Season long look at UL's trek through the Baseball RPI rankings

[GoneGolfin]

The Cajuns Adjusted RPI dropped a full .004 due to Sunday's action (including the loss to ASU). This is a reasonably significant drop. For example, less than .004 separates seven teams ranked from 19 (East Carolina) to 25 (Kansas State) in the Adjusted RPI. Eleven teams ranked from 19 (East Carolina) to 29 (Miami) are separated by .0054.

However, due to the gap that existed between the Cajuns at #17 and the next team at #18, the Cajuns did not drop a spot in the rankings and still sit at #17 in the Adjusted RPI. The margin between UL and College of Charleston at #18 is now only .0008.

Louisiana (Adjusted RPI .5955, #17) (Base RPI .5901, #19)

The above calculations are from SEBaseball.com.

Brian

In this morning's RPI calculations, the Cajuns increased their Adjusted RPI rating .0007, even less than after Friday's game. This is for all practical purposes a wash. The Cajuns remain ranked at #17 in the Adjusted RPI. The Base RPI increased from .0007 as well, but the Cajuns increased their ranking from 17 to 16 here. The Cajuns passed East Carolina in Base RPI after the Pirates lost again to USM. This is the first time since before the USM series that the Cajuns have had a Base RPI ranking higher than their Adjusted RPI ranking. However, their Adjusted RPI rating is still higher than their Base RPI Rating (.5995 vs. .5941). This is obvious since the Cajuns have not been assessed any penalties (losses against bottom tier teams/non Div. I losses, too many scheduled games against non Div. I teams, etc.).

South Alabama's win over Florida Atlantic moved the Jaguars back into the Base RPI Top 100 (#98). This is significant because the Cajuns' Base RPI Top 100 record is now 17-9 vs. 14-9. Western Kentucky is just on the edge at 101, Louisiana Tech at 112, and Florida International at 122.

[CajunRed]

Brian... You are better at this RPI game than me, but I suspect that we can't afford but maybe 1 more loss to solify a "2" seed. I don't think we MUST win out (although it would sure as heck help), but if we lose more than 1 more, we might allow the selection committee to too easily argue that we are a "3" instead.

Agree?

[GoneGolfin]

Brian... You are better at this RPI game than me, but I suspect that we can't afford but maybe 1 more loss to solify a "2" seed. I don't think we MUST win out (although it would sure as heck help), but if we lose more than 1 more, we might allow the selection committee to too easily argue that we are a "3" instead.

Agree?

Seven of the eleven games remaining on the schedule are against Top 100 RPI games teams.

@Louisiana-Monroe (aRPI 88, bRPI 89) (3 games)
@Houston (aRPI 53, bRPI 52) (1 game)
Arkansas-Little Rock (aRPI 171, bRPI 171) (3 games)
@Nicholls State (aRPI 259, bRPI 256) (1 game)
@New Orleans (aRPI 100, bRPI 95) (3 games)

Additionally, a win over Houston would result in bonus RPI points. I have little doubt that finishing 8-3 would secure a #2 seed for the Cajuns, pending reasonable results in the conference tournament. I think an 8-3 finish would result in an RPI that is at least Top 25, quite possibly Top 20. I think a 7-4 finish makes it dicier (mid to late 20's RPI), but is still quite possible. I would lay slightly better than even odds that a 7-4 finish would warrant a #2 seed, especially if one those wins is vs. Houston. Of course, what our opponents do the remainder of the season plays a large part in all of this. All of this assumes a conference championship.

Incidentally, I think an undefeated finish would likely put the Cajuns in the Top 14 RPI. Still not a #1 seed (lacking the record against the Top25/50). But a high #2 seed.

Brian

[DaddyCajun]

Alright, someone out there other than J-Bird knows who the Louisiana Lady Cajun Basketball coach will be as of 3pm tomorrow!!!

Who will it be?
DaddyCajun

[gorcajun]

KLFY Channel 10 @ 6 pm said it was Errol Rogers.

[rhineaux]

_ KLFY Channel 10 @ 6 pm said it was Errol Rogers. _

Who is that? Anyone got a bio? Anyone got any first impressions?

[rhineaux]

_ Who is that? Anyone got a bio? Anyone got any first impressions? _

Ok found it myself.

http://www.mstateathletics.com/index...ange_well_id=2

If true, What do you guys think?

[Rebel02]

Obviously, it seems like he would be a good fit for the program. He is from the Lafayette area, has coached on the high school level, and is alum of UL. Sounds like a good fit.

And would obviously have a good relationship with Garry Brodhead at Teurlings Catholic as Errol was a founder of the AAU Acadiana Stars, which Garry and his wife now run. Perhaps there may be a spot for Garry on Errol's staff.

I think it is a good hire, if true.

[DaddyCajun]

_ KLFY Channel 10 @ 6 pm said it was Errol Rogers. _

Two close sources I know to Broadhead said the same.

DaddyCajun

[cajuns4life]

Yes Errol Rogers is the coach of choice. He coached at Holy Rosary Institute in Lafayette for a few years then at Opelousas Catholic for a few years then went to Lafayette High for a few years before getting into college coaching at bethune Cookman in FL then he went to MS State where he has been for 3-4 years. From the area with many local ties in high school and AAU.