Season long look at UL's trek through the Baseball RPI rankings

[Southpaw03]

Enjoy your weekend! Give my best to your son!

Z.

Will do, Buddy! Thanks, as always, for your best wishes. Ya'll holler real loud so I can hear you on the radio. If you do hook up with Brian, please give him my best also. Someday I would like to meet him as I have been a fan of his writing for quite sometime. I hope your daughter's flu in her elbow gets better soon! LOL!

Scott

[Zeebart21]

Will do, Buddy! Thanks, as always, for your best wishes. Ya'll holler real loud so I can hear you on the radio. If you do hook up with Brian, please give him my best also. Someday I would like to meet him as I have been a fan of his writing for quite sometime. I hope your daughter's flu in her elbow gets better soon! LOL!

Scott

[DeadRed]

Gotta love the RPI. (Warren Nolan style)

UL 8-0 rpi of 67
Illinois 0-3 rpi 63

and swept outta here

[GoneGolfin]

I understand the concept of playing enough games to give the RPI a valid base, but how does Lafayette with two games, against I don't know who have a higher rank than a team with 8 wins and no loses? That defies logic. I might understand it if the team with two wins also was a national power year after year, but the Lafayette Leopards?

The RPI knows nothing about national powers or the reputation of any of the schools. It is all about wins and losses, as well as your opponent's wins and losses and your opponents' opponents wins and losses. It is purely statistical in nature and past results are not taken into account.

In the case of Lafayette, they defeated a team that had a decent start, a team that beat some teams that have started very well themselves. But keep in mind that this collection of teams have not played anyone significant. And since the games played are not "well connected" yet, they are just as valuable as many other wins at this point in the season.

You have to throw out all perceptions of the strength of the individual teams. And because it is all statistically based, it is not going to make much sense against our perceptions at this point in time.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

I am not sure where warrennolan.com gets their RPI, but they have Stetson having an RPI of 8. and, our conference wasn't ranked in the top ten either. I also noticed that they have our strength of schedule ranked in the 170s or something like that. That's not too good, right now, but should get better. Especially with FAU and Troy being regarded so well. and if teams like Ill. and USM do well in their conferences. It kinda sucks becasue we don't have any harvards or albany's on our sechedule this year, but or SOS is still low. If you start losing those games, though, then that is only when it matters. just gotta win, no matter who is on the field.

Warren Nolan only calculates the Base RPI. This is significantly different from the RPI the NCAA uses. The formula Warren uses is simple and the standard Base RPI calculation, other than the way that ties are accounted for.

Conference ranking plays absolutely no part in the RPI. You cannot derive any meaning from the RPI or SOS at this point. Too few games have been played.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

This is just the Base RPI ...

(3/4/07) Through Games of 3/3/2007

Rank RPI Team Rec Conf WP OWP OOWP

1 0.7035 Central Connecticut State 2-0 NE 1.000 0.8182 0.1776
2 0.6966 Southern Mississippi 9-2 CUSA 0.818 0.7144 0.5393
3 0.6757 Auburn 12-2 SEC 0.857 0.6716 0.5022
4 0.6722 Memphis 6-1 CUSA 0.857 0.6100 0.6116
5 0.6662 Stetson 10-3 ASUN 0.769 0.6562 0.5832
6 0.6655 Rice 10-5 CUSA 0.667 0.7347 0.5260
7 0.6572 Minnesota 4-1 B10 0.800 0.6242 0.5804
8 0.6561 Louisiana-Lafayette 11-1 SBC 0.917 0.5428 0.6220
9 0.6527 Cal State Fullerton 11-5 BigW 0.688 0.6607 0.6016
10 0.6502 Long Beach State 8-4 BigW 0.667 0.6453 0.6437
11 0.6474 Southern Illinois 9-3 MVC 0.750 0.6112 0.6170
12 0.6354 Mississippi 9-4 SEC 0.692 0.6421 0.5650
13 0.6351 Florida State 16-0 ACC 1.000 0.5155 0.5094
14 0.6343 Furman 3-5 SoCon 0.375 0.8932 0.3758
15 0.6290 Arizona State 12-4 P10 0.750 0.6174 0.5310
16 0.6277 North Carolina State 10-2 ACC 0.833 0.5881 0.5010
17 0.6252 Akron 4-1 MAC 0.800 0.5939 0.5131
18 0.6222 Southern California 12-7 P10 0.632 0.6314 0.5944
19 0.6210 Texas A&M 14-1 B12 0.933 0.4976 0.5556
20 0.6210 Texas 11-6 B12 0.647 0.6261 0.5847
21 0.6174 South Carolina 9-1 SEC 0.900 0.5065 0.5568
22 0.6161 Wright State 2-3 Hor 0.400 0.7200 0.6244
23 0.6152 Tulane 8-4 CUSA 0.667 0.5978 0.5985
24 0.6145 Kentucky 11-0 SEC 1.000 0.4023 0.6534
25 0.6143 San Diego 12-7 WCC 0.632 0.6525 0.5208
26 0.6092 Troy 9-5 SBC 0.643 0.6393 0.5152
27 0.6076 Oklahoma 8-4 B12 0.667 0.6304 0.5031
28 0.6058 Brigham Young 8-3 MW 0.727 0.6268 0.4425
29 0.6029 Maryland 9-2 ACC 0.818 0.4936 0.6062
30 0.6028 Georgia 4-6 SEC 0.400 0.7693 0.4726
31 0.6027 Kansas State 9-1 B12 0.900 0.4747 0.5613
32 0.6009 Michigan 5-2 B10 0.714 0.5668 0.5555
33 0.6002 Missouri 7-5 B12 0.583 0.6982 0.4209
34 0.5998 Pepperdine 12-4 WCC 0.750 0.5536 0.5421
35 0.5973 Stanford 9-5 P10 0.643 0.6088 0.5287
36 0.5970 Lafayette 2-2 Pat 0.500 0.7350 0.4181
37 0.5957 Coastal Carolina 11-2 BigS 0.846 0.5146 0.5076
38 0.5917 Boston College 1-3 ACC 0.250 0.8544 0.4082
39 0.5891 Penn State 2-4 B10 0.333 0.7806 0.4619
40 0.5882 Louisiana State 7-6 SEC 0.538 0.6361 0.5420
41 0.5865 Vanderbilt 13-0 SEC 1.000 0.3404 0.6651
42 0.5851 Evansville 6-4 MVC 0.600 0.6117 0.5169
43 0.5839 Indiana 2-3 B10 0.400 0.6872 0.5609
44 0.5838 Arizona 13-4 P10 0.765 0.4937 0.5831
45 0.5831 UC Riverside 10-6 BigW 0.625 0.5854 0.5366
46 0.5822 South Florida 9-3 BigE 0.750 0.5119 0.5549
47 0.5795 Southeastern Louisiana 10-4 SLC 0.714 0.5614 0.4809
48 0.5794 Nebraska 5-2 B12 0.714 0.5216 0.5604
49 0.5782 Wake Forest 7-3 ACC 0.700 0.5127 0.5873
50 0.5775 Clemson 7-2 ACC 0.778 0.4783 0.5758

[RaginDave]

Brian,

question for ya, last year Grant Dereoun was a starter, this year he is still listed on the roster, but I don't see where he has ever played this year for the Cajuns.

Is he hurt, or are we just that deep? Or did something else happen to him?

Just interested.

[GoneGolfin]

Brian,

question for ya, last year Grant Dereoun was a starter, this year he is still listed on the roster, but I don't see where he has ever played this year for the Cajuns.

Is he hurt, or are we just that deep? Or did something else happen to him?

Just interested.

Robichaux decided to redshirt him. We are really deep here. Santiago is seeing little playing time as well.

Brian

[J-Town Cajun]

Brian,

question for ya, last year Grant Dereoun was a starter, this year he is still listed on the roster, but I don't see where he has ever played this year for the Cajuns.

Is he hurt, or are we just that deep? Or did something else happen to him?

Just interested.

Grant Dereoun was injured just before the season started from what I heard. He would have missed some time and with the depth we have at third with Van de Keere and Santiago, Dereoun will be red-shirted and back in the mix next year.

[GoneGolfin]

Gotta love the RPI. (Warren Nolan style)

UL 8-0 rpi of 67
Illinois 0-3 rpi 63

and swept outta here

I meant to comment on this and forgot.

The reason this is the case is because your winning percentage is only 25% of the Base RPI formula. The strength of the schedule you play is 75% of the formula.

You can be 0-10, but if your opponents and your opponents' opponents have a strong record, you are going to have a good RPI.

Of course, the above RPI was before the USM series.