My thinking is there is a new sheriff in Hogsville, and Vegas knows he plays old time power football and defense. The line is unsure, but I think similar to a BAMA team. They do not think we will score thirty points on the Hogs, but are not sure how good their defense will be, and how long it will take for them to implement a power football offense.
While the Hoax beat a number eight team, we will face a better team ranked lower, but at the end of the season, the Hogs will be ranked higher than they ended up last year.