means Dyson’s usage pattern can be slowed a bit, fantastic. Otherwise, there’s nothing wrong with a groundball pitcher sitting upper 90s coming in to get seventh- and eighth-inning outs. (He’s much better against right-handed hitters this year [.215/.253/.226, one extra-base hit in 101 matchups] than against lefties [.316/.393/.481], which makes the idea of deploying him tactically an inviting one.)
Not having to rely on Matt Bush holding up into late October is also good.
If he does, awesome. But now, perhaps, he doesn’t have to.
According to Statcast, Jeffress has allowed the second-lowest average exit velocity in baseball this year. As Buster Olney (ESPN) points out, he has a 1.06 ERA since June 10, over which span of time the Texas bullpen sports a 4.61 ERA.
Daniels said yesterday that the Rangers pen now has “only winning pieces.”
Ben Lindberg (The Ringer) suggests that, “[i]n the space of an hour, the Rangers added both the best overall position player (Jonathan Lucroy) and perhaps the best hitter (Carlos Beltran) traded on deadline day, with a quality closer (Jeremy Jeffress) thrown in for good measure.”
The cost was significant. And that’s OK.
Does the loss of Brinson, who would have been this team’s next long-term center fielder, signal a mind that’s opening among ownership to the concept of paying Desmond what he’s worth to stay in Texas past this season?
Don’t know.
(I do know that I need to change the email banner.)
Did Texas just trade a future number one starter in Ortiz?
Martin Perez and Derek Holland were ranked higher by the industry when they were nearing the big leagues than Ortiz is. Both are established Major League starting pitchers who have had injury issues and who still have another level they can reach, and hopefully will.
No guarantees, though. There never are with pitchers.
The point is that trading a 20-year-old AA pitcher, with very rare exceptions, is a risk on both ends of the deal.
It looked like Lucroy was headed to Cleveland. He isn’t. He’s headed to Texas.
(Interestingly, some are reporting that after Lucroy killed his deal to Cleveland on Sunday, the Indians turned their attention to acquiring Beltran. Texas beat them again.)
Yesterday, with the timing and the drama, felt almost like a comeback win.
Maybe Ortiz fulfills all expectations or, like Kyle Hendricks, blows by them.
That’s OK, if he does, and if Brinson becomes Mike Cameron and if the player to be named later (expected to be identified after the season) takes the deal over the top for Milwaukee.
It’s OK if Tate ultimately ends up producing like you’d expect the number four overall pick to produce, and if Swanson and Green get to the big leagues.
And if Demeritte plays up the middle for 10 years, hitting baseballs out of National League parks with regularity.
All that’s OK. It’s a good thing when Texas prospects pan out for other teams. It’s good.
Keep ’em coming back for more.
Hamels is here and Lucroy is here and Beltran is here, and so are Dyson and Diekman and Jeffress and Alvarez.
And so are Profar and Gallo and Nomar Mazara and Rougned Odor.
As part of a lineup that, for instance — tonight — looks like this:
Profar (LF)
Desmond (CF)
Beltran (DH)
Beltre (3B)
Odor (2B)
Lucroy (C)
Mazara (RF)
Moreland (1B)
Andrus (SS)
Darvish (P)
It’s a lineup with the kind of length that the 2011 World Series team could roll out there.
Know what this is?
C.J. Wilson
Colby Lewis
Derek Holland
Matt Harrison
Alexi Ogando
That’s the rotation for that 2011 team which, but for a moment upon which we shall not swell, was baseball’s very best.
Compare that to a rotation led by Hamels and Darvish.
No, Daniels didn’t add Sale and he didn’t add Archer and he didn’t add any other legitimate playoff-caliber starting pitcher in the last week.
But he’s built that lineup, he’s deepened the pen, and I invite you to look again at that 2011 Hamels-less and Darvish-less rotation that got Texas to final game MLB played that year.
First-round picks Justin Smoak and Tommy Hunter and Blake Beavan and Michael Main all moved on at least once more after Texas traded them.
Lewis Brinson is reporting to AAA Colorado Springs.
Luis Ortiz is headed to AA Biloxi.
Travis Demeritte is with High A Carolina.
Dillon Tate will pitch in relief for Low A Charleston.
Meanwhile, Jonathan Lucroy and Carlos Beltran and Jeremy Jeffress are joining their new teammates in the visitors’ clubhouse in Baltimore.
You can sit still when your very good team is a handful of games out of a playoff spot with two months to go.
You can sit still when you have a relatively comfortable lead and there aren’t any frontline starting pitchers whose price tags make sense.
Or you can find another way to get better, and go for it.
Farm systems are massively important. Drafting is huge. Player development is huge.
Without strength on the farm, not only in talent but also in coaching and coordination and strength and conditioning, you don’t have Nomar Mazara and Rougned Odor and Jurickson Profar in the starting lineup on a team poised once again to play 162+.
And without it you also don’t have Jonathan Lucroy and Carlos Beltran, and you don’t have Cole Hamels and Sam Dyson and Jeremy Jeffress and Jake Diekman and Lucas Harrell and Dario Alvarez, either.
Or whatever frontline starting pitcher the Rangers trade for this winter.
But first things first: There are 56 games left on the schedule to play, and 11 wins to try and lock down after that.
That’s what the Rangers management saw when it looked this last week at what it had, and where it could get better. The foundation was in place for the front office to go out and back the players and coaches up, and prove their belief in the team by taking long-term risks for short-term gain, an approach that’s a whole lot easier to embrace when the long term wasn’t drastically compromised with last summer’s big trade and wouldn’t be by going back for more this time around, either.
July wasn’t a very good month for this team, but it ended strong, and though the team was able take the first day of August off, the front office certainly didn’t, and with what went down yesterday, I’m seriously ready for some August baseball, excited about September around here, and absolutely can’t wait for October.
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Murderer's Row...2016 edition.
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