NCAA Tournament Seeding Projection and Host Sites

[rhineaux]

_ But don't you know that the WHOLE purpose of the Cajuns being in an NCAA Regional is to give the fans a few extra games at a convenient location? God forbid it should be about actually trying to win the thing to get to the CWS. _

do i detect some sacrasm in reference to the question i posed?

I brought the issue up for the reason i mentioned in the post, that i think we have a better chance of beating a good team if a lot of our fans can make the trip. Not just because they get to see the team play a few more times, but because most people, including students, don't ahve the time nor the funds to go all the way to Wichita to watch baseball.

[BirdofParadise]

_ do i detect some sacrasm in reference to the question i posed?

I brought the issue up for the reason i mentioned in the post, that i think we have a better chance of beating a good team if a lot of our fans can make the trip. Not just because they get to see the team play a few more times, but because most people, including students, don't ahve the time nor the funds to go all the way to Wichita to watch baseball. _

While fan support is great, games are won on the field, not in the stands.

I reiterate my last post.

[GoneGolfin]

Yes, we do that and it will be hard for the selection committee not to give us a #1 seed. Then a host site becomes interesting and I see two possibilities, both good.

1) The Cajuns are awarded a host regional
2) The Cajuns are not awarded a host regional and this fuels a lot of discussion as to why. Facility upgrades are bumped on the priority list and a commitment is made to get Tigue Moore to the level required to host a future regional.

Brian

To add to this ... another part of the criteria of hosting will be schools within driving distance (although not taken to the extreme level of the softball committee). It is certainly possible that the Cajuns are the only Louisiana representative in the NCAA Tournament. A Southland team from Louisiana could make the field by winning the conference tournament. Southern could do the same in the SWAC. Louisiana Tech will need to win the WAC Tournament and New Orleans or ULM will need to win the SBC Tournament. But any of these outcomes would be an upset.

There are also few viable alternatives in neighboring states (Texas, Mississippi). Those schools are more likely to be playing in regionals closer to home.

In summary, it may be difficult for the Cajuns to host (assuming they are qualified) if there are no other Louisiana schools in the tournament.

Brian

[CajunNation]

_ I want to go where we have the best chance to win a regional. I don't care where it is. _

Ditto.

However, this team is ready to play some serious, regional ball no matter where it is.


Let the poor saps in game 1 try and figure out Farquar, and let Lucroy swing for the fences!

Let have some fun baby!

[Dad04]

_ Ditto.

However, this team is ready to play some serious, regional ball no matter where it is.


Let the poor saps in game 1 try and figure out Farquar, and let Lucroy swing for the fences!

Let have some fun baby!

_

Yes June should be sweet

Lafayette Regional
Sd ISR RPI Team
1 15 13 Louisiana-Lafayette (SBC*)
4 63 70 Texas-San Antonio (SLC*)

2 25 46 Oklahoma State (B12)
3 58 47 LSU (SEC)


Brian, Mark has LSU as a 3 seed. Is their body of work potentially enough to warrant a 3, perhaps giving us some proximity synergy helping our host bid?

http://sebaseball.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=673501

[ulforlife]

_ Yes June should be sweet

Lafayette Regional
Sd ISR RPI Team
1 15 13 University of Louisiana (SBC*)
4 63 70 Texas-San Antonio (SLC*)

2 25 46 Oklahoma State (B12)
3 58 47 LSU (SEC)


Brian, Mark has LSU as a 3 seed. Is their body of work potentially enough to warrant a 3, perhaps giving us some proximity synergy helping our host bid?

http://sebaseball.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=673501 _

This is exciting talk... I can't wait no matter where we play

[AstroCajun]

This is exciting talk... I can't wait no matter where we play

Speaking of talk, the other side has joined the discussion.

http://www.tigerdroppings.com/rant/m....asp?p=4600357

[GoneGolfin]

Yes June should be sweet

Lafayette Regional
Sd ISR RPI Team
1 15 13 University of Louisiana (SBC*)
4 63 70 Texas-San Antonio (SLC*)

2 25 46 Oklahoma State (B12)
3 58 47 LSU (SEC)


Brian, Mark has LSU as a 3 seed. Is their body of work potentially enough to warrant a 3, perhaps giving us some proximity synergy helping our host bid?

http://sebaseball.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=673501

#1
I do not have LSU in the field of 64 this week. I will hopefully have my projections ready tonight.

I have Kentucky in over LSU (Mark has LSU in over Kentucky)? Why? If the season ended today, LSU would not qualify for the SEC Tournament. Kentucky would. Also, Kentucky decidedly wins the head-to-head as they took two games over LSU in Baton Rouge and tied the third game. RPI is similar (LSU 47, Kentucky 50). Non-conference RPI is similar (LSU 52, Kentucky 56). Road records are similar (LSU 9-9-1, Kentucky 10-9). Last 10 games are similar (LSU 6-4, Kentucky 5-5). Record against the Top 100 are similar (LSU 19-21-1, Kentucky 13-16-1). LSU has a small edge in the Top 75 (LSU 17-18-1, Kentucky 11-15-1). The two are similar in the Top 50 (LSU 12-14-1, Kentucky 10-12-1). LSU has the better Top 25 (8-7 vs. 6-9). While LSU has some small advantages, it is very significant that Kentucky is 2-0-1 vs. LSU (in Baton Rouge) and is in the SEC Tournament if the season ended today (where LSU is not). I have no doubt that the selection committee would pick Kentucky over LSU. Whether LSU would make it in over someone else is another question. LSU could miss the tournament and possible get an NCAA bid with a 35ish RPI. But I think they miss with a 47.

Also keep in mind that the last five in the tournament (quite possibly more) will likely not make the field of 64 since there will be conference tournament upsets (it never fails). Each school winning an automatic bid (that would not have received an at-large bid) from a multiple bid conference removes an at-large bid from the bubble teams being considered for at-large bids.

#2 All of this said, if LSU makes the field of 64, yes I believe it would increase the possibility that UL could host as it means more candidate teams for the regional.

Brian

[CajunRed]

Thanks for providing the link to that La State site. It reminded me of why I can't STAND that arrogant piece-of-c___ university. I am now praying that they get swept this weekend and don't even make the tournament!

[rhineaux]

LSU could miss the tournament and possible get an NCAA bid with a 35ish RPI. But I think they miss with a 47.

Did i read somewhere that if a team doesn't make its conference tourney, that they can't make the NCAA field of 64? If so, wouldn't they need to win the series against Vandy this weekend to get into the SEC tourney?

[GoneGolfin]

Did i read somewhere that if a team doesn't make its conference tourney, that they can't make the NCAA field of 64? If so, wouldn't they need to win the series against Vandy this weekend to get into the SEC tourney?

If you read it, the author was wrong.

This has happened on several occasions. The SEC has sent as many as nine teams to NCAA Tournament play in the past. Do you remember Mississippi State from last season? They did not qualify for the NCAA Tournament and finished 12-17 in SEC play (9th place).

Now, it is a hard rule that any at-large team must have a winning record.

Brian

[El Sidonio]

LSU (no animosity towards them) is one of those teams I love for us to beat, no matter where. And beating them at the Tigue would be great. However, even if we beat them, there's a potential for a very large LSU contingent which will definitely dampen my spirits and depending on how their fans and our fans act towards each other, could put a real damper on the atmosphere.

The downside, for me, is the possibility of what what tigerdroppings poster referred to as "Alex Box West" and on top of that losing our regional and even worse, getting beaten/eliminated by LSU. There's nothing that I'd hate more than that.

However, if this scenario were likely to happen, I would support LSU as long as they aren't playing us. Regardless of what's right, wrong, or just, it's good sportsmanship to support state schools as long as they aren't playing UL.

However however, I think we still have a shot at a regional if we can get up to a #1 seed.

God Bless

GEAUX UL RAGIN CAJUNS BASEBALL!!!!!