A couple of years ago Troy received an at large bid for some small bowl game, even though they went 6-5 (although beat Missouri). That year there was a lack of bowl eligible teams in the bigger conferences. On the other hand, I think La Tech missed out on a bowl last year even after posting a nice record.
It seems like whether the cajuns can go to a bowl depends on how many bowl eligible teams there will be out there. Almost no chance of MT losing 2 of their last 3 conference games.
It also seems like Cajuns chances of going to a bowl game may not change much whether they go 9-3, 8-4, or 7-5. A 9-3 sunbelt team will likely be passed over by a 6-6 conf usa team so the record does not really matter for bowl purposes, except to make sure Cajuns are the second team in the sunbelt.
Does any one have any insight on this?