Softball RPI (5/7)

[GoneGolfin]

Overall RPI

#1 California .7351
#2 Arizona State .7143
#3 Alabama .7115
#4 Oklahoma .6947
#5 Texas .6887
#6 Tennessee .6879
#7 Florida .6775
#8 Oregon .6752
#9 Texas A&M .6749
#10 Arizona .6634
#11 UCLA .6605
#12 Louisville .6594
#13 Louisiana .6592
#14 Missouri .6493
#15 Georgia .6462
#16 Florida State .6425
#17 Washington .6408
#18 Stanford .6405
#19 South Florida .6403
#20 Hawaii .6387

Non-Conference RPI

#1 Alabama .6923
#2 Louisiana .6775
#3 Texas .6770
#4 Louisville .6594
#5 Tennessee .6601
#6 California .6597
#7 Hawaii .6578
#8 Washington .6525
#9 Arizona State .6487
#10 Oregon .6448
#11 South Florida .6442
#12 Florida .6441
#13 Texas A&M .6393
#14 Arizona .6384
#15 Oklahoma .6362
#16 Georgia .6311
#17 Florida State .6277
#18 UCLA .6262
#19 Michigan .6192
#20 Syracuse .6163

Brian

[CajunRed]

Not bad. Thanks, Brian.

[Turbine]

12,13 are swapping sweat.

[GoneGolfin]

Overall RPI:

WP: .9388
OWP: .5402
OOWP: .5396
--
Base RPI: .6397 (Base RPI Rank #10)
RPI Bonus: .0195
--
Adjusted RPI: .6592 (Adjusted RPI Rank #13)

Non-Conference RPI:

WP: 1.0000
OWP: .5548
OOWP: .5380
--
Base RPI: .6619 (Base RPI Rank #3)
RPI Bonus: .0156
--
Adjusted RPI: .6775 (Adjusted RPI Rank #2)

The amount of RPI bonus is unchanged for the week ... however, the composition of this bonus has changed. Hofstra dropped out of the Base RPI Top 50 (as expected) to #51, due to their extremely weak opponent this week. This loss of .0013 was offset by Michigan moving back into the Base RPI Top 25 at #24. Georgia Tech is also on the cusp of the Base RPI Top 25 at #27.

RPI Bonuses ...

#2 Arizona State .0026
#24 Michigan .0026
#27 Georgia Tech .0026
#31 Tulsa .0013
#35 Mississippi State .0013
#38 Kentucky .0013
#43 Boston .0013
#44 South Alabama .0039
#47 Houston .0026
--
.00195

#51 Hofstra
#58 FIU
#60 Troy
#67 Northwestern
#70 Rutgers

Georgia Tech did sneak into the Adjusted RPI Top 25 at #25, giving the Cajuns a 3-0 records vs. the RPI Top 25. Michigan came in at #27. The Cajuns are 13-0 vs. the Base RPI Top 50.

Brian

[GoneGolfin]

Conference RPI rankings ...

#1 Pac-12
#2 Big XII
#3 SEC
#4 ACC
#5 Big East
#6 Big Ten
#7 Sun Belt
#8 Mountain West
#9 CUSA
#10 WAC
#11 Atlantic Sun
#12 MAC
#13 Missouri Valley
#14 Big West
#15 Southern

Brian

[DieHard1280]

Of course not directly related to rpi, and not that it really matters at this point, but it'll be interesting to see how far the Cajuns drop in the polls after losing to ULM.

[Flcajun]

Anyway we can get the team kicked out of the tourny without forfeits?

[GoneGolfin]

Overall RPI

#1 California .7351
#2 Arizona State .7143
#3 Alabama .7115
#4 Oklahoma .6947
#5 Texas .6887
#6 Tennessee .6879
#7 Florida .6775
#8 Oregon .6752
#9 Texas A&M .6749
#10 Arizona .6634

If Oregon State can sweep Arizona in Tucson, there is a chance that the Cajuns could catch them. Otherwise, it is not likely.

#11 UCLA .6605

While I was expecting that UCLA would be untouchable after this past weekend (taking 2/3 from Arizona), should Oregon sweep UCLA in Eugene, there is a small chance the Cajuns could catch them.

#12 Louisville .6594

The Cajuns could catch Louisville if there is an upset in the Big East Tournament, but Louisville will definitely have a significant schedule advantage with very friendly RPI teams like South Florida, Syracuse, DePaul, and Notre Dame looming. Louisville gets started with Connecticut, whom is a much better RPI draw than Florida Atlantic.

#13 Louisiana .6592
#14 Missouri .6493

The Tigers finish with a three games series at home against Oklahoma State. OSU is a tier 2 RPI bonus opportunity for Missouri, however their 25-22 record will result in a small OWP decline for Missouri. A sweep by Missouri may or may not be enough to make up the .0099 gap with the Cajuns. That scenario would be close. Hope for a win this weekend by Oklahoma State.

#15 Georgia .6462

This situation is similar to that of Missouri above, except that they are an additional .0031 back. However, a run to the SEC finals could be enough, depending on whom they meet in the second round and finals. It is quite fortunate for the Cajuns that Georgia is paired with Kentucky in the opening round. While it is an RPI bonus opportunity for Georgia, every SEC Tournament game is a bonus opportunity for all teams. Having Georgia play the team with the worst winning percentage (Kentucky at 29-27), results in an OWP contribution that will bring down Georgia's OWP some. Since Kentucky won 2/3 from Georgia in Lexington this year, the OWP contribution for Georgia in this opening round game will be a mere .5094 (27-26).

#16 Florida State .6425

Florida State opens the ACC Tournament against a 23-30 NC State squad (#96 RPI). This is a very good thing for the Cajuns. Like the SEC, the ACC is a single elimination tournament and the Seminoles have #61 Virginia (26-24) and #25 Georgia Tech (33-21) on their side of the bracket. Even if FSU were to sweep the tournament and beat #26 North Carolina (40-12) in the finals, I do not think they catch the Cajuns if the Cajuns take care of business.

#17 Washington .6408
#18 Stanford .6405
#19 South Florida .6403
#20 Hawaii .6387

These remaining teams are not a real threat to the Cajuns. Washington? No chance. Their regular season is finished. Stanford finishes with a mediocre #71 Utah team that hurts their OWP (.5000, 26-26). Stanford will not be a problem. If South Florida were to get hot and go undefeated in the Big East Tournament, it is possible they catch the Cajuns ... but only if the Cajuns drop at least one game in the SBC Tournament.

Thus, I feel confident that even a loss in the SBC Tournament will result in an RPI Top 16 finish for the Cajuns. I even feel good about two losses, unless South Florida gets hot. But we do not want any part of that.

Of course, it remains very important that South Alabama (representing .0039 of RPI bonus for the Cajuns) remains in the Base RPI Top 50 (currently #44). South Alabama is #50 in Adjusted RPI rank, which adds three wins to the Cajuns' record vs. the RPI Top 50.

Brian

[Boomer]

As an A D Der that easily gets paralysis from analysis -------What are our chances of hosting and all these good teams in alabama, Texas, Florida, and more scare me----Can we get a probability of hosting at this point or is the hurricane eye and steering currents too far off shore????

[GoneGolfin]

As an A D Der that easily gets paralysis from analysis -------What are our chances of hosting and all these good teams in alabama, Texas, Florida, and more scare me----Can we get a probability of hosting at this point or is the hurricane eye and steering currents too far off shore????

According to several TV sources (ESPN based), the NCAA plans to allow all of its #1 seeds to host (provided they meet the hosting requirements). It is not a guarantee that an RPI Top 16 team will be a #1 seed. But I do not see the Cajuns being passed as a #1 seed should they finish in the RPI Top 16. Whom would you put in their place, especially with the Cajuns having a Non-Conference RPI rank of 2? If the Cajuns finish in the RPI Top 16, which I think they will, I think they will be hosting. In summary, I think they will be hosting.

Brian

[Boomer]

Sounds really good but now is the tough part it would seem ----Everybody points to #1 at the tourney all over the world--And currently we have I think 3 teams that have beaten us in the field!!!! Wow would I love a SOLD OUT LAMSON for a regional!!! Thank you so much for making the difficult understandable!!!!

[LFTCajun]

Sounds really good but now is the tough part it would seem ----Wow would I love a SOLD OUT LAMSON for a regional!!! Thank you so much for making the difficult understandable!!!!

Ditto!