Returning from another fruitless and dreadful Cajuns/Tigers debate to basketball scheduling, North Texas, the Sun Belt's conference bid, proved a one thing this year: a trip to the NCAA tournament means very little if you have absolutely no chance to win the game. UNT, who earned a 15 seed, were doomed, in part, because of their weak schedule. If the Cajuns hope to make the NCAA tournament, they must do so with a schedule which will yield a relatively high seed and, thus, a winnable matchup.
The Cajuns will never make the NCAA tournament as an at large. In fact, no SBC team ever will. But, the conference representative will be between the 13s-16s. Sixteen and fifteen are unwinnable. Thirteens and fourteens, though difficult, are winnable. The goal is to get a 13 or 14 for the Cajuns. This year's schedule would have given the Cajuns a 16 or a matchup in the play in game if the Cajuns won the SBC.
In the first post, a schedule was offered. The merits were debated on this board, and a few legitimate criticisms emerged and the most potent will be answered.
1. "Why would Kansas, Duke and big schools with great RPIs schedule the Cajuns?"
--- Under Evans, the Cajuns wouldn't have gotten the game because the outcome might have been a win for the Cajuns. But, under Robert Lee, the Cajuns are having trouble in the Sun Belt, not to mention OOC. In other words, there's no worry of losing to the Cajuns, sadly. The Cajuns collect a check, get a boost in the RPI, get some TV time, hopefully let bench players at those schools know they can start for the Cajuns and those schools get a nice win and ticket sales.
2. "The Athletic Department has no money. How can they fly to these places?
--- All these schools are easy to get to. Each have large, servicable airports nearby, driving down the price of travel. Furthermore, the Cajuns seem to have money to play games in far off places like Reno, Nevada (UNLV would've been better and cheaper), Knoxville, Tennessee (Memphis would've been better and cheaper) and Fullerton, California (UCLA would've been better). In addition, the Cajuns could have the other universities pick up some of the cost. The money is out there and these airports are cheap to get to.
3. "The Cajuns have to have big name teams at home to sell tickets."
--- UNR and UTK showed up this year and absolutely no one was at the games. Even worse, the games were losses. No out of conference home game can be a loss. Home losses hurt ticket sales more than road losses, which is why this schedule emphasizes losing on the road as opposed to losing at home. Home wins -- even over small in state schools with very little talent -- get people talking, which creates interest and hopefully leads to sold tickets. Home losses, on the other hand, only leave kids saying, "Dad, the Cajuns are going nowhere under Robert Lee," the next time dad asks his son if he wants to go to a Cajuns basketball game. In addition, home losses are more destructive from an RPI standpoint, too. Each home loss is 1.4 and each road loss is just 0.6. An eight point swing a few times can be the difference between a 15 and a 13 or a tournament loss or win.
The following schedule would give a boost to the Cajuns from an RPI standpoing, get them on TV (which, under Lee, they are never doing and it cannot be understated how much not being on TV hurts recruiting, especially for programs without a major national profile), and get their name out there -- all goals for the program.
vs Centenary
vs Texas San Antonio
@ Pittsburgh
vs Southern (BLACKHAM)(games after Thanksgiving are usually not well attended)
vs Nicholls St
@ Duke
vs Southeastern
@ Kansas
vs McNeese (BLACKHAM) (should no longer be a 1-1; game must always be in Lafayette)
vs Grambling
@ UCLA
vs Texas Arlington
@ Memphis
vs Rice
CONFERENCE
Keeping the McNeese loss and conference record the same as this year, the Cajuns should go from a dismal 8-21 to a slightly more respectable 15-18, if they were to have had this schedule this year. It's easier to sell tickets, get recruits to commit and get people to believe in the program when its winning. An inept coach can be overcome by generating a winnable schedule.
The lone question becomes if the Cajuns will be wise enough to consider scheduling wins to help generate a program that, at the moment, seems stuck in nuetral, sadly.