Season long look at UL's trek through the Baseball RPI rankings

[Zeebart21]

Been out of the loop since Wednesday. In fact, just found out about the sweep. What's wrong with Buddy?

Had a sore shoulder Friday.

Z.

[GoneGolfin]

The Cajuns came in at #16 this morning as expected. More importantly, their Adjusted RPI rating rose from .5997 to .6021. They are now a full .0065 ahead of Stetson at #17. Miami is .0002 behind Stetson at #18 and Wichita State is .0001 behind Miami at #18. The Cajuns trail Arizona State at #15 by .0029.

The below is the SEBaseball.com Adjusted RPI entering play today.

Rank Rating Team - Sunday Results
1 0.6326 Rice - DNP
2 0.6295 Vanderbilt - Won @Georgia (#85)
3 0.6269 Texas - Lost vs. Missouri (#24)
4 0.6216 North Carolina - DNP
5 0.6194 Coastal Carolina - DNP
6 0.6176 South Carolina - Won vs. Kentucky (#50)
7 0.6167 Mississippi State - Won vs. Auburn (#49)
8 0.6162 Long Beach State - Won vs. Cal Poly (#73)
9 0.6147 Texas A&M - DNP
10 0.6124 Arkansas - Lost vs. LSU (#40)
11 0.6109 Florida State - Won @Maryland (#102)
12 0.6107 Virginia - DNP
13 0.6083 San Diego - Won vs. San Francisco (#125)
14 0.6063 Mississippi - Won at Tennessee (#63)
15 0.6032 Arizona State - DNP
16 0.5997 Louisiana - Won @Louisiana-Monroe (#94)
17 0.5955 Wichita State - Won @Northern Iowa (#177)
18 0.5951 Stetson - Won vs. East Tennessee State (#122)
19 0.5938 Miami Florida - Won vs. Wright State (#202)
20 0.5935 Clemson - Lost,Won vs. Boston College (#72)
21 0.5931 East Carolina - Won at Houston (#61)
22 0.5898 Nebraska - DNP
23 0.5894 Pepperdine - DNP
24 0.5894 Missouri - Won @Texas (#3)
25 0.5884 Wake Forest - DNP

The bottom line is that the Cajuns should be at #16 tomorrow with a small increase in rating.

Brain

[GoneGolfin]

The Cajuns came in at #16 this morning as expected. More importantly, their Adjusted RPI rating rose from .5997 to .6021. They are now a full .0065 ahead of Stetson at #17. Miami is .0002 behind Stetson at #18 and Wichita State is .0001 behind Miami at #18. The Cajuns trail Arizona State at #15 by .0029.

The RPIs were rerun due to a bug. UL's RPI rating is now .6025.

[GoneGolfin]

If you are curious about which teams are in the race for the last #1 seeds and which teams you should pull for this weekend, here are the matchups and my projections if the season ended today.

Mississippi State (#1 seed, RPI 11) at Georgia (RPI 82)
Coastal Carolina (#1 seed, RPI 5) at North Carolina-Asheville (RPI 189)
Kentucky (RPI 53) at Mississippi (#1 seed, RPI 13)
California State-Fullerton (#3 seed, RPI 40) at Wichita State (#1 seed, RPI 18)
Oklahoma (RPI 31) at Missouri (#2 seed, RPI 19)
UCLA (#2 seed, RPI 35) at Arizona State (#1 seed, RPI 15)
Southern California (RPI 47) at Arizona (#2 seed, RPI 25)
Central Florida (RPI 55) at East Carolina (#2 seed, RPI 22)
Clemson (#2 seed, RPI 26) at Florida State (N4, RPI 9)
Washington State (RPI 83) at Oregon State (#2 seed, RPI 34)

Of course, the most important matchup this weekend is ...
Arkansas-Little Rock (RPI 153) at Louisiana (#2 seed, RPI 16)

Brian

[CajunRed]

I like the idea that you keep thinking we have a chance. We can think it, but that doesn't mean much. When YOU think so, we take notice.

I'll be watching your list and pulling for the appropriate teams the next two weeks.

Thanks for the info, Brian!

[RaginDave]

_ If you are curious about which teams are in the race for the last #1 seeds and which teams you should pull for this weekend, here are the matchups and my projections if the season ended today.

Mississippi State (#1 seed, RPI 11) at Georgia (RPI 82)
Coastal Carolina (#1 seed, RPI 5) at North Carolina-Asheville (RPI 189)
Kentucky (RPI 53) at Mississippi (#1 seed, RPI 13)
California State-Fullerton (#3 seed, RPI 40) at Wichita State (#1 seed, RPI 18)
Oklahoma (RPI 31) at Missouri (#2 seed, RPI 19)
UCLA (#2 seed, RPI 35) at Arizona State (#1 seed, RPI 15)
Southern California (RPI 47) at Arizona (#2 seed, RPI 25)
Central Florida (RPI 55) at East Carolina (#2 seed, RPI 22)
Clemson (#2 seed, RPI 26) at Florida State (N4, RPI 9)
Washington State (RPI 83) at Oregon State (#2 seed, RPI 34)

Of course, the most important matchup this weekend is ...
Arkansas-Little Rock (RPI 153) at Louisiana (#2 seed, RPI 16)

Brian _

Here is the update from last night:

MSU and Georgia Postponed
USC and Zona (no score reported)

Games that helped UL
UNCA over Coastal Carolina
Kentucky over Ole Miss
Fullerton over Witchita State
Florida State over Clemson
Washington State over Oregon State

Games that did not help UL
Mizzou over Oklahoma
ECU over UCF
ASU over UCLA

[J-Town Cajun]

_ Here is the update from last night:

MSU and Georgia Postponed
USC and Zona (no score reported)

Games that helped UL
UNCA over Coastal Carolina
Kentucky over Ole Miss
Fullerton over Witchita State
Florida State over Clemson
Washington State over Oregon State

Games that did not help UL
Mizzou over Oklahoma
ECU over UCF
ASU over UCLA _

The way I see it is that ASU beating UCLA is a plus for us. This helps our strength of scheldule. The fact that ASU swept us, winning the PAC 10, and with their tradition, they will be seeded higher than us anyway. What we did not want is UCLA sweeping ASU and winning the PAC 10 and leap frogging us as a possible #1 seed.

[GoneGolfin]

The way I see it is that ASU beating UCLA is a plus for us. This helps our strength of scheldule. The fact that ASU swept us, winning the PAC 10, and with their tradition, they will be seeded higher than us anyway. What we did not want is UCLA sweeping ASU and winning the PAC 10 and leap frogging us as a possible #1 seed.

Yes, we definitely wanted ASU to knock off UCLA. It took a furious comeback for the Sun Devils to pull this one out. Tyson Brummett is an excellent arm.

I highlighted both teams because neither team is assured of at least a #1 seed (as opposed to Florida State). But Arizona State will need to tank it the rest of the way not to be a #1 seed. If the Sun Devils can win the Pac 10, I believe they will be a national seed.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

The Cajun RPI increased a miniscule .0006 after Friday's games. Their rank remained at 16. However, Mississippi State, Mississippi, and Arkansas are falling to the Cajuns. Only .0005 separates the Cajuns and Razorbacks. Meanwhile the Cajuns have a nice gap between themselves and Miami at #17, .0058.

These are the Adjusted RPIs from SEBaseball.com.

12 0.6079 Arizona State
13 0.6077 Mississippi State
14 0.6040 Mississippi
15 0.6023 Arkansas
16 0.6018 Louisiana
17 0.5960 Miami Florida
18 0.5944 Missouri
19 0.5924 East Carolina
20 0.5907 Wichita State

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

Instead of a slight increase after today's win, the Cajuns remained at an RPI of .6018. This is still good for a ranking of 16.

The Cajuns were hurt by Southeastern Louisiana dropping a doubleheader to Sam Houston State. This dropped SLU out of the Base RPI Top 75, which means one of the RPI bonus wins is removed (Now 4 instead of 5). SLU now has a Base RPI of 77. This also means that the Cajuns' record against the RPI Top 75 dropped from 12-8 to 10-8.

The Cajuns are still close with Arkansas, Mississippi, and Mississippi State and have some breathing room with Miami. The 18 -> 21 spots are very tightly packed.

13 0.6072 Mississippi State
14 0.6044 Mississippi
15 0.6025 Arkansas
16 0.6018 Louisiana-Lafayette
17 0.5943 Miami Florida
18 0.5918 East Carolina
19 0.5916 Stetson
20 0.5913 Missouri
21 0.5913 Arizona

Brian

[Turbine]

This question has to do with conference connectivity, and I really don't know how to word it . . .

When it is this late in the season aren't we already heavily connected to the conference so that the "opponents and opponents-opponents " pretty much offset each other?

[GoneGolfin]

This question has to do with conference connectivity, and I really don't know how to word it . . .

When it is this late in the season aren't we already heavily connected to the conference so that the "opponents and opponents-opponents " pretty much offset each other?

For conference opponents, yes. Except that this week, Troy's outcomes affect us (we have not played UNO). This is not the case for non-conference opponents as the Cajuns are roughly only 50% connected to the NCAA Div. I field.

Now, what happens in conference does affect our record against the Top 75, Top 100, etc. For example, we need South Alabama and ULM to stay in the Top 100. It would be nice if WKU could slip in there along with UNO.

Brian