Opponent's View: Tempe Super Regional

[jllanclos]

Actually it says the bookie thinks that at 1.5 runs that half the public will take the cajuns and half will take the cats, so they can take the juice.

Yep. That's exactly what it means. It says nothing about what they think will actually happen in the game (which they couldn't care less about anyway).

[racinbudds]

UL is a 1.5 run dog today, better than Michigan at Bama. This says the betting world sees us as a very solid opponent, and probably should have been seeded better.


http://www.sportbet.com/lines/baseball_softball

It's now up to 2.0. Which means the betting world is picking UL and the bookies are moving the line to balance their bets.

[VObserver]

It's now up to 2.0. Which means the betting world is picking UL and the bookies are moving the line to balance their bets.

Nope. ... means the bettors were taking ASU and giving 1.5 at a rate in excess of bettors taking UL and 1.5..

The line was adjusted to give more points and thereby encourage UL bettors to balance the bets off.

[racinbudds]

Nope. ... means the bettors were taking ASU and giving 1.5 at a rate in excess of bettors taking UL and 1.5..

The line was adjusted to give more points and thereby encourage UL bettors to balance the bets off.

If that were true, then which bet would you rather, UL +1.5 or UL +2.0.

[SlappyCajun]

UL + 2.0 is the better bet if u think UL is going to win

[VObserver]

UL + 2 .... means that any game in which UL wins heads up I win. I also win if UL loses by one. A two run loss produces a push. For me to lose, UL must lose by more than 2 runs.

At UL + 1.5 I win on the same games as at +2, but a two run loss by the Cajuns is also a loss for me.

[jllanclos]

If that were true, then which bet would you rather, UL +1.5 or UL +2.0.

Why would anyone betting ever prefer +1.5 over +2.0?

That's like saying, if you win, you get 10 bucks. "Nah, just give me 5. I don't need 10."

[NOCajun]

We win tonight by TWO.

Correction: The CAJUNS win tonight BY AT LEAST TWO!!